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Fed's Musalem: Inflation remains above target and jobs mkt cooling, so 'a little tension' between mandates
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Trader#9530
Feb 25, 2026 12:46pm
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda reinforced the central banks tightening bias, signalling that further rate hikes remain likely if incoming data strengthen confidence in the Banks economic and inflation forecasts. In comments reported by Yomiuri, Ueda said the BoJs basic stance is to continue raising interest rates if the probability of its growth and price projections materialising increases. While underlying inflation has yet to fully reach the 2% target, policy will be guided to ensure it converges sustainably to around that level without overshooting on a persistent basis. Ueda added that the Bank does not believe it is behind the curve in addressing the risk of excessive inflation, and said there has been no change since January to the projected timing for achieving the price target. He expects inflation to re-accelerate following the current slowdown. Importantly, Ueda flagged upside risks. If the outcome of the spring wage negotiations proves stronger than expected and firms pass higher labour costs through to prices more swiftly, the 2% inflation target could be achieved sooner than currently projected a comment that tilts hawkish at the margin. Looking ahead, Ueda noted that while the April Tankan survey will be an important input, the BoJ is conducting multiple surveys and does not need to wait for the Tankan release to have sufficient data. With policy meetings scheduled for March and April, he said the Bank will scrutinise all available information and reach a decision, responding to growing market speculation that a rate hike could come as early as April. BOJ GOVERNOR UEDA: DOES NOT EXPECT MAJOR IMPACT FROM NEW TRUMP TARIFFS ON JAPAN BUT MONITORING CLOSELY; BOJ TO REVIEW DATA AT MARCH AND APRIL MEETINGS BEFORE DECIDING ON POLICY YOMIURI.