Fed's Cook says inflation is moving in the wrong direction, but she's looking to hold rates steady

Iran's state TV: We have a draft of the initial unofficial framework for the MOU with the US IRAN'S STATE TV SAYS ACCORDING TO DRAFT MOU US MILITARY FORCES WILL WITHDRAW FROM VICINITY OF IRAN AND LIFT NAVAL BLOCKADE The management and route of ship traffic through Strait of Hormuz will be handled by Iran in cooperation with Oman - Iran's State TV. If a final deal is reached within 60 days, this agreement will be approved in the form of a binding UN Security Council resolution - Iran's State TV. Iran's State TV: The Islamabad memorandum framework is not yet finalized; no step will be taken by Iran without "tangible verification."

Thank you, Neale, for that kind introduction. Being back on Stanford's campus is always an honor and conjures up great memories. I spent several formative years here—first as a student in the AEA Summer Program, which prepares students to pursue graduate study in economics, and then as a National Fellow at the Hoover Institution. To say that these stints at Stanford were transformative would be an understatement. The summer program prepared me for and set me on a new intellectual and career journey, and my three years here as a postdoc set out an entirely new line of research inquiry. In fact, I started my research on patents and innovation or the economics of innovation here and benefitted greatly from my interaction with economists here at the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research (SIEPR), the economics department, the business school, the law school, and Hoover, including Kenneth Arrow, Tim Bresnahan, Jeremy Bulow, Milton Friedman, Avner Grief, Mitch Polinsky, Paul Romer, and Gavin Wright. From my decade spent in the Bay Area—here and at Berkeley, I witnessed how seriously new ideas are taken, examined, implemented, and spread. It is always invigorating to return to such a center of innovation.1 I applaud SIEPR for holding this event to discuss artificial intelligence (AI) and its power to influence the trajectory of the economy and transform the financial system. I know many in this room are grappling with how to harness this technology's obvious multidimensional promise while being mindful of important risks. Having adopted machine learning in the AEA Summer Program in 2018 when I was director and having used it in my research before coming to the Fed, I arrived at the Board of Governors in 2022 raising questions about and urging the study and adoption of AI. So, rest assured, policymakers at the Federal Reserve are also deeply engaged. Today, I will start by offering my latest economic outlook, with a focus on implications of AI for both sides of our dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability. Then, consistent with my long-standing support for responsible innovation, I will address the benefits AI could deliver for the financial system before addressing some of the risks and vulnerabilities the technology presents to financial stability. I will conclude by sharing how the Fed itself is embracing the power of AI to help ensure the financial system remains sound and resilient. FED'S COOK: INFLATION IS CLEARLY MOVING IN WRONG DIRECTION. RIGHT COURSE OF ACTION IS TO HOLD RATES STEADY FED'S COOK SAID THE FED IS PREPARED TO RAISE RATES IF DISINFLATION FAILS TO APPEAR, BUT WOULD ALSO BE READY TO CUT RATES IF THE LABOR MARKET DETERIORATES, WHILE WARNING THAT AI-DRIVEN JOB LOSSES COULD COME BEFORE FUTURE PRODUCTIVITY GAINS.

*WHITE HOUSE: MOU REPORTED ON BY IRAN MEDIA IS FABRICATION This report from Iranian controlled media is not true and the MOU they “released” is a complete fabrication. Nobody should believe what Iranian state media is putting out. FACTS MATTER.