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(binned per thread starter's request) Market bottom rotation trad

  • #501
  • Feb 28, 2018 5:00am Feb 28, 2018 5:00am
Quoting toti1981
to me this looked like parabolic drop, so i gave it a try. What do you think Jan? {image}
It is defenetly not parabolic drop since price is not progressing in expanding stages on every stage of drop. A single straight droping price leg is not by default parabolic leg and longing that could be very dangerous as it could just be progressive down trend. Parabolic legs should be traded with strong precision, making sure that you are really following paraboler.
However at the bottom of that drop there certainly was large increase of bull volatility and plenty of insight that price is trying to bottom hard there, so technically your long attempt is good, just not in context of previous drop.
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  • #502
  • Feb 28, 2018 5:03am Feb 28, 2018 5:03am
Tracking GBPUSD for bull play if supply is taken out. In such cases i am never interested playing structures like that as continuation plays since there is clear significant increase of counter trend volatility, the only exception would be if third leg has significant clear weakness on the bounce. This is one of key defirentiation factors on how to decide whether to threat structure as continuation play with trend or a possible rotation trade.
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EURJPY tracking also supply, too hard to tell yet decision on structure, for now more in neutral phase slightly tilted to potential takeout.
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  • #503
  • Feb 28, 2018 5:36am Feb 28, 2018 5:36am
AUDUSD 7807 longed, along with EURJPY.
  • #504
  • Feb 28, 2018 5:53am Feb 28, 2018 5:53am
Quoting janpec1000
AUDUSD 7807 longed, along with EURJPY.
AUDUSD plus 1.5R, EJ -1R. EURJPY might still have potential for higher since strong lows are still holding, but micro shelf clearly failed, looks like someone used SL clearout to push sell orders in and dump it down.
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  • #505
  • Feb 28, 2018 7:06am Feb 28, 2018 7:06am
AUDNZD watching for short play. There is already weakness on current bounce, looking more closely if it takes demand out or makes another small high before takeout.
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  • #506
  • Feb 28, 2018 7:42am Feb 28, 2018 7:42am
Just have EJ running.
Kicked 2/3 after 7 pips out and set to BE.
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Risiko birgt immer auch die Chance.
  • #507
  • Feb 28, 2018 7:42am Feb 28, 2018 7:42am
Quoting janpec1000
AUDNZD watching for short play. There is already weakness on current bounce, looking more closely if it takes demand out or makes another small high before takeout. {image}
AUDNZD decent drop after takeout, did not get filled on short, missed by a pip.

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On equities todays setup for M15 watchlist macro setup is PF. Looking for two price areas for long initiation, obviously if price drops after market open there is no valid setup anymore.
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  • #508
  • Feb 28, 2018 8:01am Feb 28, 2018 8:01am
EURUSD large rotation, watching now for potential supply takeout, due to size of rotation there could be significant pullback on formation of macro shelf, will seek areas to long it if supply is taken out.
Sub-initial 2221, Sub-whole area 2226.
When very condensed structures with strong volatility like that appear in most cases large sharks will take a bite and clearout one side of market, in many cases actually both sides before then properly further baking the trend/bottom/top.
  • #509
  • Feb 28, 2018 8:28am Feb 28, 2018 8:28am
Quoting janpec1000
EURUSD large rotation, watching now for potential supply takeout, due to size of rotation there could be significant pullback on formation of macro shelf, will seek areas to long it if supply is taken out. Sub-initial 2221, Sub-whole area 2226. When very condensed structures with strong volatility like that appear in most cases large sharks will take a bite and clearout one side of market, in many cases actually both sides before then properly further baking the trend/bottom/top.
Swift squeeze trough most of supply as expected, closed long for 1R profits. Now another solid attempt would be longing on macro shelf support for takeout of all supply especially with tight risk could be solid try.
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  • #510
  • Feb 28, 2018 9:16am Feb 28, 2018 9:16am
ETSY looking for continuation play if structure develops some more or gives clean break.
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  • #511
  • Feb 28, 2018 9:44am Feb 28, 2018 9:44am
39,91 TRIP longed.
  • #512
  • Feb 28, 2018 9:52am Feb 28, 2018 9:52am
7221 NU long, potential rotation also for AUDUSD and GBPUSD if initial thin supplies are taken out.
  • #513
  • Feb 28, 2018 10:13am Feb 28, 2018 10:13am
Quoting janpec1000
7221 NU long, potential rotation also for AUDUSD and GBPUSD if initial thin supplies are taken out.
NZDUSD took 1.5R profits. GBPUSD baking some strong HLs, tracking closely for supply takeout to initiate long.
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  • #514
  • Feb 28, 2018 10:41am Feb 28, 2018 10:41am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} NZDUSD took 1.5R profits. GBPUSD baking some strong HLs, tracking closely for supply takeout to initiate long. {image} {image}
GBPUSD closed lower long plus 6R and higher one plus 2R.
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  • #515
  • Feb 28, 2018 10:57am Feb 28, 2018 10:57am
181,69 FB long, setting for potential rotation and supply squeeze.
DIS also on the setup play for long.
  • #516
  • Feb 28, 2018 11:01am Feb 28, 2018 11:01am
AUDUSD on watch for potential supply takeout, HL printed.
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  • #517
  • Feb 28, 2018 11:39am Feb 28, 2018 11:39am
Quoting janpec1000
AUDUSD on watch for potential supply takeout, HL printed. {image}
Micro shelf failed exited in loss -0.8R.
  • #518
  • Feb 28, 2018 11:44am Feb 28, 2018 11:44am
Quoting janpec1000
181,69 FB long, setting for potential rotation and supply squeeze. DIS also on the setup play for long.
DIS squeezed decently.
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  • #519
  • Feb 28, 2018 11:47am Feb 28, 2018 11:47am
CVX here it goes, 114,03 longed, supply taken on short bursted momentum move, potential to move higher.
  • #520
  • Feb 28, 2018 11:51am Feb 28, 2018 11:51am
Dollar clearout and potential supply takeout incoming. Not symmetrical supply thus no entry for me.
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