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Do markets price a Trump risk premium?
From robinjbrooks.substack.com
The price action of recent days has convinced many that markets just don’t care about Trump. I don’t think that’s right. It’s true that we’re not yet seeing catastrophic moves in asset prices that would point to large risk premia getting priced in, but it’s probably unrealistic to expect that kind of price action in the first place. After all, even Trump’s latest assault on the Fed leaves room for interpretation, with several people I spoke to yesterday seeing pushback from Republican lawmakers as a sign checks and balances still work in the US. My point here isn’t whether that’s right or wrong, but ... (full story)