Dislikedstop buying for now unless there's a reversal pattern for now just ride the crash to 1847 spread itIgnored
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- #20,184
- Edited 2:51am Sep 30, 2023 1:42am | Edited 2:51am
- Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Name real with real own way | 23,413 Posts
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
- #20,185
- Sep 30, 2023 1:55am Sep 30, 2023 1:55am
US Govt Shutdown and Impact on Markets :
1. There have been 21 US government shutdowns since 1976. During the 21 government shutdowns, the S&P 500 rose 55% of the time, generating an average return of 0.3%. Even better, 12 months after the end of the shutdown, the S&P 500 was higher 86% of the time, with an average return of 12.7%.
2. On only 4/21 occasions were operations affected for more than one business day.
3. During the last US government shutdown of 35-days on late 2018 to early 2019, the S&P 500 returned 10.3% during that period.
4. During the October 2013 US government shutdown that lasted 16 days, the S&P 500 was up 3.1%.
5. This time around, the US markets are on a downward momentum, with the S&P 500 having lost 7% since its latest peak two months back. In that scenario, marked by challenges from high interest rates, high oil prices, high inflation , autoworkers strikes and student loan repayments restarting , a further risk posed by the US government shutdown is not a positive move.
6. Extrapolating from widely different economic scenarios and surmising that US government shutdown will lead to a positive markets’ outcome is not the point.
7. What we are saying is , this in itself, is a temporary negative for markets, and after an initial negative reaction, stock markets pick up, as a resolution is found.
8. Lets see what happens over the next few days. The best outcome is some kind of an agreement to avert a shutdown .
- #20,191
- Sep 30, 2023 7:46am Sep 30, 2023 7:46am
- | Commercial User | Joined Oct 2018 | 1,031 Posts
Its all about Timing!!!
- #20,192
- Sep 30, 2023 9:10am Sep 30, 2023 9:10am
- | Membership Revoked | Joined Feb 2022 | 2,509 Posts
Don’t focus on making $$$, focus on protecting what you have.
- #20,193
- Sep 30, 2023 9:23am Sep 30, 2023 9:23am
- | Membership Revoked | Joined Feb 2022 | 2,509 Posts
Don’t focus on making $$$, focus on protecting what you have.
- #20,195
- Edited 11:30am Sep 30, 2023 9:47am | Edited 11:30am
- Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Name real with real own way | 23,413 Posts
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
- #20,196
- Sep 30, 2023 10:02am Sep 30, 2023 10:02am
- | Commercial User | Joined Oct 2018 | 1,031 Posts
Its all about Timing!!!
- #20,197
- Edited 3:05pm Sep 30, 2023 10:15am | Edited 3:05pm
- | Membership Revoked | Joined Feb 2022 | 2,509 Posts
{quote} _______________ Update = This is More BAD or GOOD then NFP for XU IMHO {image}
]I Blieve that he was a frikkin congress_politian himself in his yonger yrs !
Don’t focus on making $$$, focus on protecting what you have.
- #20,199
- Sep 30, 2023 11:18am Sep 30, 2023 11:18am
- | Membership Revoked | Joined Feb 2022 | 2,509 Posts
Don’t focus on making $$$, focus on protecting what you have.
- #20,200
- Sep 30, 2023 11:56am Sep 30, 2023 11:56am
- | Commercial User | Joined Oct 2018 | 1,031 Posts
Its all about Timing!!!