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Justin's Playground

  • #2,001
  • Mar 15, 2019 10:04am Mar 15, 2019 10:04am
Quoting heispark
{quote} With some boredom, I tried to revisit FX Viper but his myfxbook is now all deleted. Once known great traders often don't survive long..... That's the reality in this business. It reminds me of somebody who's the most popular in FF now....their trading styles are quite similar actually (some kind of pivot, price action, news flow, small leverage, DD...etc.). This is the EURUSD short trade which killed FX Viper: {image} https://www.forexsignals.com/forum/f...8226#post78226...
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This is someone else's opinion about DD. Do you agree? Perhaps FX Viper may agrees on this. However, many people witness when you experience big DD, that's the only start of waves of more, and even bigger DDs. That's because the market has neutralized your edge. FX Viper is only one of the living examples.....
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,002
  • Mar 15, 2019 7:42pm Mar 15, 2019 7:42pm

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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,003
  • Mar 18, 2019 12:20am Mar 18, 2019 12:20am
Quoting heispark
{quote} Updated: {image} {image} I'd like to build some more sell positions next week.
NZDCAD. Updated:
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,004
  • Edited 1:15am Mar 18, 2019 12:50am | Edited 1:15am
Gold. Updated.
I am looking for reentry opportunity......
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MN basis, Gold is oversold. So, better wait some pull-back before sell it again.....
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,005
  • Mar 18, 2019 4:20am Mar 18, 2019 4:20am
DXY (US Dollar Index)
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,006
  • Edited 7:05am Mar 18, 2019 6:49am | Edited 7:05am
CMx Oscillator
I like it.....
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https://www.mql5.com/en/code/11026
https://www.mql5.com/en/code/2169
https://forex-station.com/viewtopic....28#p1295369328
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File Type: mq4 CMx.mq4   2 KB | 439 downloads
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File Type: mq4 CMx_Oscillator.mq4   6 KB | 442 downloads
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,007
  • Mar 18, 2019 8:30am Mar 18, 2019 8:30am
My updated Currency Strength Meter template:
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,008
  • Edited 10:01pm Mar 18, 2019 6:57pm | Edited 10:01pm
Quoting heispark
{quote} NZDCAD. Updated: {image}

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Inserted Video

(see from 5:08)
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,009
  • Mar 18, 2019 9:21pm Mar 18, 2019 9:21pm
Quoting heispark
{quote} Oil market is highly manipulated with inaccurate information all around. I am done with commodities. I hate the extreme nature of commodity trades which asking for extreme pains from traders. I find myself have better edge on currency trade. I will focus on currency trade unless I see very good, low risk trade opportunities on commodities. See this video. Even so-called 'experts' can be burned seriously..... https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...alflow-organic...
IMHO, Oil market is heavily manipulated by big boys. Regardless of inventory, it can go up or down. It's solely dependent on the mood of big boys. What has been changed in oil market conditions between now and 6 months ago? Not many, but it wiped out traders and it now moves back up again. Typical accumulation/distribution with somewhat radical fashion. Glad I ditched this market..... Currency trading with major pairs is much safer.
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,010
  • Mar 19, 2019 7:24am Mar 19, 2019 7:24am
BB Stops Stochastic
I like it too! There are so many good indicators.... My MT4 charts have not enough room to facilitate all of them..... too bad....
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https://forex-station.com/viewtopic....97#p1295387097
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,011
  • Mar 19, 2019 10:49am Mar 19, 2019 10:49am
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,012
  • Mar 19, 2019 8:15pm Mar 19, 2019 8:15pm
Quoting heispark
CMx Oscillator I like it..... {image} {image} https://www.mql5.com/en/code/11026 https://www.mql5.com/en/code/2169 https://forex-station.com/viewtopic....28#p1295369328 {file}{file}{file}
Mrtools posted bug fixed version: https://forex-station.com/viewtopic....30#p1295387130
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File Type: mq4 cmx.mq4   2 KB | 459 downloads
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,013
  • Mar 19, 2019 9:39pm Mar 19, 2019 9:39pm
Buy Gold, Sell Stocks Is the ‘Trade of Century’ Says One Hedge Fund
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...ade-of-century

One of last year’s best-performing hedge funds says the “trade of the century” is to buy gold and sell stocks as risk assets are due for another meltdown.
It’s only a matter of time until the bearish bet pays off big, according to Crescat Capital LLC. While the Denver-based firm has only about $50 million under management, it has a history of outperforming the S&P 500 Index -- with its Global Macro Fund returning 41 percent last year alone. Now the investment company says it’s ready to capitalize on an end of the economic cycle as indicators warn that a recession is imminent in the coming quarters.
The consensus is pointing to a recession in 2020 or 2021, Tavi Costa, a global macro analyst at Crescat, said by phone. “We think it’s a lot closer than that and we have a number of macro timing indicators that we look at.”
https://assets.bwbx.io/images/users/...44kE/-1x-1.png
Going long gold in yuan terms and shorting global equities currently explains three-quarters of the hedge fund’s strategy. While the firm uses the MSCI World Index in models to visualize the trade, it goes a bit deeper with its short position, selecting individual stocks and exchange-traded funds to bet against.
Among the warning signs, Crescat cites corporate insiderswho are currently selling stocks hand over fist -- indicating a potential stock bubble burst. In early 2017, those investors heavily sold shares while the S&P 500 continued climbing. That happened again in 2018. With the smart money selling once again, “the third time should be the charm for the stubborn U.S. market,” Crescat wrote to clients over the weekend.
U.S. economic data is deteriorating and inversions remain across the Treasury yield curve, the hedge fund pointed out. Measuring multiple yield spreads across the curve from Fed Funds to 30-year Treasury bonds, Crescat found that almost 45 percent of the curve is inverted.
“The last two times the credit markets had such a high distortion, asset bubbles began to fall apart shortly thereafter,” Crescat wrote.
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As for the almost 13 percent rebound in global stocks in 2019, Costa said the firm has a high conviction it’s simply a bear-market rally. Just about everything has bounced since the start of the year, accompanied by an abrupt decline in the Cboe Volatility Index, or the VIX -- signs reminiscent of head fakes in such advances.
“Soon the buy-the-dip mentality and bull-market greed will turn to fear. Selling will beget more selling. That’s how bear markets work,” Crescat wrote. “There is so much more ahead to profit from the short side of the market. The bear-market rally is running out of steam!”
The firm’s Global Macro Fund has posted an annualized return of near 12 percent since it was created in 2006, according to its website -- greater than the S&P 500’s 8 percent. Crescat’s Long/Short and Large Cap funds have also outperformed.
“We’re not perma-bears by any means,” Costa said. “This is a very tactical bearish view right now, and hopefully when the market turns, we want to also time the bull market at some point.”
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,014
  • Mar 19, 2019 10:18pm Mar 19, 2019 10:18pm
Quoting heispark
My updated Currency Strength Meter template: {image}
Hey Bro... may you share you this indictor for currency strength ?
  • #2,015
  • Mar 19, 2019 10:43pm Mar 19, 2019 10:43pm
Quoting swagat555
{quote} Hey Bro... may you share you this indictor for currency strength ?
Hello, please refer to the following links.
https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...7#post11601867
https://www.forexfactory.com/search....rchid=16738097
https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...9#post12095739
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,016
  • Mar 21, 2019 3:03am Mar 21, 2019 3:03am
Quoting heispark
DXY (US Dollar Index) {image}
Can USD claw back? It still has some chances left...... before major correction....
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,017
  • Mar 24, 2019 12:44am Mar 24, 2019 12:44am
You may feel safe in investing some time on Ichimoku Cloud....... I myself am revisiting/rediscovering it now.....
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https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...82#post7494982

Tons of Youtube videos out there.....
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,018
  • Edited 10:21am Mar 25, 2019 8:26am | Edited 10:21am
Quoting heispark
{quote} NZDCAD. Updated: {image}
NZDCAD. Updated.... Doesn't look very good.....
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,019
  • Edited Mar 26, 2019 7:51am Mar 25, 2019 12:02pm | Edited Mar 26, 2019 7:51am
Old good days......
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5 years ago.... they got old....
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,020
  • Mar 25, 2019 7:32pm Mar 25, 2019 7:32pm
Quoting heispark
I better not to stay short too long.... My average entry price is 1,304.049. {image}{image}(COT is a week delayed due to gov shutdown) Largest Gold ETF Shrinks Most in Year as Trade Tensions Ease https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...source=twitter Investors are pulling cash from the world’s largest gold exchange-traded fund at the fastest pace in more...
gold, updated view by Morgan Stanley
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
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