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  • Post #6,861
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  • Mar 18, 2023 3:18pm Mar 18, 2023 3:18pm
  •  bluesteele
  • Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Member | 1,751 Posts
Quoting turnip15
Disliked
I see "Rockypoint" has dropped in. Now he has a thread worth reading for a solid trading approach
Ignored
Couldnt agree more...
I admit I have been a silent fan of Rocky Point and his thread have popped in and read his thread many times over time ...

Flown over him many many times as well literally

Cheers to Rocky
The Best Loser Wins
 
3
  • Post #6,862
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  • Mar 18, 2023 3:23pm Mar 18, 2023 3:23pm
  •  spzd
  • Joined Dec 2010 | Status: Hybrid PA | 3,424 Posts | Online Now
Quoting turnip15
Disliked
I see "Rockypoint" has dropped in. Now he has a thread worth reading for a solid trading approach
Ignored
More proof there are many ways to beat this beast.
Mark ... Either you understand or you don't, and that is that.
 
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  • Post #6,863
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  • Mar 18, 2023 8:17pm Mar 18, 2023 8:17pm
  •  Aussi
  • Joined Sep 2013 | Status: Member | 15,760 Posts
Quoting turnip15
Disliked
I see "Rockypoint" has dropped in. Now he has a thread worth reading for a solid trading approach
Ignored
not that YOU will learn anything
ONE MUST LEARN, DO IT AND IT WILL BE KIND TO YOU
1
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  • Post #6,864
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  • Mar 19, 2023 12:06am Mar 19, 2023 12:06am
  •  FocusWinReal
  • | Joined Jul 2021 | Status: Member | 317 Posts
Inserted Video


Unlike toxic mysticism from alchemists, otherwise known as dogma, this guy gives experienced ( he works with banks in the city ) wisdom anyone might find some benefit from. Without going into detail, like "the candle has no volume" silliness, or "it hasn't been tested" dribble, basic logic from a factual point - yes trend trading doesn't work in a range where MM's and algos might just take your stop out. Trade what you know is right and get better at it. How do you know it's right? That's your research and time finding out - experience the good and bad. Edit: the person is key.

"It's a great thrill to beat the guys in the city.... " he says in another clip. Hehehehe

Cheers...
 
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  • Post #6,865
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  • Mar 19, 2023 1:34am Mar 19, 2023 1:34am
  •  bluesteele
  • Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Member | 1,751 Posts
Quoting FocusWinReal
Disliked
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XuQ6pqLoTRs Unlike toxic mysticism from alchemists, otherwise known as dogma, this guy gives experienced ( he works with banks in the city ) wisdom anyone might find some benefit from. Without going into detail, like "the candle has no volume" silliness, or "it hasn't been tested" dribble, basic logic from a factual point - yes trend trading doesn't work in a range where MM's and algos might just take your stop out. Trade what you know is right and get better at it. How do you know it's right? That's your...
Ignored
Dr David Paul.... Great insights always from him

The Best Loser Wins
 
1
  • Post #6,866
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  • Mar 19, 2023 1:36am Mar 19, 2023 1:36am
  •  bluesteele
  • Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Member | 1,751 Posts
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The Best Loser Wins
 
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  • Post #6,867
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  • Edited 3:48am Mar 19, 2023 3:15am | Edited 3:48am
  •  Kwt4x
  • Joined Apr 2015 | Status: Member | 481 Posts
I agreed with Dr. Paul in Divergence, but I really disagree on everything he said in this video, and here is why:

he said: "winning percentage drop when trading forex", and that is not true, trading basics will apply on every market.
he said: "you can't know range(sideway) market unless you are in it", that is not true, by knowing Dow trend stages, the range(sideway) market will start from the first day that does not give you anymore HH/LL.
he said: "clusters of bad and good luck comparing trading to a casino", this is a mindset of a gambler not a trader, again, Dow trend stages will organize the markets for you.

to members who seen the video, please, compare his POV with these 3 examples of 3 different markets using the same DAY direction,Dow,divergence.

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Visually you can see start/end of trends and start/breakout of range.

why would anyone use 50/50 trading style in this kind of reading. it does not make sense when the trend is UP for someone to think 50/50 and sell. with correct reading, it would be impossible to have a cluster of bad hits, one mistake ? maybe, but the rest should be correct with the direction.

with all respect to the Dr. but trading is not a guessing game, you either see a correct reading or you don't trade.

these are extra examples to the same 3 markets showing H4 and weekly direction, just to prove markets are organized.

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cheers,
"the public is not yet ready for it" W.D. GANN
 
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  • Post #6,868
  • Quote
  • Mar 19, 2023 5:30am Mar 19, 2023 5:30am
  •  OAPDave
  • Joined Jan 2015 | Status: Member | 3,663 Posts
Quoting Kwt4x
Disliked
I agreed with Dr. Paul in Divergence, but I really disagree on everything he said in this video, and here is why: he said: "winning percentage drop when trading forex", and that is not true, trading basics will apply on every market. he said: "you can't know range(sideway) market unless you are in it", that is not true, by knowing Dow trend stages, the range(sideway) market will start from the first day that does not give you anymore HH/LL. he said: "clusters of bad and good luck comparing trading to a casino", this is a mindset of a gambler not...
Ignored
 
1
  • Post #6,869
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  • Mar 19, 2023 9:10am Mar 19, 2023 9:10am
  •  handy148
  • Joined Oct 2010 | Status: Member | 2,565 Posts
Quoting Kwt4x
Disliked
I agreed with Dr. Paul in Divergence, but I really disagree on everything he said in this video, and here is why: he said: "winning percentage drop when trading forex", and that is not true, trading basics will apply on every market. he said: "you can't know range(sideway) market unless you are in it", that is not true, by knowing Dow trend stages, the range(sideway) market will start from the first day that does not give you anymore HH/LL. he said: "clusters of bad and good luck comparing trading to a casino", this is a mindset of a gambler not...
Ignored
For those like me who trade the down and dirty in the here and now that makes perfect sense - simple market structure.
 
2
  • Post #6,870
  • Quote
  • Mar 19, 2023 9:39am Mar 19, 2023 9:39am
  •  Kwt4x
  • Joined Apr 2015 | Status: Member | 481 Posts
Quoting handy148
Disliked
{quote} For those like me who trade the down and dirty in the here and now that makes perfect sense - simple market structure.
Ignored
the funny thing is Dow from the 1900's and still works in all markets.

the sad thing is the title of the video "Randomness in the Markets" , when all markets has a range that is always respected.

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cheers,
"the public is not yet ready for it" W.D. GANN
 
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  • Post #6,871
  • Quote
  • Mar 19, 2023 9:55am Mar 19, 2023 9:55am
  •  OAPDave
  • Joined Jan 2015 | Status: Member | 3,663 Posts
Quoting Kwt4x
Disliked
{quote} the funny thing is Dow from the 1900's and still works in all markets. the sad thing is the title of the video "Randomness in the Markets" , when all markets has a range that is always respected. {image} {image} {image} {image} cheers,
Ignored
 
 
  • Post #6,872
  • Quote
  • Edited 10:22am Mar 19, 2023 10:03am | Edited 10:22am
  •  Shabs19
  • Joined Aug 2006 | Status: Member | 3,936 Posts | Online Now
Quoting Kwt4x
Disliked
{quote} the funny thing is Dow from the 1900's and still works in all markets. the sad thing is the title of the video "Randomness in the Markets" , when all markets has a range that is always respected. {image} {image} {image} {image} cheers,
Ignored
By using this phrase as the header of the video, it is misleading, what he is actually referring to in Randomness of the Markets is the clusters of good & bad results in trading, especially with the low win rates traders have in short term chart trading the Forex.

He is a stock trader principally trading the Daily charts, with win rates above 75%.

Traders in a state of "euphoria" with a series of winning trades, as opposed to "desperation" when the opposite happens with a series of losing trades, with the low win rates. He calls this "hit rate".

He does ramble a bit on the video, I think he is trying to impress the interviewer a little bit too much.

I don't think he is talking about trading a Random Market.

I agree, markets have not changed much, only the technology has, making it more accessible than it was years ago to the masses and a lot cheaper to trade with lower capital requirements.
Follow the Money
 
5
  • Post #6,873
  • Quote
  • Mar 19, 2023 10:21am Mar 19, 2023 10:21am
  •  Kwt4x
  • Joined Apr 2015 | Status: Member | 481 Posts
Quoting Shabs19
Disliked
{quote} By using this phrase as the header of the video, it is misleading, what he is actually referring to in Randomness of the Markets is the clusters of good & bad results in trading, especially with the low win rates traders have in short term chart trading the Forex. He is a stock trader principally trading the Daily charts, with win rates above 75%. Traders in a state of "euphoria" with a series of winning trades, as opposed to "desperation" when the opposite happens with a series of losing trades. I don't think he is talking about trading...
Ignored
forget "euphoria" and "desperation" , why would anyone trade the market as a casino of 50/50 in the first place ?

he said his winnings are 65% and losing 35% , that's the strategy of a 50/50 trader, he do believe the markets are random, so, the title is not misleading.

cheers,
"the public is not yet ready for it" W.D. GANN
 
1
  • Post #6,874
  • Quote
  • Mar 19, 2023 10:29am Mar 19, 2023 10:29am
  •  Shabs19
  • Joined Aug 2006 | Status: Member | 3,936 Posts | Online Now
Quoting Kwt4x
Disliked
{quote} forget "euphoria" and "desperation" , why would anyone trade the market as a casino of 50/50 in the first place ? he said his winnings are 65% and losing 35% , that's the strategy of a 50/50 trader, he do believe the markets are random, so, the title is not misleading. cheers,
Ignored
I think he is talking about the masses, the average forex trader does have a 50 / 50 win rate or worse trading short time frames.
He states he has a 75% hit rate with stocks, so maybe Forex is not his expertise.

I think he did start talking about a roulette wheel, so maybe his thinking about Forex markets is gambling and his take is the emotional aspect of cluster of winning / losing trades affecting a trader. How that can be detrimental to ones' psychology.
Follow the Money
 
1
  • Post #6,875
  • Quote
  • Mar 19, 2023 10:39am Mar 19, 2023 10:39am
  •  Kwt4x
  • Joined Apr 2015 | Status: Member | 481 Posts
Quoting Shabs19
Disliked
{quote} I think he is talking about the masses, the average forex trader does have a 50 / 50 win rate or worse trading short time frames. He states he has a 75% hit rate with stocks, so maybe Forex is not his expertise. I think he did start talking about a roulette wheel, so maybe his thinking about Forex markets is gambling and his take is the emotional aspect of cluster of winning / losing trades affecting a trader. How that can be detrimental to ones' psychology.
Ignored
exactly, that's what I objected on in my first post today
"he said: "winning percentage drop when trading forex", and that is not true, trading basics will apply on every market."

a man like him should not describe forex as a gambling market.

I'm ok with any strategy that makes money.

but, 50/50 traders focus more on MM more than trading, that's why they get in the state of mind of "euphoria" and "desperation".

direction traders focus more on trading and MM is a backup, I'm sure they will enjoy there winnings and accept there loses without mental issues

cheers,
"the public is not yet ready for it" W.D. GANN
 
1
  • Post #6,876
  • Quote
  • Mar 19, 2023 10:55am Mar 19, 2023 10:55am
  •  Shabs19
  • Joined Aug 2006 | Status: Member | 3,936 Posts | Online Now
Quoting Kwt4x
Disliked
{quote} exactly, that's what I objected on in my first post today "he said: "winning percentage drop when trading forex", and that is not true, trading basics will apply on every market." a man like him should not describe forex as a gambling market. I'm ok with any strategy that makes money. but, 50/50 traders focus more on MM more than trading, that's why they get in the state of mind of "euphoria" and "desperation". direction traders focus more on trading and MM is a backup, I'm sure they will enjoy there winnings and accept there loses without...
Ignored
Well that's what you get from asking a stock trader who would probably take a position on a stock not from a technical view but probably more from a fundamental one, like PE ratios, earning etc. and have greater success long term with growth. I think he is running a fund, thats his strategy.

Trading OPM doesn't carry as much emotional baggage as trading your own money.
Follow the Money
 
4
  • Post #6,877
  • Quote
  • Mar 19, 2023 11:01am Mar 19, 2023 11:01am
  •  bluesteele
  • Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Member | 1,751 Posts
Quoting Kwt4x
Disliked
{quote} exactly, that's what I objected on in my first post today "he said: "winning percentage drop when trading forex", and that is not true, trading basics will apply on every market." a man like him should not describe forex as a gambling market. I'm ok with any strategy that makes money. but, 50/50 traders focus more on MM more than trading, that's why they get in the state of mind of "euphoria" and "desperation". direction traders focus more on trading and MM is a backup, I'm sure they will enjoy there winnings and accept there loses without...
Ignored
We all have our different opinions and ways of seeing things.. I would argue there's a high probability Dr David Paul has had far more financial success trading than the vast majority of us on FF.

The MM is simply part of their trading plan...one leg of the plan soto speak. They take very specific setups that work less than 50% of the time . Nothing wrong with that. Trading has always been about Mitigating risk. . First and foremost we are Risk Managers ...no matter what our WR is ..

As there are very very successful traders that have a WR far less than 50/50 and make huge returns year after year decade after decade...

And btw these traders use TA and classic chart patterns. For the Anti TA crowd lol...

Cheers
Blue
The Best Loser Wins
 
4
  • Post #6,878
  • Quote
  • Mar 19, 2023 11:29am Mar 19, 2023 11:29am
  •  bluesteele
  • Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Member | 1,751 Posts
We all have different views on trading or life in general.. Thats the cool thing about FF is we can all express our opinions on our
common passion of trading And I know over the years my views have shifted and changed on somethings as with time comes
experience let alone the exposure to the differing views on the forum.

As TimeTells always says there is more than one way to trade...and no Best way to trade its an individual thing.....

Sunday 830 a.m. here coffees flowing..birds singing..Life is good

Cheers !
The Best Loser Wins
 
3
  • Post #6,879
  • Quote
  • Mar 19, 2023 12:02pm Mar 19, 2023 12:02pm
  •  Shabs19
  • Joined Aug 2006 | Status: Member | 3,936 Posts | Online Now
Quoting Kwt4x
Disliked
{quote} exactly, that's what I objected on in my first post today "he said: "winning percentage drop when trading forex", and that is not true, trading basics will apply on every market." a man like him should not describe forex as a gambling market. I'm ok with any strategy that makes money. but, 50/50 traders focus more on MM more than trading, that's why they get in the state of mind of "euphoria" and "desperation". direction traders focus more on trading and MM is a backup, I'm sure they will enjoy there winnings and accept there loses without...
Ignored
He elaborates more on his tecnical entrie & exits here:

Inserted Video
Follow the Money
 
3
  • Post #6,880
  • Quote
  • Mar 19, 2023 12:18pm Mar 19, 2023 12:18pm
  •  Kwt4x
  • Joined Apr 2015 | Status: Member | 481 Posts
Quoting Shabs19
Disliked
{quote} He elaborates more on his tecnical entrie & exits here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9WyQ_QDM3sY
Ignored
I know the Dr. and seen his videos years ago, he is great in stocks and commodities, but the picture he painted about forex is going to mess up some traders if they take him seriously.
"the public is not yet ready for it" W.D. GANN
 
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