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(binned per thread starter's request) Market bottom rotation trad

  • #5,661
  • Sep 6, 2018 12:10pm Sep 6, 2018 12:10pm
Next three weeks are gonna be busy, thus a plan for the rest of September is only 1 trade a day, only A quality plays.
  • #5,662
  • Sep 6, 2018 12:45pm Sep 6, 2018 12:45pm
LOW an example of structure that might look a bit confusing, but it fits pullback leg setup, and the key component of strong HH bake on last leg is the key takeaway.
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  • #5,663
  • Sep 6, 2018 1:07pm Sep 6, 2018 1:07pm
Russian rubble on the front line still for next upcoming weeks. Further sanctions likely to take place, and as the central bank has not planned any moves to prevent further FX derail its likely that markets will push RUB further lower . Forced de-dollarization is already in plan of US administration for Russia and will likely take place soon (along with already taken steps against access to debt markets). This are two of main moves that both Russia and Turkey will likely face in upcoming months and will be a huge shocks to both economies and currencies, it is not yet by any means discussed in media, thus it will likely take both currency markets by surprise.

USDRUB currently just re-baking the previous history. 71.X is about to be tested, Russian administration preapring for measures if that happens, but the reality is 71 is baked, the key question is are the planned moves likely to turn the rotation on USDRUB....from what has been leaked into public so far the answer is no.

Eyes on early London tomorrow, RUB likely to take a hit. Potential A quality play to take place in this asset tomorrow.
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  • #5,664
  • Sep 6, 2018 2:05pm Sep 6, 2018 2:05pm
ABBV X,83 bid stacking bid on continuation setup along bullish momentum. Highly likely to pop high, unless X,83 gives up.
  • #5,665
  • Sep 6, 2018 2:30pm Sep 6, 2018 2:30pm
Quoting janpec1000
ABBV X,83 bid stacking bid on continuation setup along bullish momentum. Highly likely to pop high, unless X,83 gives up.
ABBV X,83 bid held well, setup target baked. Again observing the behaviour changes in structure is key. First high- strong rejection of price down. Second high- again strong rejection of sellers. Third high again same process. Fourth high test....behaviour change, price goes to high on momentum move again as in previous 3 cases, but this time it holds micro shelf right at supply level, absorption of supply taking place. Fitting the puzzles into right map is the key.
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  • #5,666
  • Edited 2:11am Sep 7, 2018 1:28am | Edited 2:11am
GBP USD....This looked like it may be setting up to break higher...strong candle breaks supply...but it would have been a bit of a trap

Does that structure not have enough down trend, pull back type of pattern Janpec ?
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  • #5,667
  • Sep 7, 2018 1:52am Sep 7, 2018 1:52am
EUR JPY...tracking this for possible pullback and push higher
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  • #5,668
  • Sep 7, 2018 2:09am Sep 7, 2018 2:09am
EUR JPY....Entered after this strong candle marked with arrow...bit slow and momentum seemed to be not there...exited with a couple pips profit.
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  • #5,669
  • Sep 7, 2018 2:20am Sep 7, 2018 2:20am
Was reading your earlier posts Janpec…I missed this USD CAD...but it seemed to do a bit of what you said....broke with decent candle then pinbar formed straight away....if entering after the pinbar...could have been good scalp trade.
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  • #5,670
  • Sep 7, 2018 2:25am Sep 7, 2018 2:25am
AUD USD

Edit : Didn't break that time
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  • #5,671
  • Sep 7, 2018 2:53am Sep 7, 2018 2:53am
AUD USD....broke up....target reached
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  • #5,672
  • Sep 7, 2018 4:50am Sep 7, 2018 4:50am
Quoting Forexmeoff
EUR JPY....Entered after this strong candle marked with arrow...bit slow and momentum seemed to be not there...exited with a couple pips profit. {image}
Great play there, solid setup. The only thing is the entry, it should be much lower right at the high break. Either catch entry as soon as it starts to print HH, or wait for price to retrace back, but always use that HH level area as your entry, because that is most likely where price will bounce.
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  • #5,673
  • Sep 7, 2018 4:50am Sep 7, 2018 4:50am
Quoting Forexmeoff
Was reading your earlier posts Janpec…I missed this USD CAD...but it seemed to do a bit of what you said....broke with decent candle then pinbar formed straight away....if entering after the pinbar...could have been good scalp trade. {image}
Yep.
  • #5,674
  • Sep 7, 2018 4:52am Sep 7, 2018 4:52am
GBPNZD was watching this one for long as soon as heavy leg was printed, placed pending order but no fill, went straight up.
Could be A play of the day.
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  • #5,675
  • Sep 7, 2018 11:46am Sep 7, 2018 11:46am
Quoting janpec1000
Russian rubble on the front line still for next upcoming weeks. Further sanctions likely to take place, and as the central bank has not planned any moves to prevent further FX derail its likely that markets will push RUB further lower . Forced de-dollarization is already in plan of US administration for Russia and will likely take place soon (along with already taken steps against access to debt markets). This are two of main moves that both Russia and Turkey will likely face in upcoming months and will be a huge shocks to both economies and currencies,...
USDRUB printing new fresh highs as pointed yesterday. But the focus now shifts into China, with new tariffs incoming CNH will take another plunge lower. Plotting bullish macro target on USDCNH with aprox mid term target 6,89X. This drive will set in asap and thus priority play focus on USDNCH. High probability of baking that target.
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  • #5,676
  • Sep 7, 2018 11:49am Sep 7, 2018 11:49am
OKTA potential A quality play of the day if supply is taken. Or AMAT either of those two.
  • #5,677
  • Sep 7, 2018 12:52pm Sep 7, 2018 12:52pm
Alright here we go, CVS for todays A quality play (AMAT and OKTA did not come into play).
CVS longed 77,18
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  • #5,678
  • Sep 7, 2018 1:16pm Sep 7, 2018 1:16pm
Quoting janpec1000
Alright here we go, CVS for todays A quality play (AMAT and OKTA did not come into play). CVS longed 77,18 {image}
Todays A quality play CVS, long sold for 1,5R gain. As pointed out many times, A quality plays by default should have 0 DD bellow their key order flow takeout point. That is consistent behaviour in most good quality plays. There is no point whatsoever using large SLs on such plays as behaviour dictates where the stops and Tps should be placed.
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  • #5,679
  • Sep 7, 2018 2:22pm Sep 7, 2018 2:22pm
USDRUB simple highlights of key legs and prints showing accumulation process of RUB shorts in phases and why USDRUB is very likely to print HHs from here. Heavy market orders into down moves and soft accumulation on sell distribution along bearish legs. All phases have to be put into proper context to make sense.

70.X is basically waiting for its test.
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  • #5,680
  • Sep 7, 2018 7:46pm Sep 7, 2018 7:46pm
i missed this one too, very sad, as it could've been a perfect play considering in daily chart it is a pullback leg.

a nice play using macro with micro...... but

Quoting janpec1000
GBPNZD was watching this one for long as soon as heavy leg was printed, placed pending order but no fill, went straight up. Could be A play of the day. {image}
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