BOE's Bailey: Inflation of 3.8% in Sept. seen as peak; Underlying prices pressures continued to ease

At its meeting ending on 5 November 2025, the Monetary Policy Committee voted by a majority of 5–4 to maintain Bank Rate at 4%. Four members voted to reduce Bank Rate by 0.25 percentage points, to 3.75%. CPI inflation is judged to have peaked. Progress on underlying disinflation continues, supported by the still restrictive stance of monetary policy. This is reflected in an easing of pay growth and services price inflation. Underlying disinflation is being underpinned by subdued economic growth and building slack in the labour market. Monetary policy is being set to balance the risks around meeting the 2% inflation target sustainably. The risk from greater inflation persistence has become less pronounced recently, and the risk to medium-term inflation from weaker demand more apparent, such that overall the risks are now more balanced. But more evidence is needed on both. The restrictiveness of monetary policy has fallen as Bank Rate has been reduced. The extent of further reductions will therefore depend on the evolution of th BOE FORECAST SHOWS CPI IN ONE YEAR TIME AT 2.5% BASED ON MARKET INTEREST RATES

At its meeting ending on 5 November 2025, the Monetary Policy Committee voted by a majority of 5–4 to maintain Bank Rate at 4%. Four members voted to reduce Bank Rate by 0.25 percentage points, to 3.75%. CPI inflation is judged to have peaked. Progress on underlying disinflation continues, supported by the still restrictive stance of monetary policy. This is reflected in an easing of pay growth and services price inflation. Underlying disinflation is being underpinned by subdued economic growth and building slack in the labour market. Monetary policy is being set to balance the risks around meeting the 2% inflation target sustainably. The risk from greater inflation persistence has become less pronounc *BANK OF ENGLAND HOLDS KEY INTEREST RATE AT 4% IN 5-4 VOTE BOE MPC: MORE EVIDENCE IS NEEDED TO BE SURE THAT CPI IS ON TRACK TO RETURN TO 2%. BOE: PROGRESS ON DISINFLATION INDICATES BANK RATE LIKELY TO CONTINUE GRADUAL DOWNWARD PATH: "GRADUAL AND CAREFUL APPROACH" TO FURTHER WITHDRAWAL OF MONETARY POLICY RESTRAINT... Bank of England keeps key interest rate unchanged at 4% as inflation remains markedly above target The Bank of England has kept its main interest rate unchanged at 4% as inflation in the U.K. remains markedly above target and policymakers await this month’s budget from the U.K. government, which could be one of the most consequential in years. Thursday’s decision by the nine-member rate-setting body was widely anticipated, though some economists thought there was a chance that borrowing rates would be reduced by a further quarter of a percentage point. The vote was tight though, with five voting for unchanged rates and four backing a cut. “We still think rates are on a gradual path downwards, but we need to be sure that inflation is on track to return to our 2% target before we cut them

BoE's Lombardelli: There is a lively debate on committee on neutral rate.

<=USD>:*FED'S GOOLSBEE: INDICATORS SHOW A LOT OF LABOR MARKET STABILITY *GOOLSBEE: I STILL THINK THERE IS MILD COOLING IN LABOR MARKET FED'S GOOLSBEE: MOST OF LABOR MARKET INDICATORS SHOW STABILITY IN MARKET -- CNBC INTERVIEW SHOULD BE CAREFUL TAKING PAYROLL JOB NUMBER DROP AS AN INDICATOR OF JOB MARKET MILD COOLING IN LABOR MARKET UNEMPLOYMENT RATE BASICALLY UNCHANGED A LITTLE DOWNSIDE RISK TO LABOR… FED'S GOOLSBEE: I MAYBE RELUCTANT TO CONTINUE THE RATE CUTTING CYCLE. GOOLSBEE: VERY LITTLE PRIVATE SECTOR INFORMATION ABOUT INFLATION, WILL SOME TIME BEFORE WE SEE ANY PROBLEMS MAKES ME MORE UNEASY WITH FRONTLOADING RATE CUTS CAN'T COUNT ON INFLATION BEING TRANSITORY CONSUMER SPENDING STRONG, GROWTH IS STRONG GOOLSBEE: FOR DATA TO GO DARK RIGHT AT THE MOMENT WE SAW SERVICES INFLATION RISING IS UNCOMFORTABLE NOT HAWKISH ON RATES SETTLING POINT FOR RATES WILL BE FAIR BELOW WHERE IT IS TODAY