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Make More Money - Eliminate DRAMA 11 replies

Just posting my trades, everyone is welcome but no drama 2 replies

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Gold with No Drama

  • #57,201
  • Jun 15, 4:18am (11 hr ago) Jun 15, 4:18am (11 hr ago)
Quoting shawkat2025
{quote} No I think it is 4450 at least as NY traders want to make money, they know how already.
Gold will go down, it needs some dummies or some idiots to listen to such a chatter, i learnt one lesson through watching the market 2002+ "there are market dynamics".
  • #57,202
  • Jun 15, 4:19am (11 hr ago) Jun 15, 4:19am (11 hr ago)
Quoting shawkat2025
{quote} No I think it is 4450 at least as NY traders want to make money, they know how already.
yes, hence why i just said 4396....thats my minimum target. but only after NY overlap
  • #57,203
  • Jun 15, 4:21am (11 hr ago) Jun 15, 4:21am (11 hr ago)
Quoting shawkat2025
{quote} Gold will go down, it needs some dummies or some idiots to listen to such a chatter, i learnt one lesson through watching the market 2002+ "there are market dynamics".
As a marine engineer I view everything from the dynamics point of view, studying seas and oceans enhancedc my thinking and my understanding in such a way, wake up please we are talking about gold and silver.
  • #57,204
  • Jun 15, 4:23am (11 hr ago) Jun 15, 4:23am (11 hr ago)
Quoting shawkat2025
{quote} As a marine engineer I view everything from the dynamics point of view, studying seas and oceans enhancedc my thinking and my understanding in such a way, wake up please we are talking about gold and silver.
Every 1% rate hike costs the US GOVERNMENT 600 BILLION DOLLARS A YEAR.
  • #57,205
  • Jun 15, 4:25am (11 hr ago) Jun 15, 4:25am (11 hr ago)
Quoting nichi
thank me later {image}
  • #57,206
  • Jun 15, 4:25am (11 hr ago) Jun 15, 4:25am (11 hr ago)
Quoting shawkat2025
{quote} Every 1% rate hike costs the US GOVERNMENT 600 BILLION DOLLARS A YEAR.
1% or o.1 %, check Mr. President Trump tweets, yes now he is
Mr. President. I hope you wake up before silver is over 90 and gold is over 5K.
  • #57,207
  • Jun 15, 4:27am (11 hr ago) Jun 15, 4:27am (11 hr ago)
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  • #57,208
  • Jun 15, 4:27am (11 hr ago) Jun 15, 4:27am (11 hr ago)
Quoting shawkat2025
{quote} No I think it is 4450 at least as NY traders want to make money, they know how already.

I have that one but as max to weekly, not for a single day, but never say never at gold....
It all depends the pivot, i had 4422 too, is zones if we reach i look for sells, but are not the only ones.


EDIT: And we are forming two candle pattern that can keeep bullish momentum, 30m delta is not beeing respected etc, i just prefer stay with my daily template that 90% of the times 4328.715 can be taped. If we break the highs i adjust the test accordingly
  • #57,209
  • Jun 15, 4:32am (11 hr ago) Jun 15, 4:32am (11 hr ago)
Quoting shawkat2025
{quote} 1% or o.1 %, check Mr. President Trump tweets, yes now he is Mr. President. I hope you wake up before silver is over 90 and gold is over 5K.
Exactly 7 hours ago, most of you were confident that 4321 is a test for a rejection LOLs. Yikes.
  • #57,210
  • Jun 15, 4:35am (11 hr ago) Jun 15, 4:35am (11 hr ago)
what do you think ?
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  • #57,211
  • Jun 15, 4:37am (11 hr ago) Jun 15, 4:37am (11 hr ago)
Quoting shawkat2025
{quote} Exactly 7 hours ago, most of you were confident that 4321 is a test for a rejection LOLs. Yikes.

Daily still can as weekly....
You should not fomo either.
Don't get me wrong...
4321 is a weekly level, daily can give you a clue just that...
  • #57,212
  • Edited 5:02am Jun 15, 4:49am (10 hr ago) | Edited 5:02am
I usually value a wider view :

Forwarded this email? Subscribe here for more
Warsh’s Three Narrow Roads to a Cut
Every road to a rate cut has narrowed. Could the ceasefire reopen them?
Gianluca Benigno
Jun 15
Kevin Warsh runs his first Fed meeting tomorrow. Trump picked him in January to deliver cuts. He arrives with the case for one largely gone, and with markets that stopped pricing cuts long ago — some now leaning toward a hike. Today’s announced ceasefire, though, could rewrite the whole story.
In my latest article for the Herald Collection, I discuss Warsh’s rationale behind rate cuts and how their case has weakened.
Inflation was 2.4% when he was named. Then an oil shock took over, and CPI ran to 4.2% (see the latest US May-26 CPI inflation report), the hottest in three years. Warsh had three real routes to a cut anyway, and each one narrowed:

  1. AI was supposed to be disinflationary. For now, the build-out lifts demand; the productivity comes later. Powell calls it “probably pushing inflation up.”
  2. A trimmed-mean gauge near target was his cleanest cover. But even the Dallas Fed, which builds that number, has cautioned it may be reading softer than the underlying trend right now.
  3. Shrinking the balance sheet to offset a cut isn’t on the table. It’s growing; the Fed is buying roughly $40bn of bonds a month to keep markets funded.

He can’t simply force the issue either. He is one vote of twelve on a committee that rotated three hawks this year. Powell stayed on as a governor, so the man Warsh replaced still holds a vote Warsh may need.
The wild card is today’s ceasefire. The entire no-cut case rests on energy. If the truce holds and oil unwinds, the spike that closed Warsh’s options could begin to reverse — and the question he can’t answer tomorrow reopens within weeks.
So watch the dots, not the rate.
Read the full column in The Korea Herald here (no paywall)
Also see my related post on inflation risks coming from supply chain disruptions.
The Return of Non-Linear Inflation: Part II Update
The Return of Non-Linear Inflation: Part II
The Return of Non-Linear Inflation: Part I
Thanks for reading The Central Banks' Watcher! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.
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  • #57,213
  • Jun 15, 4:56am (10 hr ago) Jun 15, 4:56am (10 hr ago)
let's say
crude is testing 80.16
gold - 4346

MS1

be patient

dolce vita
  • #57,214
  • Jun 15, 4:58am (10 hr ago) Jun 15, 4:58am (10 hr ago)
Quoting shawkat2025
{quote} Exactly 7 hours ago, most of you were confident that 4321 is a test for a rejection LOLs. Yikes.
boss this is gold. i have seen it sell off 120 dollars in 3 hrs last year. so anything is possible. we no longer have the central bank buying we once had
  • #57,215
  • Jun 15, 4:58am (10 hr ago) Jun 15, 4:58am (10 hr ago)
Quoting shawkat2025
{quote} I usually value a broader view : {image} Forwarded this email? Subscribe...
I am not saying we don't go bullish either.
I trade price and not speculations, already said it early today, to me is a test of this level 1st place, and then i will see long term probabilities...
I am not saying you are wrong either...
  • #57,216
  • Jun 15, 5:04am (10 hr ago) Jun 15, 5:04am (10 hr ago)
Quoting shawkat2025
I usually value a wider view : Forwarded this email? Subscribe...

great work.
Technical analysis always came second to macroeconomics.
  • #57,217
  • Jun 15, 5:05am (10 hr ago) Jun 15, 5:05am (10 hr ago)
Quoting babayaga
let's say crude is testing 80.16 gold - 4346 MS1 be patient
Crude will close around 72-74 closing NY BELL TONIGHT.
  • #57,218
  • Jun 15, 5:06am (10 hr ago) Jun 15, 5:06am (10 hr ago)
Quoting Rustinpeace
{quote} great work. Technical analysis always came second to macroeconomics.
Technical analysis rule #1, for every trend there might be a sudden reversal, a wildcard, plz read the article.
  • #57,219
  • Jun 15, 5:09am (10 hr ago) Jun 15, 5:09am (10 hr ago)
Quoting shawkat2025
{quote} Crude will close around 72-74 closing NY BELL TONIGHT.
How are you so sure about this?
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #57,220
  • Jun 15, 5:10am (10 hr ago) Jun 15, 5:10am (10 hr ago)
Quoting Olu
{quote} How are you so sure about this?
nobody is sure, its all perspective and opinion
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