I think those results are pretty respectable. At the end of the day, if you made 3,500 trades and you’re ahead then you’re doing much better than most. 3 years is good too, it took me about 6 years to finally start making money.

Trading stories - my first 100K!

I’ve also been forecasting gold to go to 1,450 and still believe it will. It’s in a bull market, but needs a little retrace like you said... The US-China trade talks are coming up and that might be the catalyst it needs to take get to either end of ...

XAU/USD & XAG/USD - Gold & Silver Traders Thread

You make a good point. It’s difficult to understand why oil would be trading where it was prior to the Saudi attack when there is so much geopolitical tension now. However, the fact oil couldn’t muster a better rally seems very bearish. If this is ...

WTI Crude Oil Trading

NatGas can be difficult to trade. What’s your methodology like? It’s kind of a weather play which I really like about it. Regarding position sizing, fwiw I believe Thorpe said position sizes derived from Kelly criterion are about twice as ...

Natural Gas Stopped out Bad start

image

Picture Tennis (metals edition)

It was a volatile day for energy, how did you do?

Live/Real Time Energy Trades

Wow, that's a very useful website. Thanks a lot Vorenzd!!

Hurricane Watch

I actually like renko charts a lot for system building. They're great for trend following since they won't result in bad trades during trendless periods.

XAU/USD & XAG/USD - Gold & Silver Traders Thread

I wasn't expecting this rally in gold, but I'm still expecting it to go to the 1450 area before making a new high. Here's a 4 hour chart and admittedly it looks pretty bullish: image As I've said many times, gold is highly correlated to bonds and ...

XAU/USD & XAG/USD - Gold & Silver Traders Thread

That's an interesting point you make. Its normal to see physics and computer science PhDs in the markets, but someone with a background in meteorology could do really well too. I can imagine modeling a hurricane's path probably isn't too dissimilar ...

Weather Trading (prediction, forecasting): Rain to Hurricanes

Karen has the potential to impact the US, but it's not something I'd worry about yet. The models are all over the place: image

Hurricane Watch

Thanks for your offer! It will be awhile but I look forward to getting there before too long. Your Croatia/Swiss combo sounds ideal. I visited Switzerland a couple years back and loved it. The Jungfreau region is nothing short of amazing! Excellent ...

High Impact Events Trading... Gold & Copper

I'd be surprised if it causes a gap. Obviously very important, but it's been known since last night that this would happen.

XAU/USD & XAG/USD - Gold & Silver Traders Thread

Interesting, thanks for sharing that. I don't trade CFDs so I'm not aware of what the swap would be like. I'm looking at trading this with CL and BZ futures.

Brent/WTI Hedging Strategy

Haha yeah, I wouldn't want a Rufus coming anywhere near me! The tropics are active now, but not much in the way of threats to the US. image Some models show Karen making a hard left once it get's to around where Jerry is. There's some possibility ...

Hurricane Watch

image

Picture Tennis (metals edition)

That sounds plausible, but I think it would be an atypical sequence of events. Usually equities falling doesn't hurt housing too much. In fact, the tech bust proved to be a tailwind for housing when the fed lowered rates to support the economy. ...

High Impact Events Trading... Gold & Copper

When I checked last, Weekend Wall Street showed the Dow down 88pts. That should result in a modest gap higher in gold.

XAU/USD & XAG/USD - Gold & Silver Traders Thread

I have a theory on that this strategy may only work for a medium timeframe like 15m-1h. The issue I see with daily is you run the risk of holding the position too long and the futures contracts may simply expire with the spread then the next month ...

Brent/WTI Hedging Strategy