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Gold Outlook: Options Sentiment Extreme as Bears Target 4800
Last week I warned that the grinding nature of gold’s rally was reminiscent of a dead cat bounce — a bearish pattern that can lure bulls into a false breakout before turning sharply lower. Given the article was published near last week’s high, the timing of gold’s subsequent selloff has proven fortunate. Gold futures have since fallen 5.6%, with two of the past three sessions printing bearish engulfing candles. Momentum has clearly shifted in favour of sellers. It now appears gold bears may attempt to drive prices towards the $4,800 support level. That zone could prove pivotal, acting as the line in the sand ... (full story)
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From rbnz.govt.nz|Feb 17, 2026|5 commentsAnnual consumers price inflation was slightly above the Monetary Policy Committee’s 1 to 3 percent target band at the end of 2025. Increases in food and electricity prices and local council rates were the biggest contributors to above-target inflation. The economy is at an early stage in its recovery. With ongoing strength in commodity prices, economic activity in the agricultural sector and regional New Zealand remains strong. Although residential and business investment is increasing, households remain cautious in their spending. The labour market is stabilising, but unemployment remains elevated. House price growth remains weak, dampening household wealth and inclination to spend. In response to previous cuts in the OCR, economic growth is broadening across sectors of the economy, such as manufacturing, construction and some retail. Economic growth is expected to increase over 2026. Inflation is most likely returning to within the Committee’s 1 to 3 percent target band in the current quarter. The Committee is confident that inflatio The Monetary Policy Committee today agreed to keep the Official Cash Rate on hold at 2.25%. Inflation is expected to be back within our 1-3% target range in the first quarter of 2026. The economy is at an early stage of recovery, and growth is expected to increase over 2026. Any… pic.twitter.com/0RyKUNIFRZ RBNZ SAYS INFLATION IS LIKELY TO RETURN TO THE 1–3 PERCENT TARGET RANGE WITHIN THE CURRENT QUARTER. ... RBNZ says despite growth in residential and business investment, household spending continues to be cautious. RBNZ says as the recovery gains momentum and inflation moves steadily toward the midpoint of the target range, monetary policy will be normalized gradually.
From rbnz.govt.nz|Feb 17, 2026|1 commentAnnual consumers price inflation was slightly above the Monetary Policy Committee’s 1 to 3 percent target band at the end of 2025. Increases in food and electricity prices and local council rates were the biggest contributors to above-target inflation. The economy is at an early stage in its recovery. With ongoing strength in commodity prices, economic activity in the agricultural sector and regional New Zealand remains strong. Although residential and business investment is increasing, households remain cautious in their spending. The labour market is stabilising, but unemployment remains elevated. House price growth remains weak, dampening household wealth and inclination to spend. In response to previous cuts in the OCR, economic growth is broadening across sectors of the economy, such as manufacturing, construction and some retail. Economic growth is expected to increase over 2026. RESERVE BANK OF NEW ZEALAND SEES OFFICIAL CASH RATE AT 3% IN MARCH 2029 RESERVE BANK OF NEW ZEALAND SEES ANNUAL CPI 2.1% BY MARCH 2027 RESERVE BANK OF NEW ZEALAND SEES OFFICIAL CASH RATE AT 2.52% IN MARCH 2027 VERSUS 2.34% OCR ON HOLD AT 2.25 PERCENT AS INFLATION EXPECTED TO… Just in | RBNZ projects NZD's Trade-Weighted Index to reach approximately 68.0% by March 2027.
From kitco.com|Feb 17, 2026There’s a reasonable case to be made against gold’s continued appreciation, but that case is still incorrect, according to the senior brain trust at J.P. Morgan. “Gold has had a ...
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From rbnz.govt.nz|Feb 17, 2026Monetary Policy Statement and OCR announcements (February, May, September, December): Media conferences are at 3pm. Financial Stability Reports (May and November): Media ...
From thearmchairtrader.com|Feb 17, 2026Nickel has re-emerged as a subject of serious discussion in commodities markets in early 2026, after several years in which oversupply and falling prices dulled investor interest. ...
From @MarketsCapApp|Feb 17, 2026|5 commentsJust in | Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Breman indicates potential interest rate hike by year-end. No OCR increase expected until stronger growth and higher inflation – RBNZ’s Breman. RBNZ’s Breman says Q4 hike not yet fully factored into OCR path. Breman says RBNZ will keep shrinking its balance sheet.
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- Feb 17, 2026 7:36pm Posted byTechnical Analysis1,910
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