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Odds of December Fed cut creep higher after unemployment rate unexpectedly rises in September
The September jobs report was a mixed bag: much better job growth than anticipated, but the unemployment rate unexpectedly edged higher. The release of this data, which was delayed by the government shutdown, showed that non-farm payrolls grew 119,000 (compared to the expected 51,000) but the unemployment rate crept up to 4.4%, while economists thought it would remain steady at 4.3%. Event contracts show that the likelihood of the US central bank standing pat in December moderated to about 65% from around 75% prior to the release. (Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities ... (full story)