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HyperD replied Jun 9, 2021Hi Jairo, I can't find on web search Kelly formulas that include volatility, that's the main reason I'm sharing Peter Ponzo [RIP] algorithm, to compare both scenarios. Sometimes gk Kelly suggests more than 100% the X% [leverage greater than 1:1?]. ...
Kelly Criterion - Optimizing risk
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HyperD replied Jun 6, 2021Hi, I'm doing experiments on Kelly criterion trying to find something useful. On the attachment there is a modified version of an excel from author: Peter Ponzo [In memory of], aka Gummy. The example is applied to BTC-USD. [You could experiment with ...
Kelly Criterion - Optimizing risk
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HyperD replied Jul 27, 2014In any leverage situation we could easily ruin the account if we don't get a lucky consecutive win streak. We have the same possibilities (3.13%) for 5 consecutive wins than for 5 consecutive loses if chance is 50/50. This system is very risky but ...
The Coin-Flip Theory
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HyperD replied Jul 26, 2014I think this random, high leverage & High DD method needs an EA for live trading. That way our nerves don't stop it in the remote scenario it could reach 1 million or more.
The Coin-Flip Theory
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HyperD replied Jul 25, 2014Why 312 indicators? This can't be right.
Fundamentals Analysis vs. Technical Analysis
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HyperD replied Jul 25, 2014I don't think making a 20% per month could be considered a Holygrail system. I expect much more for a Holygrail.
What IF you have a Holygrail Automated System?
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HyperD replied Jun 21, 2012Hi stockmarcus, For the prediction only past data history is used, 1 minute frame, another examples: image image image Its rare but sometimes it could be possible to predict consecutive seconds with no error, in this example 11 seconds image
How do forex traders predict price?
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HyperD replied Jun 20, 2012Prediction is hard but possible, red is predicted vs blue actual values. In this experiment 4446 data were used to predict from 4447 to 4678. image image
How do forex traders predict price?
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HyperD replied Oct 5, 2010The problem is that there is an increase market of noobs/lazy people that want to pay for "learn to trade", obviously the gurus/mentor appeared charging "reasonably monthly fees" for the service, thehouse, Mentors don't need to know how to trade, ...
MENTOR Required!
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HyperD replied Oct 4, 2010I don't believe in mentors or gurus, 99.9% of them are scam artists.. Regards
MENTOR Required!
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HyperD replied Sep 27, 2010Hi esuffw, I disagree, there are many hidden patterns in Forex.. Regards
There are no secret patterns and there will never be one
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HyperD replied Aug 3, 2010I think Ill go down to 136.25 and then go up to 136.31 in the next minute
Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)
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HyperD replied Jul 6, 2010I am reading with attention your trading system, but I don't agree with the rules.. I think every strategy its different and has its own rules.. Regards
The perfect trading system
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HyperD replied Jun 22, 2010Hi sasavisnic67, The chart represent actual values (blue) vs predicted values (red), In a previous chart in page 1, you could see that the price was predicted 9 times in a row (both lines coincide), very hard to get 9 consecutive exact ticks if ...
100% Price prediction Journal
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HyperD replied Jun 18, 2010Hi fxsignal, Unfortunately there are many people in finance that don't believe in price prediction, they say each tick is a 50% chance (history doesn't matter), in other words impossible to predict.. In my intraday experiments price sometimes could ...
100% Price prediction Journal
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HyperD replied Jun 16, 2010I'm also doing price prediction experiments, The next image is an intraday successful prediction EURUSD, the red line represent predicted values and the blue line actual values, the prediction is based on past history data, in other words Price has ...
100% Price prediction Journal
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HyperD replied Jun 16, 2010Hi, I agree, price prediction is possible, and also a stop loss will help to minimize loses in case prediction goes wrong. Regards
100% Price prediction Journal
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