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Swing Trades DAX/DOW/NQ/GOLD

  • #13,221
  • Edited Sep 12, 2023 5:51am Sep 11, 2023 10:54pm | Edited Sep 12, 2023 5:51am
GOLD recovered 50% of its July/August plunge (2029<>1915)

After the 50% recovery to 1975 zone (end of Aug) a new down wave to 1940<>1950 zone, which is a 50% pull back again of the latest up move (Aug 22<>Aug 31).

Still on the Sell side at M Sept. POC 1945 zone.

Below 1940 likely more selling
Above 1950<>1955 likely some more buying to 1960 MPP zone first
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  • #13,222
  • Edited 8:37am Sep 12, 2023 5:52am | Edited 8:37am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
GOLD recovered 50% of its July/August plunge (2029<>1915) After the 50% recovery to 1975 zone (end of Aug) a new down wave to 1940<>1950 zone, which is a 50% pull back again of the latest up move (Aug 22<>Aug 31). Still on the Sell side at M Sept. POC 1945 zone. Below 1940 likely more selling Above 1950<>1955 likely some more buying to 1960 MPP zone first {image}
GOLD short 1941.7 last lot
T1 +33<>35p 3 lot
1 left SL BE

Target 1930 WS1<>1925<>1920 WS2

1930 WS1 reached. Closed +105p last lot
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  • #13,223
  • Sep 12, 2023 8:42am Sep 12, 2023 8:42am
Markets wait for the Roll Over and US news later this week.

All still in a congestion area. No driction here. Between all lines: flat VWAPs and MA channel

Just scalping
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  • #13,224
  • Sep 12, 2023 8:55am Sep 12, 2023 8:55am
MNQ Long 15.638

T1 +11/13p 3 lot
1 left SL BE now
Closed BE last lot
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Target Y close 15.680
15.710 +0.25%
15.750 DR1/+0.5%

No MM. Waiting for tomorrows US CPI
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  • #13,225
  • Sep 12, 2023 9:04am Sep 12, 2023 9:04am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
MNQ Long 15.638 T1 +11/13p 3 lot 1 left SL BE now Closed BE last lot{image} Target Y close 15.680 15.710 +0.25% 15.750 DR1/+0.5% No MM. Waiting for tomorrows US CPI
MNQ Long again 15.636
T1 +10/11p 4 lot
4 left SL BE zone
2 closed +7p
2 left
1 closed +6p
1 left
Closed BE last lot

Needs to BO above Y close/ETH OR 15.675 zone
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  • #13,226
  • Sep 12, 2023 9:12am Sep 12, 2023 9:12am
US CPI wil make the markets move again tomorrow.
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  • #13,227
  • Sep 12, 2023 9:44am Sep 12, 2023 9:44am
NQ Mini Short 15.583
T1 +11+p 1 lot
1 left
Closed +9p last lot

Remains inside congestion zone
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  • #13,228
  • Edited 8:56pm Sep 12, 2023 8:44pm | Edited 8:56pm
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
NQ Mini Short 15.583 T1 +11+p 1 lot 1 left Closed +9p last lot Remains inside congestion zone {image}
NQ pulls back ahead of CPI numbers

Outside MA lines channel/below VWAPs

MNQ Micro short 15.507
T1 +15p 4 lot
T2 +22p 2 lot
2 left SL BE
1 more closed +20p
1 left SL BE

1st Trgt 15.450
2nd Trgt 15.400 Aug VWAP close and BRN

NQ Mini short 15.505 1 lot and closed +20p
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  • #13,229
  • Edited 11:37pm Sep 12, 2023 9:44pm | Edited 11:37pm
GOLD short 1934.7 last lot
Target 1925<>1920

Closed +30p last lot at WS1
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  • #13,230
  • Sep 12, 2023 9:45pm Sep 12, 2023 9:45pm
ES Mini short 4509
T1 +3p
1 left SL BE

Trgt 4500 zone BRN/DS1/-0.25%
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  • #13,231
  • Sep 12, 2023 10:01pm Sep 12, 2023 10:01pm
DAX could pull back to 15.575/550 and 15.500

DOW just below 35K and hesitating to drop

SnP just above 4500/DS1. SP zone. Once below down target 4490<>4470 WS1

NQ could pull back to 14.450>>>>14.425 DS1/-0.5%

All waiting for US CPI numbers today.

Oil is still lifting, and likely the inflation too with this high level.
Not good for Biden/Dems. Many Americans vote on the price level of a galon gasolnie at the pump. But much can happen/could change again before US elections

Lets first see what kind of move the US CPI will bring.
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  • #13,232
  • Edited 5:17am Sep 13, 2023 2:27am | Edited 5:17am
FDXS Long 15.662 last 2 lot Old contract

T2 +62p 1 lot
1 left for 925 zone
Last closed +50p


FDXS Long 15.821 New contract 4 lot
T1 +60p/63p 3 lot
1 left/Closed BE last lot
Price in a VERY congested (waiting) zone 15.750<>16.000

+/- 150p difference between old & new contracts.

DOW popped from the 34.900 zone back into the 35K numbers. DAX follows
ALL lines are very flat/in a waiting position for CPI likely
Price in a VERY congested (waiting) zone 34.900<>35.050/100
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  • #13,233
  • Edited 5:16am Sep 13, 2023 2:50am | Edited 5:16am
Oil is heading for the $90 WR2 zone

Closed +48p last lot at 89.50 zone
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  • #13,234
  • Sep 13, 2023 6:59am Sep 13, 2023 6:59am
REAL ESTATE
Mortgage demand stalls at a level not seen since 1996



KEY POINTS

  1. The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances — $726,200 or less — increased to 7.27% from 7.21%.
  2. Demand for refinances dropped 5% for the week and was 31% lower than the same week one year ago.
  3. Applications for mortgages to purchase a home rose 1% week to week but were 27% lower than the same week one year ago.

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  • #13,235
  • Sep 13, 2023 7:02am Sep 13, 2023 7:02am
US markets are sideways at their early morning OR. They are ready for a Break Out
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  • #13,236
  • Edited 7:49am Sep 13, 2023 7:21am | Edited 7:49am
Very little market respons on the CPI numbers so far
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  • #13,237
  • Edited 8:56am Sep 13, 2023 8:08am | Edited 8:56am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
Oil is heading for the $90 WR2 zone Closed +48p last lot at 89.50 zone {image}
MCL short 89.18 last 2 lots

T2 +34p 1 lot
1 left. See if it can get below SP zone/strong bullish so far
Closed +60p last lot at 50 zone

88.75/65 is SP zone

If it breaks the WR1/MR2 it could drop to 88.00 zone
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  • #13,238
  • Sep 13, 2023 8:31am Sep 13, 2023 8:31am
MYM Long 35.034
T1 +60/62p 6 lot
2 left
Closed +32p last 2 lot
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YM Long 35.040 and closed +47p 2 lot
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  • #13,239
  • Edited 8:49am Sep 13, 2023 8:37am | Edited 8:49am
NQ & SnP lagging. They have to cross/get above the 2 MA lines and VWAP.

DOW is above all already, but very rocky PA. Likely due to roll over. Run into the 35.100 wall
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  • #13,240
  • Edited 9:08am Sep 13, 2023 8:41am | Edited 9:08am
FDXS Long old & new contract last lots
WS1 SP zone is holding so far

FDXS new contract T2 +60p 1 lot
1 left/Closed +27p last lot

FDXS old contract
Closed +25p last lot
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