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  • #91,801
  • Sep 10, 2025 5:26am Sep 10, 2025 5:26am
Quoting Thomas.
{quote} No need to apologize, its your money. So what are you gonna do with those sells? Add more, hold them open? In this market sitaution i wouldent look for Sell reversals like that, rather follow strong bearish momentum for sells, even if that seems harder to do. No need in guessing the top
i am hoping , and more then that ,i Belive that it will retrace to my entry prices
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yes yes yes
  • #91,802
  • Sep 10, 2025 5:36am Sep 10, 2025 5:36am
As long as the rejection at 3,660-65 holds, the short-term bias favors sellers within the broader bullish channel. Price is likely to retrace toward the 3,600 support area, with further downside possible if selling accelerates.
Patience
  • #91,803
  • Sep 10, 2025 5:41am Sep 10, 2025 5:41am
newbie question, will ATH [ all time high ] break today
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  • #91,804
  • Sep 10, 2025 5:46am Sep 10, 2025 5:46am
Quoting PatienceFx
newbie question, will ATH [ all time high ] break today {image}
because when nfp can be negative then how can ppi be positive ?

why will the production manager be interested in fresh orders when there is no workforce to do it.

Means gold will PUNCTURE the roof
  • #91,805
  • Sep 10, 2025 5:46am Sep 10, 2025 5:46am
Today’s Bias: Short
• Break above 3650 → Flip to Long

PPI today, CPI tomorrow — directional catalysts lining up. Let the numbers lead, not mislead.
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GoldGod Flip3 Return Today: na
  • #91,806
  • Sep 10, 2025 5:52am Sep 10, 2025 5:52am
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} because when nfp can be negative then how can ppi be positive ? why will the production manager be interested in fresh orders when there is no workforce to do it. Means gold will PUNCTURE the roof
Yes, the Producer Price Index (PPI) can be negative even if Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) are negative, and vice-versa, as they are distinct measures of economic health. A negative NFP indicates job losses, while a negative PPI indicates falling wholesale prices or producer inflation, which could signal deflationary pressures. However, these two events are not directly linked; a weak NFP could accompany a weak PPI or a stronger PPI, depending on various economic factors influencing production costs and employment levels.
Understanding the Indices

  1. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP):
    This report, released by the Department of Labor, measures the change in the number of employed people in the U.S. economy, excluding agricultural workers, government employees, private household employees, and non-profit organization employees.

  1. A negative NFP means that more jobs were lost than gained in the previous month, signaling a potential slowdown or weakness in the labor market.

  1. Producer Price Index (PPI):
    This index, also from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), tracks the average change over time in the selling prices received by domestic producers for their output.

  1. A negative PPI indicates a decline in wholesale prices, which is a form of deflation in the primary markets.

How They Can Be Negative Independently

  1. Weak Economy and Deflation:
    If the economy is struggling, businesses may face reduced demand, leading them to cut jobs (negative NFP) and reduce their selling prices to compete (negative PPI).

  1. Sector-Specific Weakness:
    Employment figures and producer prices can be affected by different factors. For example, a downturn in a specific industry might lead to job losses in that sector (negative NFP) while overall production costs for other industries might still be declining (negative PPI).
  2. Central Bank Policy:
    Interest rate decisions by the Federal Reserve can influence both employment and inflation. If the Fed is trying to stimulate a weak economy, it might lower interest rates, which could reduce production costs and lead to a negative PPI, even if job losses are still a concern.

  • #91,807
  • Edited 6:16am Sep 10, 2025 6:06am | Edited 6:16am
Quoting Deal
{quote} However it should average like i said before, particulary waiting for US news. Let's wait. Average price at 3649.555
Not bad, but i will not go against London without see Ny.

EDIT: My bull TP is still pointing to 3665.935, no more scalps till then on sell. Have two confluences pointing that price.
  • #91,808
  • Sep 10, 2025 6:14am Sep 10, 2025 6:14am
Selling bias but zero sell setup today zero profit, fuck trap seller
Will is the most powerful weapon in the world.
  • #91,809
  • Sep 10, 2025 6:17am Sep 10, 2025 6:17am
This is the 3x month DXY chart. Current candle seems like it might flipp bearish. Meaning weaker USD and continuation of the strong bearish previous candles.

So a weaker USD means higher gold Prices. Just something to watch out for. Im only shortterm with the sells for now in Gold. Higher timeframe bias still bullish
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1k to 100k Copy Trading All Time Return: 367.9%
  • #91,810
  • Sep 10, 2025 6:22am Sep 10, 2025 6:22am
Quoting Thomas.
This is the 3x month DXY chart. Current candle seems like it might flipp bearish. Meaning weaker USD and continuation of the strong bearish previous candles. So a weaker USD means higher gold Prices. Just something to watch out for. Im only shortterm with the sells for now in Gold. Higher timeframe bias still bullish {image}
here same chart monthly DXY. This is key for the higher timeframe gold trend. If 3/6x month candle flipps bearish. That would mean Gold has a lot of room to go up to adjust higher to a weaker usd
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1k to 100k Copy Trading All Time Return: 367.9%
  • #91,811
  • Sep 10, 2025 6:23am Sep 10, 2025 6:23am
My ideal buy set up was at 3646.625, price don't tap there...
  • #91,812
  • Sep 10, 2025 6:44am Sep 10, 2025 6:44am
Quoting Deal
My ideal buy set up was at 3646.625, price don't tap there...
Soon it could be there
Patience
  • #91,813
  • Sep 10, 2025 6:49am Sep 10, 2025 6:49am
Quoting PatienceFx
newbie question, why is gold climbing ?
Weak Dollar > Rate Cut next week
PPI > Import Prices
CPI > PPI
We obey the structure that results from the market's reaction
  • #91,814
  • Sep 10, 2025 6:49am Sep 10, 2025 6:49am
Quoting Deal
My ideal buy set up was at 3646.625, price don't tap there...
Is pin pointing the average, if don't bounce before 8:30 NY from 3646.625 i cancel the buy setup and wait.
The ideal is have that position already breakeven at that time.

Because daily already average is range based on weekly average.
Is not random this retrace, unless news give motive to extend it will not go further.
  • #91,815
  • Sep 10, 2025 7:04am Sep 10, 2025 7:04am
Quoting abimalik
{quote} here is the updated one {image}
here is one more scenerio
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  • #91,816
  • Sep 10, 2025 7:08am Sep 10, 2025 7:08am
Quoting Deal
{quote} Is pin pointing the average, if don't bounce before 8:30 NY from 3646.625 i cancel the buy setup and wait. The ideal is have that position already breakeven at that time. Because daily already average is range based on weekly average. Is not random this retrace, unless news give motive to extend it will not go further.
New Plan...
I reduce the risk on that setup by half, because this price should bounce something, counting with a tap on news now and fly.
Is worth the risk for me...
  • #91,817
  • Sep 10, 2025 7:20am Sep 10, 2025 7:20am
target daily ATR but will ppi bring it higher got burned yesterday on the reversal
Easy Does it.
  • #91,818
  • Sep 10, 2025 7:22am Sep 10, 2025 7:22am
3680~3720 last push can be possible.
  • #91,819
  • Sep 10, 2025 7:28am Sep 10, 2025 7:28am
Quoting Tintin2014
3680~3720 last push can be possible.
All depends on the data I believe. SL set at 3640 (total of yesterdays profits)
Insane in the Brain..
  • #91,820
  • Sep 10, 2025 7:30am Sep 10, 2025 7:30am
Quoting Deal
{quote} New Plan... I reduce the risk on that setup by half, because this price should bounce something, counting with a tap on news now and fly. Is worth the risk for me...
BAD luck lol

Don't tap...
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