Very well said.

What is your edge?

Where is the 'tilt' point though? If Spain had a successful auction next time, but at yet another 80 bps premium, when does it become bad news?

james16 Chart Thread

Staying away from the screens, once a trade is running!

What is your edge?

Thank you. So, forget all about the risk free return figure?

Standard Deviation Query

Thanks for this. The thing that's confusing the hell out of me, and the reason why I feel I must be doing something wrong with my calcs, is the 'low' Sharpe figure such as the 1.12 which you have kindly worked up. I read that a Sharpe of 2 is very ...

Standard Deviation Query

Thanks for the replies thus far. I'm going to be a real ballache, now. Looking at the data, below, could somebody tell me where I'm going wrong? Pips........£1,000,000 (Opening) .......Deviation (from 5.95%) .........Squared +292 .....£1,116,800 ...

Standard Deviation Query

Could you run that past me again? My brain hurts!

Standard Deviation Query

Hi Start on page 1 of this thread, and go through everything in the 'Important Posts' section of the first post.

No Brainer Trades

That's a good starting point. But things get complicated once you start to try to plan for false breakouts etc.

Trading 'The Turn'

Agreed. But what comes AFTER that assumption?

Trading 'The Turn'

Determining the change in market conditions is inexact. However, deciding exactly when to change your method is a precise moment. You can't 'gradually' change from one system/method to another. I take your point re the significant breakout, but it ...

Trading 'The Turn'

But what if you have developed two methods? One for ranging market conditions, and one for trending. Both methods are strong and profitable when traded in conjunction with corresponding markets. Staying out of the market is the safest course, but ...

Trading 'The Turn'

Forgive me for not writing my original post in plain English. The point I was trying to make is, that you cannot just ignore changing market conditions. Well, actually you can, if you trade a very long TF, or if you are a liquidity volunteer. As the ...

Trading 'The Turn'

The most important linkage is that between capitalization and TF. It doesn't matter how good the proposed method is, if your account can't withstand the necessary drawdown then it's useless to you at this moment in time.

Timeframes and the learning process

Timeframe snobbery! That's a brilliant way of describing it! Cheers. PS - You bothered about Beckford?

Timeframes and the learning process

The issue re taking multiple, smaller profits is something which I'm currently acclimatising myself to. A complicating factor is the question of aggregating your results over a period of weeks and months. If you 'loan' funds to the market, then you ...

Timeframes and the learning process