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Treasury Yields Snapshot
The yield on the 10-year note finished March 27, 2026 at 4.44%, the highest level since July 2025. Meanwhile, the 2-year note ended at 3.88% and the 30-year yield ended at 4.98%. The chart below overlays the daily performance of several Treasury bonds, starting from the pre-recession equity market peaks, along with the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) since 2007. Here is a long-term view of the 10-year yield starting in 1965, well before the 1973 oil embargo that triggered the era of ‘stagflation’ (economic stagnation coupled with inflation) An inverted yield curve is when longer-term Treasury yields are lower than their ... (full story)