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No More Goldilocks for Gold? Here is What Changed
Gold prices have tumbled 17.2% since March 2nd while geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to simmer with strikes on oil infrastructure becoming an increasing threat should talks fail (see figure 1). Why isn’t the safe-haven working? We have heard some say that it is because investors are selling what they can due to liquidity issues, to lock in gains, or that central bank demand is fading. We have heard that one several times. However, we think it largely has to do with rising uncertainty about monetary policy. Gold is a non-yielding asset. While rising inflation expectations would normally increase ... (full story)