Powell: Rates are within range of plausible neutral estimates

Fed's Powell: Available evidence suggests layoffs and hiring remain low. POWELL: READINGS ON INFLATION ARE HIGHER AS GOODS INFLATION HAS PICKED UP *POWELL: MOST L/T INFLATION EXPECTATIONS CONSISTENT WITH 2% GOAL *POWELL: DISINFLATION APPEARS TO BE CONTINUING FOR SERVICES FED POWELL: INFLATION RISKS ARE TILTED UP, EMPLOYMENT RISKS TILTED DOWN, AND THERE IS NO RISK-FREE POLICY PATH. Fed's Powell: With downside risks to employment having risen, the balance of risks shifted in the recent months.

*POWELL: INFLATION REMAINS SOMEWHAT ELEVATED FED POWELL: JOBS & INFLATION OUTLOOK UNCHANGED SINCE LAST MEETING Fed's Powell: The labour market appears to be gradually cooling. *POWELL: DATA SUGGEST ECONOMY EXPANDING AT MODERATE PACE *POWELL: CONSUMER SPENDING REMAINS SOLID *POWELL: BUSINESS FIXED INVESTMENT HAS CONTINUED TO EXPAND Fed's Powell: The effects of the shutdown should be offset by higher growth next quarter from the reopening.

*POWELL: TREASURY PURCHASES MAY REMAIN ELEVATED FOR FEW MONTHS Fed's Powell: Reserve management purchases may remain elevated for a few months to alleviate money market pressures. Thereafter, we expect purchases to decline. Fed's Powell: Standing repo operations are a critical tool to ensure the fed funds rate remains in the target range. Fed's Powell: Fed removed aggregate limit on standing repo operations.

POWELL: WELL POSITIONED TO WAIT TO SEE HOW ECONOMY EVOLVES Fed's Powell: The "extent and timing" phrase points out that we'll carefully evaluate incoming data. FED POWELL: CONSUMER SPENDING REMAINS RESILIENT, AI DATA-CENTER INVESTMENT IS SUPPORTING BUSINESS SPENDING, AND THE BASELINE OUTLOOK SEES GROWTH PICKING UP NEXT YEAR. Fed's Powell: Some of the 2026 growth upgrade reflects the shutdown ending. POWELL: WILL GET A GREAT DEAL OF DATA BEFORE JANUARY MEETING

Fed's Powell: Implication of Fed forecasts is higher productivity. POWELL: OUR TWO GOALS ARE A BIT IN TENSION POWELL: EVERYONE AT TABLE AGREES INFLATION IS TOO HIGH Fed's Powell: All agree the labour market has softened, and there are further risks. FED POWELL: DISCUSSIONS ARE THOUGHTFUL AND RESPECTFUL WITH STRONG VIEWS, BUT WE COME TOGETHER TO REACH DECISIONS, AND THERE WAS BROAD SUPPORT FOR TODAY’S DECISION.