(binned per thread starter's request) Market bottom rotation trad

Ok point's taken. not as frequent as in equities but happen's. Also want it to be tight I presume to guarantee/enhance probabilities of a good Return.

GERN solid bid stack. Not going to even try with 3,37 fill on this one as its too much to chip trough, instead going with 3,38 fill. Smaller position.

Priority focus on MPC, rotation play of pullback leg- bullish acumulation ongoing. Needs to print strong HH and would be best HL ahead of it too before the entry.

DNKN is a maybe, a bit too soft trading asset, if it bakes concrete HH with momentum its consideration.

MPC went south without HH bake, no play.

TIVO volatility tunnel, looking to long at 13.

TIVO sold break even. No momentum, altough the bid is holding well, but there should be momentum squeeze on volatility tunnel.

GERN bid gave and offers pressed stronger. SL hit.

ABT supply takeout. Looking for long fill.

ABT long sold.

SBUX last one.

CERN on track too.

No break to upside.

Hi, Janpec, this is so revealing to me as this used to be one of the biggest conditions that prevent me from entries.

so if i understand correctly, the length of leg, and the speed of price covering a larger range directly shows the scale/size of the order flow? I know my question is sort of stupid, cos i'm actually asking if high volatility is caused by larger order flow. but i just didn't realised this over these years.

It is not stupid question by any means, in fact majority of traders do not realize that fact and it is one of the most important informations that points what or who is trying to do what or where. Thing is in trading you want to be always behind the strongest player, your job as little fish is to figure out where the sharks are trying to swim to, thus the way price reacts at key levels or how it goes to those levels is what dictates where the current flow is likely to go.
Mind that its not the volatility that matters in terms of orderflow what it matters is relative volatility in structure compared to the leg you are actually tracking and how quickly and strongly that last leg showed strenght. If you have avarage ATR volatility in structure 1X and your last leg just went from LL to HH rotation on single leg with heavy move and 4X volatility print there is a chance someone has been buying strong, but the key info is : where. Where did that move start it signals if that move was caused from liquidation event or if it was "natural" demand increase. Its very important to track those sophisticated details to figure out who is trying to do what.

The thing is that even though your question was somewhat simple, in reality its a very deep question becouse to trade with edge you need dig really deep in order flow data. Many traders will assume that huge strong move with volatility in one direction by itself means something, but the real answer is...it all depends on additional informations and situation. Nothing is relative in trading. 100 pips move in 1 hour EURUSD is medium move , but in pegged currency pair that is a huge move. So any info has to be stripped down into all additional data to know where you are.
So for supply or demand takeouts its important to take whole movements in structure into consideration and then to put that last leg if it really stands out then consider that as potential targeted attempt for one side of market to give up.

Generally traders will understand or underestiamte the strenght of the move into "support or resistance", so if a strong quick move happens into resistance they will be more likely to short it in expectations that price will be more quickly rejected, where the reality actually stands on the other side, especially if its backed by behaviour change compared to previous moves in structure.

Trading the price structures is all about thinking how and where order flow is reacting at the end is all about mathematics, it seems like its all about visuals but its not. Two process are to focus on, one is accumulation and second is heavy orders that completly change the previous behaviour. Accumulation is explained on this thread trough pullback leg rotation after impulse moves, in terms what you need to track of, and heavy orders are explained usually trough takeouts or clearouts or adiditional other patterns.

To keep in mind, the most important thing in order flow trading is to keep any info in the context, never assume anything on the face value, always compare it to: what. So if you ask yourself : the length of leg, and the speed of price covering a larger range directly shows the scale/size of the order flow?
The real question should be, depending on what you are comparing it to, to what happened in structure previously.

I can't thank you enough, Janpec ! Truly appreciate your teaching!

are you trading in indian equity also nse

Not trading Indian equities its not enough liquidity to trade M1 charts, only US equities have enough liquidity usually. Foreign equity markets are tradeable but only on H1 and up, there are some solid long only strategies one can approach on continuation setups but its for more highly capitalized players as there is only few plays per month usually.

Italy macro play - EURO, 10y bonds, IT40

And here we go, key Italys coalition political parties reaching a agreement on cooperation, and the macro play for EURO and Italys 10y bonds is starting to hit the road very soon. Debt relief, huge tax cuts and parallel currency are all on table for new goverment and we are settling up for another "Greece play".
It has been outlined on this thread before how this will likely play out, but to point it out again bellow.

To outline again how to expect this macro to play out and how to play it, and why its very important macro play to focus on:
1.From early June till 11th markets will be reacting with fear flows on EURO on any chance where the pre-election polls show a decent victory of current projected coalition, likely to see EURO selloffs if results are pointed that way, however if pre-elections show oposite results and the EURO rallies then that opens a larger panic play if on actual 11th results are the oposite as market will have to realign (Brexit play).
From trading perspective there is nothing to do until 11th for that macro play, sit and wait and observe how and what are markets pricing in to preapare for later macro play.
2.If current planed coalition with Five star party is confirmed on 11th June 23:00, then the Tokyo will open delivering soft selloff of EURO very likely, and as soon as London opens macro play is on, shorting EURUSD on bearish momentum plays or accumulations. Italy equities (IT40) and Italys 10y bond are also in play, IT40 its hard to say which direction will it took, the point is to just follow the momentum which ever way it goes. Bonds should enter correlated flows along with EURO on bear side.
3. Expecting a big volatility swings and spikes, Germany and ECB will most likely take a strong stance and decline any policies from new formed goverment, which will have a defacto bullish impact on EURO. Once and if all the policies are rejected the bearish macro play will took a 180 degree turn and put EURO into bullish drive mode, depending how much has not yet been corrected.

The key to focus is second phase where the most juice will be. Most likely most of policies will not get trough as debt haircut is not acceptable for German banks nor ECB and parallel currency would simply be the beginning of the end of EUR zone so not expecting any to go trough, they will try however just as Greece did.

H4, cadjpy, rotation, with a clearout and single leg into supply, and now shelfing.
my read might be wrong, thanks for letting me know if so.