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BOJ expected to choose 'constructive ambiguity' on future rate hikes
Investors seeking clarity from the Bank of Japan on how much higher interest rates could go could be disappointed, former central bank officials say, as clear-cut estimates on neutral interest rates are too difficult and even counter-productive. Governor Kazuo Ueda's hawkish signals on Monday have led markets to almost fully price in the chance of a hike in the BOJ's policy rate to 0.75 per cent from 0.5 per cent in December. He also said the central bank will offer clearer guidance on how far its policy rate is from the neutral rate - or the level that neither stimulates nor cools growth - heightening attention to ... (full story)
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From pepperstone.com | Dec 4, 2025
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Reports That The BOJ Is Said Likely To Hike This Month, Leave Open To More - Hike Would Still Leave Rate Support Ing Economy, People Say - BOJ Is Said Aware Of How Ueda's Monday Comments Would Be Viewed - BOJ Is Said To Check Data, Market Moves Up To Final Decision
BOJ Is Said Likely to Raise Interest Rates at December Meeting Bank of Japan officials are ready to raise interest rates at a policy meeting later this month, provided theres no major shock to the economy or financial markets in the meantime, according to people familiar with the matter. The central bank will also indicate it will continue to raise rates if its economic outlook is realized while remaining cautious on how far they will eventually push rates up, the people said. The officials see a high likelihood of increasing the benchmark rate by a quarter percentage point to 0.75% at the end of a two-day gathering on Dec. 19, the people said. A rate hike would push the policy rate in Japan to its highest level since 1995. A key market focus is how aggressively the central bank will point to additional hikes.