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Attachments: Swing Trades DAX/DOW/NQ/GOLD
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Swing Trades DAX/DOW/NQ/GOLD

  • #3,501
  • Aug 28, 2019 9:45am Aug 28, 2019 9:45am
DOW SH @ 878 @ +0.50%
T1 +8/9p
1 running

SL -10p
FLAT -10p last lot

Next up trgt Y ETH POC @ 25.920/925 zone
Attached Image
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #3,502
  • Edited 10:06am Aug 28, 2019 9:55am | Edited 10:06am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
{quote} My Trendline is flattening now. Means confusion which way to go. No trend. Expect unreasonable/illogical moves here. Dev W POC/Swing line not crossed so far. Res. level Below Ichi cloud makes it a little Bearish so far I take only longs when the price is above Ichi cloud again. Above +- 870/880 zone H&S pattern still valid as long as the price remains below +0.50% / 850/870
DOW Long scalp @ 885
T1 +11p 2 lot
1 running/SL BE
FLAT BE last lot

Price stalls on top of +0.50% now

I think it can drop again to +0.25%/825 zone

Short @ 886 10 lot MICROs
T1 +15p
T2 +24p
3 to go
T2 +32/33p 2 lot
1 to go
+10p locked in last lot Trgt 825>800
FLAT +10p last lot

850 Supp level
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #3,503
  • Aug 28, 2019 10:09am Aug 28, 2019 10:09am
DOW H&S stil valid.

Still inside Ichi cloud

Dev W POC 810 support level now

In other words.... a big mess (flat Swing MA line)
Attached Image
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #3,504
  • Aug 28, 2019 10:11am Aug 28, 2019 10:11am
Break now. Dinner time (Siesta) . US lunch time. Often chop time
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #3,505
  • Edited 2:02pm Aug 28, 2019 10:21am | Edited 2:02pm
CNBC:
US 30-year bond yield falls to record low under 2% as global recession fears grow

The rate on the benchmark 30-year Treasury bond sank to an all-time low on Wednesday while the U.S. yield curve inverted even further as fixed-income traders grew more confident in forecasts of tepid inflation and slower economic growth.

The yield curve inversion, meanwhile, continued to worsen on Wednesday. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury noteslumped further below that of the 2-year note
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Inttrest.png Size: 106 KB


New recession warning: The rich aren’t spending

  1. A sudden pullback in spending among the wealthy could cascade down to the rest of the economy and create a further drag on growth.
  2. High-end real estate is having its worst year since the financial crisis.
  3. Luxury retailers are struggling while discounters like Walmart and Target thrive.
  4. At this month’s massive Pebble Beach car auctions, the most expensive cars faltered on the block.
  5. In the first half of 2019, art auction sales were down for the first time in years.

FOREX news:
After a few days of tumult across markets there is a sense of markets beginning to settle down again. Reaction to Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech, followed by further uncertainty of the US/China trade dispute meant that markets were flying around the turn of the week. However, with Chinese officials shrugging at the prospect of trade talks with the US, there is an ongoing sense of resigned negativity throughout markets. This is reflected well through bond markets with the US yield curve further inverting as longer dated yields continue to fall away

It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #3,506
  • Aug 28, 2019 10:24am Aug 28, 2019 10:24am
DOW Long @ 905 again above +0.50% and cloud
T1 +15p
T2 +22p
1 running

FLAT +45p @ 950

Trgts
25.950
26.020/+1.0% zone

I take only longs when the price is above Ichi cloud again. Above +- 870/880 zone

My Trendline is flattening now. Means confusion which way to go. No trend. Expect unreasonable/illogical moves here.
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #3,507
  • Aug 28, 2019 10:40am Aug 28, 2019 10:40am
DOW is waiting for some more buyers to lift the price to 26K/+1.0% zone

I will be a seller there if the price gets there
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #3,508
  • Aug 28, 2019 11:27am Aug 28, 2019 11:27am
Hi DD, seems like DOW is trading above its swing line and the ichi cloud. Is there any reason that a swing "long" signal is not generated yet?

Cheers
  • #3,509
  • Aug 28, 2019 11:34am Aug 28, 2019 11:34am
DAX price between Y and T ETH POC 710<>680
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #3,510
  • Edited 12:13pm Aug 28, 2019 11:35am | Edited 12:13pm
DOW SH @ 960 first MICROs
More @ 26K and/or above @ +1.0% (if the price gets there)

Trgt +0.50%/890>910

Now @ RTH POC @ 935. Support. Need to be broken

T1 +25/26p 7 lot
5 lot running/SL BE zone
FLAT -5p last 5 lots

Looks they want to see the 26K.
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #3,511
  • Aug 28, 2019 12:11pm Aug 28, 2019 12:11pm
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
DOW SH @ 960 first MICROs More @ 26K and/or above @ +1.0% (if the price gets there) Trgt 800/+0.50% Trgt +0.50%/890>910 Now @ RTH POC @ 935. Support. Need to be broken T1 +25/26p 7 lot 5 lot running/SL BE zone FLAT -5p last 5 lots Looks they want to see the 26K.
DOW SH @ 945 again

T1 +18/19p 3 lot
2 running
T2 +10/11p 1 lot
1 running/SL BE
FLAT BE last lot

Trgt +0.50%/890>910
Attached Image
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #3,512
  • Aug 28, 2019 1:32pm Aug 28, 2019 1:32pm
China’s playing the long game, and is making key moves to hedge against Trump’s tariffs

 

  1. “We think China is neither aiming to quickly reach a trade deal, nor trying to hit back at the U.S. as hard as it can,” says Deutsche Bank.
  2. China is accelerating its efforts in other countries to reduce its reliance on the U.S.
  3. The country is also strengthening its domestic market.
  4. “China will still respond to US tariffs, but with smaller and targeted measures,”

It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #3,513
  • Edited 1:52pm Aug 28, 2019 1:39pm | Edited 1:52pm
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
{quote} DOW SH @ 945 again T1 +18/19p 3 lot 2 running T2 +10/11p 1 lot 1 running/SL BE FLAT BE last lot Trgt +0.50%/890>910 {image}
+1.0% reached
More @ 26K and/or above @ +1.0% (if the price gets there)

DOW Sh @ 26.009

Trgt down @ 25.950/RTH POC

Can still pop to 26.050/100. Looks a strong move (for whatever reason)
IG chart has 2 Res lines @ 050 & 100

T1 +15/16p 4 lot
1 running/SL BE zone
FLAT -5p last lot
Attached Image
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #3,514
  • Aug 28, 2019 1:48pm Aug 28, 2019 1:48pm
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
DAX price between Y and T ETH POC 710<>680
Nothing changed
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #3,515
  • Edited 2:03pm Aug 28, 2019 1:51pm | Edited 2:03pm
Quoting shh
Hi DD, seems like DOW is trading above its swing line and the ichi cloud. Is there any reason that a swing "long" signal is not generated yet? Cheers
Yes. With 2 flat Swing MA lines I expect a drop again, If the price after a pull back then remanins above the Swing MA lines (and Ichi cloud) I will take a Swing CFD Long.

To be honest, it was a legitimid Swing entry (above the W POC/Sw MAs/Ichi cloud/all alerts green), but I missed, because I was taking dinner and having phone calls. Now I have to wait for the/a pull back. And as said, with flat Swing MA lines, price will pull back again most of the times. (and if not, bad luck and wait for a new change)
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #3,516
  • Aug 28, 2019 2:02pm Aug 28, 2019 2:02pm
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
{quote} T1 +15/16p 4 lot 1 running/SL BE zone FLAT -5p last lot {image}
Hi Dutchy,

What does it mean T1 +15/16p ?
Does it mean target 1 reached or target to 15 points?
  • #3,517
  • Aug 28, 2019 2:13pm Aug 28, 2019 2:13pm
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
{quote} +1.0% reached More @ 26K and/or above @ +1.0% (if the price gets there) DOW Sh @ 26.009 Trgt down @ 25.950/RTH POC Can still pop to 26.050/100. Looks a strong move (for whatever reason) IG chart has 2 Res lines @ 050 & 100 T1 +15/16p 4 lot 1 running/SL BE zone FLAT -5p last lot {image}
DOW Sh @ 26.012 (MICRO's and I will add more up to 26.150/+1.5% level)

Can't find any news so far for this happy +1.0% DOW move.
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #3,518
  • Aug 28, 2019 2:21pm Aug 28, 2019 2:21pm
Quoting pipking-tr
{quote} Hi Dutchy, What does it mean T1 +15/16p ? Does it mean target 1 reached or target to 15 points?

T1 is 1st target reached with +15/16p
(most of the times my T1 is 11/12p DAX & DOW)

T2 is 2nd target reached with X points
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #3,519
  • Edited 2:46pm Aug 28, 2019 2:25pm | Edited 2:46pm
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
{quote} DOW Sh @ 26.012 (MICRO's and I will add more up to 26.150/+1.5% level) Can't find any news so far for this happy +1.0% DOW move.
T1 +15/16p 5 lot
10 lot running
T2 +18p 5 lot
5 lot running
T3 +20p 3 lot
2 running/SL BE now
T4 +32p 1 lot
1 lot running/SL BE/ If not stopped out O. Night

FLAT BE last lot

Today Dev(eloping) RTH POC moved up to 70 level, Supp level now.
26K BRN

Trgt down @ 25.950/900
Attached Image
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #3,520
  • Aug 28, 2019 2:29pm Aug 28, 2019 2:29pm
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
{quote} Yes. With 2 flat Swing MA lines I expect a drop again, If the price after a pull back then remanins above the Swing MA lines (and Ichi cloud) I will take a Swing CFD Long. To be honest, it was a legitimid Swing entry (above the W POC/Sw MAs/Ichi cloud/all alerts green), but I missed, because I was taking dinner and having phone calls. Now I have to wait for the/a pull back. And as said, with flat Swing MA lines, price will pull back again most of the times. (and if not, bad luck and wait for a new change)
DD thanks for the honest response, and explaining the future actions to consider.
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