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yieldjunkie commented Mar 16, 2021This is important, but the 20-year is not widely used by bond managers for hedging and as such it's not as relevant as the 5-, 10- and 30-year auctions. Higher yields have implications for all sorts of asset classes. Schedule of upcoming auctions ...
Latest US 20-year bond yield at record high
- yieldjunkie replied Mar 16, 2021
I want to clean this up a bit for those who aren't bond-savvy. And keep in mind, rising yields = lower prices and visa versa. Generally speaking, UST's have been well bid throughout the pandemic owing to the traditional sense of parking dollars in ...
Yieldjunkie's Short-term Sentiment: Indices, Macro Risk Env
- yieldjunkie commented Mar 16, 2021
I'm not always a fan of Dalio, but this is very good. An issue presented here, though, is that the traditional fund managers are limited in terms of country exposures - so his solution of diversifying out of the country is very limited for many, and ...
Dalio: Why in the World Would You Own Bonds When…
- yieldjunkie replied Mar 15, 2021
Great find - for me this is less about trading and more about holding. I'm adding this to my longer-term group. It's hard for me to picture a world 10, 20+ years from now where carbon allowances aren't a major constituent of an industrial firm's ...
Carbon Trading (carbon permits/credits/crypto_tokens!)
- yieldjunkie replied Mar 15, 2021
If you're trading more than one asset class, or trading alongside different term-length investments, this is a great resource for keeping yourself in-check with the big picture. Found via an FF newspost. Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns ...
2021 Market Outlook/Baseline Forecast Repository - Energy
- yieldjunkie replied Mar 15, 2021
Closed out PST @ $16.960 on this news. This will undoubtedly bring UST prices higher, yields lower, at least in the very short term. In any event, I'm not married to this position and wasn't pleased with my entry level anyways. My SQQQ trade is ...
Yieldjunkie's Short-term Sentiment: Indices, Macro Risk Env
- yieldjunkie replied Mar 15, 2021
Beginning with last night's Australia session, equity and bond futures have failed to hold a gain versus where we closed Friday. I'm comfortable with my positions and have an order in to add to SQQQ @ $12 if I get the chance, but I'm doubtful. I'm ...
Yieldjunkie's Short-term Sentiment: Indices, Macro Risk Env
- yieldjunkie replied Mar 12, 2021
Also just went long PST @ $17.020. Not exactly the level I'd like to pay for this, but unless we see the emergence of a COVID-20 It's not very likely that we see UST prices in this ballpark for quite some time. If the US stim turns out to be a dud ...
Yieldjunkie's Short-term Sentiment: Indices, Macro Risk Env
- yieldjunkie replied Mar 12, 2021
Ten minutes after I post, I'm long SQQQ @ $13.935.
My conviction on the 10-25 day trades is high, so rather than risk paying up for entry I'm starting to accumulate positions now. If my expectations for under 10-days come to fruition ...Yieldjunkie's Short-term Sentiment: Indices, Macro Risk Env
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Yieldjunkie's Short-term Sentiment: Indices, Macro Risk Env
Started Mar 12, 2021|Trading Journals|60 replies
This thread has become a place to track changes to my macro outlook and the drivers behind ...
- yieldjunkie commented Mar 11, 2021
Like I mentioned yesterday, 5- and 7-year auctions are at the end of the month. There's going to be alot of attention paid to those as the market attempts to price the belly of the curve after last month's 7yr auction. If we assume the curve's ...
Treasury Auction Results
- yieldjunkie replied Mar 11, 2021
Update: At current prices.. Platinum has risen from $1100.90 to $1200.64. Gain of 9.06% Palladium has risen from $2254.50 to $2357.39. Loss of -4.56% Palladium/Platinum ratio has fallen from 2.048 to 1.962. Basing the trade only off of the logic ...
Palladium trading
- yieldjunkie commented Mar 9, 2021
We've got 10- and 30-year auctions left for this week. Next 7-year, which was the kicker at the end of Feb, isn't until 3/25. url
US 3-Year Notes Sale: High Yield Rate: 0.355%, Bid-Cover Ratio: 2.69
- yieldjunkie commented Mar 9, 2021
I could use some more yield rn.Want to Start Earning Interest on Bitcoin Through BlockFi? You Can’t
- yieldjunkie commented Mar 4, 2021
May have gotten an answer here. Down ~ 12.5% on the month.
Cathie Wood Fan Club Faces Big Test as Ark Funds Extend Rout
- yieldjunkie commented Mar 4, 2021
Great article and representations of recent frothiness.
Stocks & Bonds Hammered As Hindenburg Omen Strikes