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BOJ Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices (October 2025)
Japan's economic growth is likely to be modest, as trade and other policies in each jurisdiction lead to a slowdown in overseas economies and to a decline in domestic corporate profits and other factors, although factors such as accommodative financial conditions are expected to provide support. Thereafter, Japan's economic growth rate is likely to rise, with overseas economies returning to a moderate growth path. The year-on-year rate of increase in the consumer price index (CPI, all items less fresh food) is likely to decelerate to a level below 2 percent through the first half of fiscal 2026, with the waning of ... (full story)
Added at 10:24pm
- BOJ QUARTERLY REPORT:
UNDERLYING CONSUMER INFLATION LIKELY TO STAGNATE ON SLOWING GROWTH, BUT INCREASE GRADUALLY THEREAFTER
UNDERLYING CONSUMER INFLATION LIKELY TO BE AT LEVEL GENERALLY CONSISTENT WITH 2% TARGET IN SECOND HALF OF PROJECTION PERIOD FROM FISCAL 2025 THROUGH 2027
RISKS TO ECONOMIC OUTLOOK SKEWED TO DOWNSIDE
RISKS TO INFLATION OUTLOOK ROUGHLY BALANCED
UNCERTAINTY SURROUNDING TRADE POLICY, IMPACT ON OVERSEAS ECONOMIC, PRICE DEVELOPMENTS REMAINS HIGH
MUST BE VIGILANT TO IMPACT OF TRADE POLICY UNCERTAINTY ON MARKETS, JAPAN'S ECONOMIC, PRICE DEVELOPMENTS
JAPAN'S ECONOMY RECOVERING MODERATELY, ALTHOUGH SOME WEAKNESSES ARE SEEN
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Oct 29, 2025 10:31pm
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BOJ GOV UEDA: JAPAN'S ECONOMY RECOVERING MODERATELY ALBEIT WITH SOME WEAKNESS EASY MONETARY CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT ECONOMY JAPAN'S ECONOMIC GROWTH LIKELY TO BE MODEST AS TRADE POLICIES LEAD TO SLOWDOWN IN OVERSEAS ECONOMY, DECLINE IN CORPORATE PROFITS JAPAN'S ECONOMIC… BOJ Gov Ueda: Tamura Advocated Noting Core Inflation Likely to Be in Line with Target Beyond Mid-Projection BOJ GOV UEDA: WANT TO TAKE A LITTLE LONGER TO SEE HOW U.S. TARIFF IMPACT WOULD AFFECT JAPANESE ECONOMY DON'T THINK THERE IS RISK OF FALLING BEHIND THE CURVE HAVE NO PRESET IDEAS ABOUT TIMING OF NEXT RATE HIKE BOJ GETS GOVT'S VIEWS FROM REPRESENTATIVE AT EACH POLICY MEETING… BOJ GOV UEDA: WE REMAIN UNABLE TO DETERMINE TERMINAL RATE WANT TO MONITOR HOW USE OF STABLE COINS WILL SPREAD IN JAPAN WHILE KEEPING IN MIND CYBER AND MONEY LAUNDERING RISKS
From channelnewsasia.com | Oct 30, 2025
The Bank of Japan kept interest rates steady on Thursday but repeated its pledge to continue increasing borrowing costs if the economy moves in line with its projections, shifting investor focus to the prospect of a hike as soon as December. While the central bank roughly maintained its long-term forecasts, it elaborated on overseas risks that may hurt ...
At the Monetary Policy Meeting held today, the Policy Board of the Bank ofJapan decided, by a 7-2 majority vote, to set the following guideline for money market operations for the intermeeting period: The Bank will encourage the uncollateralized overnight call rate to remain at around 0.5 percent. Voting for the action: UEDA Kazuo, HIMINO Ryozo, UCHIDA Shinichi, NOGUCHI Asahi, NAKAGAWA Junko, KOEDA Junko, and MASU Kazuyuki. Voting against the action: TAКАТА Hajime and TAMURA Naoki. Takata Hajime considered that there had been a shift away from the deflationary norm and the price stability target had been more or less achieved. Tamura Naoki considered that, with risks to prices becoming more skewed to the upside, the Bank should set the policy interest rate a little closer to the neutral rate. They proposed that the Bank set the guideline for money market operations as follows: the Bank would encourage the uncollateralized overnight call rate to remain at around 0.75 percent. The proposals were defeated by majority votes. BOJ BOARD MEMBERS TAKATA, TAMURA DISSENTED TO DECISION ON RATES BOJ BOARD MEMBERS TAKATA, TAMURA PROPOSED RAISING SHORT-TERM INTEREST RATE TARGET TO 0.75% FROM 0.50% PROPOSALS BY TAKATA, TAMURA TURNED DOWN BY MAJORITY VOTE BOJ'S TAKATA CONSIDERED THERE HAD BEEN A SHIFT AWAY…
