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  • #91,441
  • Sep 8, 2025 2:54am Sep 8, 2025 2:54am
took profits at 3611 and closed all positions until the overlap.
  • #91,442
  • Sep 8, 2025 2:58am Sep 8, 2025 2:58am
Not my day, OMG!
I am selling damm.
I only had one fk ema against me and IDR NY Friday.
Its the problem how brokers print candles, was reading one that print a gap and never saw the real open.
However ATR for the day is at his pick or near, 1 deviation last week, some reaction here, so i will apply a mean strategy, so this time no particular price but i believe we will comeback to weekly open, just don't know if at 0.25 or 0.50 deviation.
Be safe and stick to the rules, 3603/3604 Monthly and Wekkly targets finally achieve, so if a 4h candle close above is danger sell, be safe here for both sides....

3616/620 sensitive prices also...
  • #91,443
  • Sep 8, 2025 3:03am Sep 8, 2025 3:03am
Quoting Deal
Not my day, OMG! I am selling damm. I only had one fk ema against me and IDR NY Friday. Its the problem how brokers print candles, was reading one that print a gap and never saw the real open. However ATR for the day is at his pick or near, 1 deviation last week, some reaction here, so i will apply a mean strategy, so this time no particular price but i believe we will comeback to weekly open, just don't know if at 0.25 or 0.50 deviation. Be safe and stick to the rules, 3603/3604 Monthly and Wekkly targets finally achieve, so if a 4h candle close...
i see sign of seller from last friday, but that H1 close was confirm breakout, there is no more reason to sell now
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Will is the most powerful weapon in the world.
  • #91,444
  • Sep 8, 2025 3:21am Sep 8, 2025 3:21am
Quoting Raventine
{quote} i see sign of seller from last friday, but that H1 close was confirm breakout, there is no more reason to sell now {image}
For me it all depends how this 1h ends, at 3620 we will have resistance, that should average my entrie at 3612.965.
I am very confortable with my mean strategy, is obvious risky sell, but a mean strategy have always his drawdowns.
  • #91,445
  • Sep 8, 2025 3:28am Sep 8, 2025 3:28am
Quoting Deal
{quote} For me it all depends how this 1h ends, at 3620 we will have resistance, that should average my entrie at 3612.965. I am very confortable with my mean strategy, is obvious risky sell, but a mean strategy have always his drawdowns.
3616 already average, im now selling breakeven in 1 position and the first one closed.
  • #91,446
  • Sep 8, 2025 3:36am Sep 8, 2025 3:36am
Quoting Deal
{quote} For me it all depends how this 1h ends, at 3620 we will have resistance, that should average my entrie at 3612.965. I am very confortable with my mean strategy, is obvious risky sell, but a mean strategy have always his drawdowns.
this H1 closure mean nothing anymore, there is no sign of seller, also way above good buy location, IMO better to wait. Only when H1 engulf appear i will looking to sell, otherwise i do not play game of guessing the top
Will is the most powerful weapon in the world.
  • #91,447
  • Sep 8, 2025 3:47am Sep 8, 2025 3:47am
Quoting Raventine
{quote} this H1 closure mean nothing anymore, there is no sign of seller, also way above good buy location, IMO better to wait. Only when H1 engulf appear i will looking to sell, otherwise i do not play game of guessing the top
Is not guessing this fluctuation is why mean reversion applied, already give me half of my Asia loss back and still in the trade breakeven that only will close at 3597.
If this breakeven is hit at 3620 i will do it again, this is a predefined range for gold. The question is if we want be greedy or not.
I only aim 1% a day, once this conditions are met, i am out of market.
Today start a bad day by my fault, but this prices are not one mistake.
  • #91,448
  • Sep 8, 2025 3:59am Sep 8, 2025 3:59am
Have a feeling we may have seen the london session highs. As no attempt to try and break further upwards. However I’m not convinced either that we won’t go much further. Not sure who mentioned 3640 earlier but that could be possible later
Insane in the Brain..
  • #91,449
  • Sep 8, 2025 4:02am Sep 8, 2025 4:02am
Just to clarify, 3616 is a 1.5 Deviation of hidden Ny IDR that most likely will be tested, is a predefined range of gold movement for a day, here it is always subjective wich algo is running in, there are two, so it is the reason i applie mean strategy here, is not 100% granted wich one.
At least without high impact news they are very consistent and profitable.
Obvious i prefer beeing in this conditions in the side of buys, but it did't give this conditions at sellside.

But you can expect normally a 7500 points/10000 points at this prices minimun.
  • #91,450
  • Sep 8, 2025 4:10am Sep 8, 2025 4:10am
Quoting BeeTogether
Have a feeling we may have seen the london session highs. As no attempt to try and break further upwards. However I’m not convinced either that we won’t go much further. Not sure who mentioned 3640 earlier but that could be possible later
3620/3624 if we break above 3616 for a new pullback.
In that case my mean strategy runner will be not 3597 but 3.604.
And obvious i will enter again... Because if this happens my breakeven of first try was boosted.
  • #91,451
  • Sep 8, 2025 4:11am Sep 8, 2025 4:11am
Quoting Tintin2014
{quote} it's already trying to stabilize above around 3580~82. tried to push down 3574~75 but could not hold the price much longer. and whenever gold price touch xx80~85 it always tends to cross xx00 and then go xx05~07~13.

typical gold price pattern. very high chances that during NY session 3628~36 range will touch.
  • #91,452
  • Sep 8, 2025 4:42am Sep 8, 2025 4:42am
Quoting Deal
Just to clarify, 3616 is a 1.5 Deviation of hidden Ny IDR that most likely will be tested, is a predefined range of gold movement for a day, here it is always subjective wich algo is running in, there are two, so it is the reason i applie mean strategy here, is not 100% granted wich one. At least without high impact news they are very consistent and profitable. Obvious i prefer beeing in this conditions in the side of buys, but it did't give this conditions at sellside. But you can expect normally a 7500 points/10000 points at this prices minimun....
sorry to tell you this, i once use indicator, extension as my target, but one thing never change, those only for reference not being use as a true destination or proper entry. Indicator can tell you average of D1 about 300 pips a day, but actually in some abnormal day, it could reach 1k+pips. Finding the high like this never be a good idea. Obvious some optimistic hope gold could go higher and higher, others scare of drop, but market tells us where it will be in chart, by it owns language. Dont even know why people want to get that ATH for some show off i dont even care, i take whatever it give, not luck give.
One more thing, MM know every indicator and indicator is made by them, so what do you think about that? is that your tool? or tool of the others who use you?
Will is the most powerful weapon in the world.
  • #91,453
  • Edited 5:07am Sep 8, 2025 4:51am | Edited 5:07am
It is not indicator, just similar to tipical ATR but more consistent.
Are based in price patterns of Gold.
For instance if my 3616 breakeven hit, i already know where to enter and when to breakeven and partials, and again if happens a breakout now it can be a good thing because i have almost 90% confidence that this high will be tested if not 50% of London IDR.
Is applied with confluence. The true is that if i only trade mean i avoid some stupid losses.
I use this strategy only when my day is going real bad to get my money back, simply don't use it blinded...

Like Thursday, i said that selloff will have a wall at 3513, 3616 is that wall today, it can sweep a little more but will comeback.
  • #91,454
  • Sep 8, 2025 5:19am Sep 8, 2025 5:19am
Again 3620 giving the rest of money back and new breakeven....
Is not guessing guys...

Breakeven at 3616 like planed...
Despite i believe price will down more, i don't know who is extended this market without news, be safe...
  • #91,455
  • Sep 8, 2025 5:23am Sep 8, 2025 5:23am
Quoting Raventine
Partital take at 130pips, hate to do this but it have to be done, it was a nice breakout {image}
TP hit at 3621
Will is the most powerful weapon in the world.
  • #91,456
  • Sep 8, 2025 5:27am Sep 8, 2025 5:27am
Target achieved successfully
$80=800 Pips Booked ($3540-$3,620 Target)
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Patience
  • #91,457
  • Sep 8, 2025 5:27am Sep 8, 2025 5:27am
Just missed my manual TP by a whisker 3625 whilst auto TP now set to 3633
moved SL to 3603
Insane in the Brain..
  • #91,458
  • Sep 8, 2025 5:32am Sep 8, 2025 5:32am
Quoting Raventine
{quote} TP hit at 3621
0.25 from weekly levels nice target

And 1 Dev of the 15m Triangle
  • #91,459
  • Sep 8, 2025 5:33am Sep 8, 2025 5:33am
just missed by TP by half a pip but happy with how that played out! lets see what overlap brings!


time to set next target, maybe 3631-3637 after a bounce from 3611 zone?
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  • #91,460
  • Sep 8, 2025 5:34am Sep 8, 2025 5:34am
Quoting dartboardio
just missed by TP by half a pip but happy with how that played out! lets see what overlap brings! time to set next target, maybe 3631-3637 {image}
Why set the TP when we can trail the SL

UPward intact structure

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SPX500 D1 in 2023, same upward structure.
Melt UP,
No more engagement as from today.
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