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Soaring US services clouds the Fed rate cut story
December’s US service sector ISM index is remarkably strong, rising to 54.4 from 52.6 and above the 52.2 consensus prediction - in fact it was above all predictions in the market and is the strongest reading since October 2024. This is a purchasing managers' index where participants are asked what is happening within their business for a number of metrics - output, orders etc with a number above 50 being expansion and below 50 contraction. Business activity rose to 56.0 from 54.5 while the employment component rose to 52.0 from 48,8, the first expansion reading since May. New orders jumped to 57.9 from 52.9 with ... (full story)