Swing Trades DAX/DOW/NQ/GOLD

Last lot closed +105p

Tell me Sir.... How’s the Ukranian ceasefire going?
Silence.

How’are the financial markets doing?
"I don't watch the markets".
But Sir markets tanking with Trillions per day?
Silence.

Dow drops 2,200 points Friday, S&P 500 loses 10% in 2 days as Trump’s tariff rout deepens.
Tech megacaps lose $1.8 trillion in 2 days as Trump tariffs lead Nasdaq to worst weekly drop in 5 years.
Trump said if any president lets the Dow go down 1000 points in one day on their watch, they should resign.
He should be fired 2 or 3 times already in his first few months.

$11.1 trillion has been wiped away from the U.S. stock market since Jan. 17, the Friday before President Donald Trump took the oath of office and began his second term.
$6.6 trillion of that figure was lost on Thursday and Friday alone — the largest two-day wipeout of shareholder value on record.

How are Jeffrey Epstein files doing?
Silence.

Government still using signal?
Any apology?
Silence.

Where is all the "fraud" money they talked about "recovering" and sending back to the taxpayers?
Silence.

How about older folks expecting to retire after years of hard work, but now they have to continue working to make up their 401ks?
Silence.

Remember the alarm when discussing Medicare for all Americans, was that it would cost 5 trillion over 10 years.
Well the "US" just lost in just a few days.

How’s TikTok ?
Going Great.
I am the smartest president in the world!

Even if you let your whole MAGA crowd wearing a (Chinese made) cap like this, it doesn't mean your are always right above everything.

Did you all say "Thank you Sir"?

Zuckerberg, Bezos and Musk each lose more than $23 billion after Trump tariffs spark market meltdown

If you want to sit on the front row............ Thank you Mr President that you accepted our donations.

CNBC:

This week’s earnings reports will provide a first look at how CEOs are dealing with the fallout of Trump’s tariff plan.

Big bank earnings will kick off earnings season in the week ahead, and investors will also get to parse more inflation data.

No matter what the numbers reveal, the market’s direction will depend on Trump’s next move. The tariff-driven market rout could end soon if Trump grants relief to trading partners, or it could suddenly get worse as it did on Black Monday in 1987.

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On Friday, he went to Trump International Golf Club in West Palm Beach, before attending a fundraising dinner for a super PAC that backs Trump, MAGA Inc.

The president is golfing today at his club in Jupiter, Florida, as the market continues to reel from his sweeping tariff announcement.

Ofcourse. The man needs a break from all his work doing for America, signing executive orders all day.

https://www.federalregister.gov/pres...ald-trump/2025
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A group of high-profile tech and finance leaders is making a trip to Trump’s Mar-a-Lago resort in Palm Beach, Florida, to “talk common sense” to the president about his sweeping tariffs, several sources told veteran tech journalist Kara Swisher.

“Their million dollar donations to the inauguration is turning into billions and soon trillions in losses,” Swisher said in a post on Threads, not indicating which leaders are part of the group.

You get what you have paid for...............

No prediction since this is unpredictable.

Just poss down targets to pay attention to.

Q1 earnings coming weeks. Could change the direction.......

Some of the world’s least inhabited islands and territories have been hit by U.S. President Donald Trump’s “reciprocal” tariffs on all foreign trading partners — and some appear to have more penguins and polar bears than trade agreements with the U.S.

Top trade aide Peter Navarro downplayed the sharp market sell-off triggered by Trump’s aggressive tariff rollout, vowing stocks will rebound and flourish soon.

“The market will find a bottom. It will be soon, and from there, we’re going to have a bullish boom, and the Dow is going to hit 50,000 during Trump’s term,” he claimed on CNN Saturday.

“The S&P 500 is going to have a very broad based recovery, and wages are going to go up, profits are going to go up, and life is going to be beautiful here in America.”


“Already, more than FIVE TRILLION DOLLARS OF INVESTMENT, and rising fast! THIS IS AN ECONOMIC REVOLUTION, AND WE WILL WIN. HANG TOUGH, it won’t be easy, but the end result will be historic. We will, MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!!!” Trump wrote.

Lets see ...........

Climbing up a mountain (again) costs more effort then tumbling down as markets did last weeks

1. Peace in Gaza? not yet
2. Peace in Ukraine? not yet
3. Peace and love in the world? not yet, instead total chaos and anger vs USA
4. Economy boost in US ? not yet, instead heavy recession in sight
5. Inflation reduced? not yet, instead is on a fast rise, look at the eggs cost rose to the moon.....if you have a chance to find them on US supermarkets....
6. Stock market boom and new golden age? not yet, instead stock market crash at the speed of light, 1930s style

The massive tariffs that President Donald Trump announced for dozens of trading partners Wednesday were pitched as “reciprocal,” simply aiming to match the tariffs other countries charge the United States.

But the methodology behind Trump’s attempt to rebalance trade has nothing to do with the tariff rate that foreign countries impose on the US.
The Trump administration instead used a grossly oversimplified calculation that it said factored in a broad set of issues such as Chinese investment, alleged currency manipulation and other countries’ regulations. The administration’s calculation divided a country’s trade deficit with the US by its exports into the country times 1/2. That’s it.

The president is essentially taking a sledgehammer to address a litany of grievances, using the trade deficit that other countries have with the US as a scapegoat. And the vague calculation could have broad implications for countries America depends on for goods — and the foreign companies that supply them.

The Trump administration is specifically targeting nations with large trade surpluses with the United States relative to their exports to the United States.”

The actual figures are probably closer to the “average Most-Favored-Nation (MFN) applied tariff rate,” which is essentially a ceiling of import taxes that more than 160 nations of the World Trade Organization have agreed to charge each other.

The MFN tariff rates were born out of negotiations among WTO members in the 1990s, when the organization was first founded.
The European Union’s MFN rate is 5%, but the Trump administration said it’s more like 20% because “US exports suffer from the uneven and inconsistent” customs rules across the currency zone.

15 countries with the highest trade deficits with the US, among those subject to Trump tariffs over 10%

Meanwhile, Vietnam’s MFN tariff rate is 9.4%, as of the latest data from 2023, but the Trump administration chalked it up to 46%

On a call with reporters Wednesday, a senior White House official referred to the deficits as a national emergency that must be addressed to retain factories and jobs in the US.

But is it a terrible thing that countries run such deficits with the US? Not necessarily.

Many countries run a trade deficit with the US, according to trade data.The United States runs $230 billion more in imports than exports to the EU, and nearly $300 billion more to China.

“When I go to the store and buy groceries with cash, I run a trade deficit with my grocery store, but does that mean that I’m worse off? Obviously not.
Those are goods that I want, and I don’t need to provide a reciprocal good or service in return. That’s not necessarily a good or a bad thing. It just is.”

Still, the Trump administration has pointed to tariffs aimed at fixing trade deficits as a potential source of government revenue to pay down the national debt and fund tax cuts.

The more concerning issue is that these large across-the-board tariffs incentivize our trading partners to retaliate against us.

Dow futures fall 1,500 points Sunday as Trump tariff market collapse worsens.

U.S. stock futures dropped on Sunday evening as the White House remained defiant even after a two-day historic stock market rout that followed President Donald Trump’s rollout of shockingly high tariff rates on most key U.S. trading partners.

This follows a market wipeout to end last week:

1. The Dow posted back-to-back losses of more than 1,500 points for the first time ever, including a 2,231-point shellacking on Friday.
2. The S&P 500 dropped 6% on Friday for its worst performance since the outbreak of the pandemic in March 2020. The benchmark lost 10% in two days, pushing it to more than 17% below its February record, perilously close to a 20% bear market.
3. The Nasdaq Composite entered a bear market Friday — down 22% from its record — after losses on Thursday and Friday of nearly 6% apiece.

Investors did not receive the news over the weekend they were wishing for that the Trump administration was having successful negotiations with countries to lower the rates, or at the very least, was considering delaying the set of so-called reciprocal tariffs due to take effect April 9. Instead the president and his key advisors played down the sell-off:

Trump said Sunday evening that unless the China trade deficit is solved, there will be no deal, according to Reuters headlines. On the market sell-off, the president told reporters that sometimes you need to take medicine.

 

1. Trump said Sunday evening that unless the China trade deficit is solved, there will be no deal, according to Reuters headlines. On the market sell-off, the president told reporters that sometimes you need to take medicine, according to Reuters.
2. Trump posted on Saturday to Truth Social for people to “hang tough” and that this was an “economic revolution.”
3. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick told CBS News that the tariffs would not be postponed. “The tariffs are coming... They are definitely going to stay in place for days and weeks.”
4. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent noted to NBC News that more than 50 countries have approached the administration for negotiations, but cautioned “they’ve been bad actors for a long time, and it’s not the kind of thing you can negotiate away in days or weeks.”

Fears grew on Wall Street that the sell-off would feed on itself with hedge funds forced to sell down equities and other risky assets to raise cash and meet margin calls. And there were worries that the rapid stock market decline would lead to a vicious circle that would hit the U.S. consumer even before tariffs had an impact.

China says ‘market has spoken’ after Trump tariffs spark global stocks rout


Oil crosses below $60 a barrel on growing recession fears
U.S. oil prices dropped below $60 a barrel on Sunday on fears President Donald Trump’s global tariffs would push the U.S., and maybe the world, into a recession.

MNQ Long 2 lot
Both closed +29/30p

MNQ Short 3 lot 16.653
T1 +33/35p 2 lot. 1 left
Closed +32p last lot

16.500 is SP for now

All markets have GAPs above

Nikkei 225 and Topix plunge 6% on open, futures trading suspended due to circuit breaker

NQ almost 1000p lower from Fridays close
SnP 200p lower from Fridays close
DOW 1400/1500p lower from Fridays close

U.S. stocks bearing the brunt of trillions in market value losses around the globe

He forgot to take his......

MNQ Short 16.710
T1 +15<>17p 4 lot
1 left/SL BE zone
Closed +28p

Above 16.800 they will try to reach 16.900<>17K again (some 50% of latest plunge)
Below 16.500 likely more sell MM again heading 16K -8.0%

MNQ Short again 16.929
T1 +35/37p 3 lot
2 left
T2 +52p 1 lot
1 left/SL BE
Last closed +15p

Stuck at 900 zone for now

ES Mini short 4966 2 lot
T1 +6p 1 lot
1 left
T2 closed +8.25p @ -3.0%


MES short last 2 lot
T2 +8.5p 1 lot
1 left
Last lot closed -5p

Time to tank again?

MNQ Short 16.732 5 lot
T1 +18<>20p 2 lot
T2 +22<>23p 3 lot
1 left/SL BE zone
Closed +10/11p last lot

Price hovers still inside the ETH OR

ES & MES short 4917.50
ES closed +6.25p 1 lor

MES last 2 lots
Closed -2p last 2 lot

Swing shorts MES & MNQ


MNQ 3 lot closed at 695
2 left/SL BE zone
Closed BE last 2 lot
Below 16.550 I will ad more again/will go short again (if it gets there)

MES 4 lot closed at 4908 (4900 SP zone)
1 left/SL BE zone

Below 4850 I will ad more again (if it gets there)

MNQ Short scalp 16.667.75
T1 +17<>20p 2 lot
T2 +44/45p 1 lot @ WS1
1 left

Target 16.550 zone