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  • #3,281
  • Jan 12, 2022 9:47am Jan 12, 2022 9:47am
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This sounds like a joke. In about two weeks, we will be trading March contract. In nat gas futures market, winter is virtually over already. With healthy production and guaranteed decreased demand, nobody would pay this high price for nat gas soon. Last year when sudden polar vortex hit the U.S. in the late winter, unlike spot market, futures market even didn't respond at all.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #3,282
  • Jan 13, 2022 3:13am Jan 13, 2022 3:13am
The U.S. less and less relies on nat gas for electricity generation:
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https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com...t-consumption/
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #3,283
  • Jan 13, 2022 8:10am Jan 13, 2022 8:10am
I love forex-station.com in which I have found most indicators I am using currently. The key is quickly skim through to find useful ones improving your strategy and ditch garbage. Now I only visit daily download thread. For example, the following one is obviously a piece of garbage (at least to my strategy).
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #3,284
  • Jan 13, 2022 6:02pm Jan 13, 2022 6:02pm
Quoting heispark
{image} This sounds like a joke. In about two weeks, we will be trading March contract. In nat gas futures market, winter is virtually over already. With healthy production and guaranteed decreased demand, nobody would pay this high price for nat gas soon. Last year when sudden polar vortex hit the U.S. in the late winter, unlike spot market, futures market even didn't respond at all.
Looks like they agreed that was a joke. A railway track made....
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #3,285
  • Jan 14, 2022 4:45am Jan 14, 2022 4:45am
Quoting heispark
I love forex-station.com in which I have found most indicators I am using currently. The key is quickly skim through to find useful ones improving your strategy and ditch garbage. Now I only visit daily download thread. For example, the following one is obviously a piece of garbage (at least to my strategy). {image}
Yes,that is it "garbage" -
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  • #3,286
  • Jan 14, 2022 6:54am Jan 14, 2022 6:54am
Quoting mntiwana
{quote} Yes,that is it "garbage" - {image}
You have so many cool indicators! How many indicators do you monitor when you trade? It must have been very difficult for you to pick only a few from your powerful indicator arsenal....
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #3,287
  • Jan 14, 2022 10:56am Jan 14, 2022 10:56am
Quoting heispark
{quote} You have so many cool indicators! How many indicators do you monitor when you trade? It must have been very difficult for you to pick only a few from your powerful indicator arsenal....
Yes,you are right -
it depends on how much you trust and comfort with the indicator/s,usually 2/3 are more than enough,how much in numbers you will be using they make you more confused because every next indicator based on different math,so they might produce different signals
but i recommend only 1 is OK when it really working/displaying fine and as attractive as it to be -
meanwhile nobody can grab every penny from table you must leave something on floor
PS : if someday you decide and bear to have some really attractive indicator (even then no guarantee regarding market) we can discuss on that too
regards
  • #3,288
  • Jan 20, 2022 10:14am Jan 20, 2022 10:14am
Quoting heispark
{quote} Looks like they agreed that was a joke. A railway track made.... {image}
Nat gas has game over in this winter. Nat gas is controlled by strong seasonality.
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #3,289
  • Jan 21, 2022 10:41am Jan 21, 2022 10:41am
I like CAD too.... Just sold CAD.
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #3,290
  • Jan 21, 2022 10:52am Jan 21, 2022 10:52am
Recalled long forgotten Sam Seiden thanks to Aussi (not clear if Aussi's strategy was affected by Sam Seiden's though). Anyway, Aussi's interpretation looks pretty sound and interesting.......
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #3,291
  • Jan 25, 2022 9:35am Jan 25, 2022 9:35am
US$ is so-so performing.... So I decided to sell CADJPY as you can see from my TE. My WCU based strategy is quite easy-going trading......
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #3,292
  • Jan 28, 2022 1:39pm Jan 28, 2022 1:39pm
Quoting heispark
{quote} It worked out again. 20 ticks of gain. Spring-Summer and Autumn-Winter spread trading is the easiest and safest spread trading in my opinion. When you find narrow enough spread, you bet spread widening with fixed stop loss set. This is easy money Mr. Market gives you out. Why don't you try? {image}
Reentered May-June spread at -0.038 with SL @ 0.000 to take advantage of this temporary nat gas spike.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #3,293
  • Feb 3, 2022 4:03am Feb 3, 2022 4:03am
CME Group: Why Smart Money Trades Spreads - David Lerman
Inserted Video
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #3,294
  • Feb 5, 2022 3:05pm Feb 5, 2022 3:05pm
Quoting heispark
CME Group: Why Smart Money Trades Spreads - David Lerman https://youtu.be/iEA_MkJD8eM
Interesting but no matter the trading system all traders trade the spread
  • #3,295
  • Feb 6, 2022 11:07pm Feb 6, 2022 11:07pm
Hard to believe this.......
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https://www.fxempire.com/forecasts/a...ss-cold-889024
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #3,296
  • Feb 9, 2022 5:19pm Feb 9, 2022 5:19pm
Quoting heispark
{quote} Reentered May-June spread at -0.038 with SL @ 0.000 to take advantage of this temporary nat gas spike.
Easy money which Mr. Market generously gives out to knowledgeable people.....
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #3,297
  • Feb 11, 2022 1:38am Feb 11, 2022 1:38am
Quoting heispark
{quote} Easy money which Mr. Market generously gives out to knowledgeable people..... {image} {image}
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Do this twice a year, one for early summer and the other one for early winter. You will find this is very profitable with limited risk.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #3,298
  • May 7, 2022 3:18am May 7, 2022 3:18am
Bad Ticks

https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threa...itions.366887/

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Market is a dangerous place. You shouldn't stay long in this dangerous place. Shorter the better. Every odds are against you in this place.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #3,299
  • Jun 10, 2022 6:24am Jun 10, 2022 6:24am
Even with bad tick issue and violent nat gas volatility recently, my July-Aug, Nov-Dec and Jun23-July23 spread trading has been working nicely and my account is growing consistently. I found myself losing interest in day trading indeed. I sold Nov-Dec-Jan butterfly at -0.002 yesterday.
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #3,300
  • Jun 10, 2022 7:01am Jun 10, 2022 7:01am
Quoting heispark
{quote} {image} Do this twice a year, one for early summer and the other one for early winter. You will find this is very profitable with limited risk.
Just a follow up updated pic in case you're curious..... Winner of course.
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
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