Fed faces another tough rate decison with inflation and job data delay | Metals Mine

  • Fed faces another tough rate decison with inflation and job data delay

    From usatoday.com

    The Federal Reserve will have to go without up-to-date government inflation and jobs data when it decides next month whether to lower interest rates for a third consecutive time. The Bureau of Labor Statistics said on Nov. 21 it’s canceling the October inflation and jobs reports because the government shutdown prevented data from being collected. It’s also delaying the November jobs report to Dec. 16 from Dec. 5 and the inflation report to Dec. 18 from Dec. 10. Partial October data will be published with the November reports, BLS said. Since both reports will now come after the Fed’s policy meeting on Dec. ... (full story)

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Trader#2668
Nov 24, 2025 5:44pm
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I think inflation in the US seems relatively stable, and fluctuations in inflation are probably just background noise instead of a fundamental problem. On the other hand, the employment figures do suggest a genuine weakening that can't merely be dismissed as noise. Of course, the shutdown has restricted the authorities’ ability to access accurate data, which may account for the perceived downturn in the job market. Given the current likelihoods and risks, I believe it would be wise for the Fed to seriously consider a rate cut in December. If the softness in the job market continues leading up to the Fed meeting, I think this will offer additional insight and support a decision to reduce rates.
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