Fed's Miran: I Expect We Will Cut In December; I Want To Get To Neutral In 50 BPS Increments, A Lot Of My Colleagues Want 25 Bps Increments

<=USD>:*FED'S GOOLSBEE: INDICATORS SHOW A LOT OF LABOR MARKET STABILITY *GOOLSBEE: I STILL THINK THERE IS MILD COOLING IN LABOR MARKET FED'S GOOLSBEE: MOST OF LABOR MARKET INDICATORS SHOW STABILITY IN MARKET -- CNBC INTERVIEW SHOULD BE CAREFUL TAKING PAYROLL JOB NUMBER DROP AS AN INDICATOR OF JOB MARKET MILD COOLING IN LABOR MARKET UNEMPLOYMENT RATE BASICALLY UNCHANGED A LITTLE DOWNSIDE RISK TO LABOR… FED'S GOOLSBEE: I MAYBE RELUCTANT TO CONTINUE THE RATE CUTTING CYCLE. GOOLSBEE: VERY LITTLE PRIVATE SECTOR INFORMATION ABOUT INFLATION, WILL SOME TIME BEFORE WE SEE ANY PROBLEMS MAKES ME MORE UNEASY WITH FRONTLOADING RATE CUTS CAN'T COUNT ON INFLATION BEING TRANSITORY CONSUMER SPENDING STRONG, GROWTH IS STRONG GOOLSBEE: FOR DATA TO GO DARK RIGHT AT THE MOMENT WE SAW SERVICES INFLATION RISING IS UNCOMFORTABLE NOT HAWKISH ON RATES SETTLING POINT FOR RATES WILL BE FAIR BELOW WHERE IT IS TODAY

FED’S HAMMACK: 'NOT OBVIOUS' U.S. CENTRAL BANK SHOULD CUT INTEREST RATES AGAIN GIVEN INFLATION Fed's Hammack: It will take two to three years to get inflation back to 2%. FED'S HAMMACK: MONETARY POLICY IS 'ONLY BARELY RESTRICTIVE, IF AT ALL' Balancing Act: The Dual Mandate on an Economic Tightrope My thanks to the Economic Club of New York for inviting me to speak today and to Bill Dudley for moderating what I’m sure will be an engaging discussion. As many of you know, I lived and worked in New York for 30 years before moving to Cleveland to begin my new role at the Federal Reserve. I love Cleveland, and I love talking with friends and neighbors about all the great things to see and do in Northeast Ohio. But I have to chuckle when the topic turns to Cleveland traffic, which is nothing compared to the endless gridlock that I experienced in Manhattan—before congestion pricing kicked in, of course. Some of you might be thinking, just take the subway! If only the decision were that simple. When I lived in New York, I faced the daily debate about the comfort of a cab or the certainty of subway timing. But even once in the subway, I faced the maddening choice: do I jump on the local 1 train pulling into the station or wait for the express 3 train that says it’s four minutes away? Getting around New York is a balancing act to optimize every second of every day, and right now a balancing act feels like the perfect metaphor for monetary policy: If the economy is a tightrope, policymakers are tasked with walking a fine line to keep our dual mandate goals of maximum employment and price stability in balance. Today I’m going to talk about why I believe policy should be at a mildly restrictive setting to strike the right balance between our goals. But let me stress the “I” part of that sentence and indicate, as always, that these are only my views and not necessarily those of the Federal Reserve System or of my colleagues on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).

*FED'S WILLIAMS: NATURAL RATE OF INTEREST IS HARD TO PIN DOWN *NEW YORK FED'S JOHN WILLIAMS SPEAKS AT EVENT IN FRANKFURT Fed's Williams: Model-based US neutral rate estimates are around 1%, the bond market suggests higher neutral rate, but I would discount that.