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Flashlight for the December FOMC Blackout Period: A Contentious Cut
From wellsfargo.bluematrix.com
We expect the FOMC to proceed with returning policy toward a more neutral stance and reduce the fed funds rate by another 25 bps to 3.50%-3.75% at its upcoming meeting on December 9-10. Although the FOMC will not have the October and November jobs report at this meeting as initially planned, the latest available labor market data suggest that conditions have continued to slowly soften. While nonfarm payroll growth firmed in September, the unemployment rate rose to 4.44%, placing it above the Committee's central tendency range for "maximum employment." Fresh data on inflation since the FOMC last met have been more ... (full story)
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Dec 5, 2025 2:08pm
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BOJ Is Said Likely to Raise Interest Rates at December Meeting Bank of Japan officials are ready to raise interest rates at a policy meeting later this month, provided there’s no major shock to the economy or financial markets in the meantime, according to people familiar with the matter. The central bank will also indicate it will continue to raise rates if its economic outlook is realized while remaining cautious on how far they will eventually push rates up, the people said. The officials see a high likelihood of increasing the benchmark rate by a quarter percentage point to 0.75% at the end of a two-day gathering on Dec. 19, the people said. A rate hike would push the policy rate in Japan to its highest level since 1995. A key market focus is how aggressively the central bank will point to additional hikes.
BOJ Is Said Likely to Raise Interest Rates at December Meeting Bank of Japan officials are ready to raise interest rates at a policy meeting later this month, provided there’s no major shock to the economy or financial markets in the meantime, according to people familiar with the matter. The central bank will also indicate it will continue to raise rates if its economic outlook is realized while remaining cautious on how far they will eventually push rates up, the people said. The officials see a high likelihood of increasing the benchmark rate by a quarter percentage point to 0.75% at the end of a two-day gathering on Dec. 19, the people said. A rate hike would push the policy rate in Japan to its highest level since 1995. A key market focus is how aggressively the central bank will point to additional hikes.
The Consumer Sentiment Index in the United States improved by 4.5% in December compared to the previous month, and reached 53.3, coming in above analysts' expectations, a preliminary report posted by the University of Michigan revealed on Friday. The figure declined by 28% on an annual level. The Current Economic Conditions Index slipped by 0.8% on a ...
