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Cycle Trading

  • #1,101
  • Feb 7, 2018 8:32am Feb 7, 2018 8:32am
GBPUSD short worked out. A little forecast.. a little trading range.. a little reversion to the mean.

http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Feb.%2007.gif
  • #1,102
  • Feb 8, 2018 9:13am Feb 8, 2018 9:13am
Here's something I've been sitting on for years. I should call it something with marketability value like Market DNA Extraction Model. I basically take the components of an impulse wave and correction and build out time/cycle projections. The length of each section and the 1/2 way point are time divisions. The major points, 1/2 way points, and extensions of the initial triangle are price divisions. 4 hr chart and why I was looking long on the EURUSD:

Entry analysis: http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Feb.%2008.gif
Progress thus far: http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Feb.%2008.gif

Here are the option strikes I chose and result. 1.2260 as the high prob. cost cover strike and 1.2280 as the aggressive strike. Both set to cash on the touch and both cashed. The trades were against the trend and on the risky side hence why I chose a shorter strike of 1.2280 instead a more aggressive one.

http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Feb.%2008.gif
http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Feb.%2008.gif
  • #1,103
  • Feb 8, 2018 9:20am Feb 8, 2018 9:20am
Quoting JR97
Here are the option strikes I chose and result. 1.2260 as the high prob. cost cover strike and 1.2280 as the aggressive strike. Both set to cash on the touch and both cashed. The trades were against the trend and on the risky side hence why I chose a shorter strike of 1.2280 instead a more aggressive one. http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Feb.%2008.gif http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Feb.%2008.gif...
Normally, I wouldn't have been up that late to look long. I would have been looking to short with the trend right around the London open. But I didn't get home from hockey until almost 2:00 am mst and the 4h cycle was setting for a long. I'm not looking for anymore trades today and might be done for the week since I won't be home until next week.
  • #1,104
  • Feb 12, 2018 10:12am Feb 12, 2018 10:12am
Nadex EURUSD for last night/this morning. Long 1.2260 and 1.2230 at the Frankfurt open. Got in on the pull back, but pull back went all night. Got in another 1.2260 when price dropped below it. Sitting pretty now. I thought the major cycles were showing signs of invert, hence going long on the initial entries. larger cycle proved accurate and gave me the green light to go long again.

http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Feb.%2012.gif
http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Feb.%2012.gif

GBPUSD spot long since Friday going off of a 4h cycle. Right now the cycle is showing the retrace bottom but I won't be adding on. Need to see a higher high and pullback first. It was up 80 pips or so yesterday but right now is only around 25.

http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Feb.%2011.gif
http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Feb.%2012.gif
  • #1,105
  • Feb 12, 2018 6:36pm Feb 12, 2018 6:36pm
Got out of the GBPUSD spot with about 40 pips.

EURUSD binaries were profitable as price broke up towards. 1.2300 and well past 1.2260.
  • #1,106
  • Feb 13, 2018 2:06am Feb 13, 2018 2:06am
EURUSD spot shorts and Nadex shorts with 1.2300 and 1.2280 strikes. Price Time forecast along with a Gann Square.

http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Feb.%2013.gif
  • #1,107
  • Feb 13, 2018 7:25am Feb 13, 2018 7:25am
Hi, i like the way you study the charts. I read some of your posts abaut gann and cycle. I'm reading  Jenkins and i'm sure you can help me in my hunderstanding of some aspect. The first one. How to adapt the theory of cycle to the decimals prices.
I send some screeshot of my Gann's application maybe we could exchage some informations.
Thanks
 
 
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  • #1,108
  • Feb 14, 2018 8:32am Feb 14, 2018 8:32am
Quoting JR97
EURUSD spot shorts and Nadex shorts with 1.2300 and 1.2280 strikes. Price Time forecast along with a Gann Square. http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Feb.%2013.gif
Took the losses on those.
Did some AUDUSD Nadex Asian session trading and came out about b/e. Screenshots for those maybe later.

Current batch of spot trades are all in profit. EURUSD and GBPUSD trades cashed. Best day of trading in a while. I guess it was all due to some US eco news. Cycle tool was spot on. Even threw the Gann square in the mix.

GBPUSD spot and cashed nadex 1.3860: http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Feb.%2014.gif

EURUSD spot and cashed nadex 1.2340: http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Feb.%2014.gif

EURUSD gann square: http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Feb.%2014.gif

USDCAD spot: http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Feb.%2014.gif

AUDUSD spot: http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Feb.%2014.gif
  • #1,109
  • Feb 14, 2018 8:35am Feb 14, 2018 8:35am
Quoting Nick77
How to adapt the theory of cycle to the decimals prices. I send some screeshot of my Gann's application maybe we could exchage some informations. Thanks     {image} {image} {image}
Cycle to decimal prices is just a method of converting price to time. For example 1.2340 could be 1.2340 days/hours/bars. Or 12.340 or 123.40 or 12340 or 23.4 or 234.0 or whatever. Just play around and see what hits.

Not sure what your screenshots are showing.
  • #1,110
  • Feb 14, 2018 9:02am Feb 14, 2018 9:02am
Quoting JR97
Long term GBPUSD http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Jan.%2031.gif
GPBUSD Long term: http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Feb.%2014.gif

EURUSD Long term: http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Feb.%2014.gif
  • #1,111
  • Feb 14, 2018 9:04am Feb 14, 2018 9:04am
US Crude. short for a while. Check out that entry. naked price action. demo, though. I might get back to trading oil and indices on nadex again. Just testing out how close the Windsor pricing is to the futures pricing.

http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Feb.%2014.gif
  • #1,112
  • Feb 14, 2018 9:46am Feb 14, 2018 9:46am
woh. Trailing stops triggered across the board. pretty wild swings.
  • #1,113
  • Feb 14, 2018 10:04am Feb 14, 2018 10:04am
I post again my study on Eurusd daily.
I was long and waiting for an opportunity to enter and the deep on the news gave a nice bounce on my trend.
936493872018.02.14 15:34:46buy1.00eurusd1.229230.000000.00000
Do you know how this http://www.pivottrading.co.in/pages/forexGannSquare.php square of nine works. I would like to set up on excel or to build up some indicators with the formula.
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  • #1,114
  • Feb 14, 2018 11:37am Feb 14, 2018 11:37am
Quoting Nick77
I post again my study on Eurusd daily. I was long and waiting for an opportunity to enter and the deep on the news gave a nice bounce on my trend. 936493872018.02.14 15:34:46buy1.00eurusd1.229230.000000.00000 Do you know how this http://www.pivottrading.co.in/pages/forexGannSquare.php square of nine works. I would like to set up on excel or to build up some indicators with the formula. {image}
I know the Sq9 inside and out and in dozens of ways to use including astro. I don't use it much anymore. I'll dig up my old spreadsheets if I still have them. I've also got sq9 indicators somewhere. I won't give those to you because I don't give out indicators I've made but I'll give out the algorithm and you can program it yourself or someone else do it.

My old blog goes into using it quite a bit but none of the images work anymore.

http://4xcycletrader.blogspot.com/
  • #1,115
  • Feb 14, 2018 4:53pm Feb 14, 2018 4:53pm
Thanks a lot.
I'm interested in particular to the one on the site. I follow their instruction and built on excel one for the stock but i cannot find the way to manage the forex one. Since i'm testing a strategy, with for the moment positive results (over 70% of right previsions), i need a better understanding of the math behind.
I've different indicators of the square but still looking for the right one, and i can manage to program some easy indicator.
I saw you have a deep knowledge of astro and not only related to the square, i read some of your posts about. I use only the planets as support and resistance, but at the moment they are not integrated in any TS. I use mt4 and i've been able to run only body position and silvan (not sure abaut the spelling) aspect.
You could help with the indicator "silvan" aspect. I select some aspects and a couple of planet, but then how i read the bars on the indicator? Where can i find some "instruction"? Should i try all the possible combination or there some ready made setup. I'trade above all Eurusd.
I'will read some book from the Gann library abaut the astrological aspect but i'm afraid it will take some time and energy before to be able to use it rightly. Have you any titles to suggest?
Tomorrow i'm still long on Eurusd also if after today run some retracement will not be unexpected.
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  • #1,116
  • Feb 15, 2018 7:25am Feb 15, 2018 7:25am
[quote=JR97;10757997]Here's something I've been sitting on for years. I should call it something with marketability value like Market DNA Extraction Model. I basically take the components of an impulse wave and correction and build out time/cycle projections. The length of each section and the 1/2 way point are time divisions. The major points, 1/2 way points, and extensions of the initial triangle are price divisions. quote]

I'm not very smart. Could you explain in a more easy way, maybe with some indication on the charts. It's surely sound interesting and quite the way i like to see things.
  • #1,117
  • Feb 16, 2018 9:54am Feb 16, 2018 9:54am
Didn't see any discernable patterns in currencies. So I switched up to silver which had pulled back to a lower high. Shorted on the cycle high. Nadex take profit triggered on the cycle bottom almost to the cent.

http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Feb.%2016.gif
  • #1,118
  • Feb 16, 2018 9:58am Feb 16, 2018 9:58am
Quoting Nick77
Should i try all the possible combination or there some ready made setup. I'trade above all Eurusd. I'will read some book from the Gann library abaut the astrological aspect but i'm afraid it will take some time and energy before to be able to use it rightly. Have you any titles to suggest?
Too be honest, I just suggest trying out every aspect/planet/method and just keep experimenting until you find something that hits consistent. That's a lot more practical than trying to decipher veiled and coded language from Gann's writings.
  • #1,119
  • Feb 23, 2018 8:49am Feb 23, 2018 8:49am
Haven't been diligent about keeping this thing updated. Good week overall. Had a few Nadex losers but mostly winners. All of my spot trades were winners.

Here's last night's winners:
USD/JPY. 1 spot entry. A Nadex Spread (The yellow box) and an OTM Binary. Spot and Spread both finished with 40 pips. I closed the OTM Binary early for $10 profit per contract. There still a chance it could hit the target, but I didn't want to chance it since the down cycle was done.
entry: http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Feb.%2023.gif
exit: http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Feb.%2023.gif

GBP/USD: 1 spot entry going long on the forecast cycle and trend higher low. exit on the forecast cycle high for 60 pips.
entry: http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Feb.%2023.gif
exit: http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Feb.%2023.gif

EUR/USD: 1 spot entry going long and 1 OTM 1.2320 binary. Was very hesitant taking this one. Forecast showed consolidation. binary was within "tolerance". I booked 10 pips on the spot trade at the US open and the binary barely cashed right after the London open. *whew*.
entry: http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Feb.%2023.gif
exit: http://content.screencast.com/users/...0Feb.%2023.gif
  • #1,120
  • Feb 23, 2018 4:29pm Feb 23, 2018 4:29pm
https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...54#post3653754

Quoting JR97
This umoo stuff is pretty addicting. I should stop. lol The up/down game I've been playing is basically binary options. You put up an amount and the payout is fixed. Currently, the eurusd pays out bet + 69% on a win and 15% of bet on a loss. Options are for 60 min. and you can get it anytime up to 10 min. from expiration. I think the closer you get to expiration the higher price, though. Anywho, I've finally got a little system down and it's paying off. Attached are my last plays. I had a couple of home runs on a home run setup, but I've dialed...
This was the first binary platform/broker way back when. Kinda weird I've come full circle back to Binaries.
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