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This week we cover crashing fund flows, an aging Risk Cycle, mild intermediate sentiment, stretched gold, a confirmed breakout in a potash producer, and a major squeeze in currencies, plus more. 1. We hit the 19k level and upper weekly band that we pointed out last week. As we’ll show, the primary path of least resistance is still up but we could see some ...
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Global central banks and finance ministries held nearly $12 trillion of foreign exchange reserves as of the end of 2023, with nearly $7 trillion composed of U.S. dollar assets. Nevertheless, a narrative has emerged that an observed decline in the share of dollar assets in official reserve portfolios represents the leading edge of the dollar’s loss of status ...