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A new round of tariff woes: disturbing but not disruptive (for now)
Trade tensions are back. While markets have been focusing on the war in the Middle East and the renewed rise in energy prices, the last two weeks have again been very busy on trade and tariffs, even by the standards of last year. Here is the latest state of play: • Canada gets hit hardest. On 20 July, US President Donald Trump signed three proclamations imposing 50% tariffs on Canadian goods under Section 338, citing discriminatory treatment of US exports, effective 19 August, with carve-outs for energy, potash, critical minerals, fish, and goods already under Section 232. Section 338 (which dates from the ... (full story)
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With Section 122's flat 10% tariff expiring on 24 July, the switch to Section 301 and Section 338 tariffs will send the US average import tariff back above 2025's IEEPA-era level to 12.4%, up from a May low of 7.7%. And this time it should stick: Section 301 requires formal USTR investigations and is far harder to challenge in court. History shows these ...
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