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Gold (XAU/USD) rallies to all-time highs of $4218 on trade tremors and rate cut expectations
Renewing all-time highs earlier today, around ~$4,218, gold (XAU/USD) has extended gains further so far in this week’s trading. With 2025 representing the best yearly performance in the yellow metals’ history by some margin, traders are left with one burning question: When will the current rally end? Let’s break down some of the major macroeconomic themes at play within precious metal markets, alongside some technical analysis and price targets. Breaking above $4,200 earlier today, gold now trades over 56% higher since the beginning of 2025, with an increase from $3,500 to $4,000 only taking thirty-six days. ... (full story)
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From federalreserve.gov|Oct 15, 2025|6 commentsEconomic activity changed little on balance since the previous report, with three Districts reporting slight to modest growth in activity, five reporting no change, and four noting a slight softening. Overall consumer spending, particularly on retail goods, inched down in recent weeks, although auto sales were boosted in some Districts by strong demand for electric vehicles ahead of the expiration of a federal tax credit at the end of September. Demand for leisure and hospitality services by international travelers fell further over the reporting period, while demand by domestic consumers was largely unchanged. Nevertheless, spending by higher-income individuals on luxury travel and accommodation was reportedly strong. Several reports highlighted that lower- and middle-income households continued to seek discounts and promotions in the face of rising prices and elevated economic uncertainty. Manufacturing activity varied by District, and most reports noted challenging conditions due to higher tariffs and waning overall demand. Activity in agriculture, energy, and transportation was generally down among reporting Districts. Conditions in the financial services sector and other interest rate-sensitive sectors, such as residential and commercial real estate, were mixed; some reports noted improved business lending in recent weeks due to lower interest rates, while other reports continued to highlight muted activity. The outlook for future economic growth varied by District and sector. Sentiment reportedly improved in a few Districts, with some contacts expecting an uptick in demand over the next 6 to 12 months. However, many others continued to expect elevated uncertainty to weigh down activity. One District report highlighted the downside risk to growth from a prolonged government shutdown. Fed Beige Book Said Overall Economic Activity Was Little Changed; Three Districts Saw Modest Growth, Five Were Flat, And Four Reported Slight Softening Fed Beige Book: Wages grew across all reporting distrcts. MORE FED'S BEIGE BOOK: 'EMPLOYMENT LEVELS 'LARGELY STABLE;' DEMAND FOR LABOR 'LARGELY MUTED;' WAGES UP 'AT MODEST TO MODERATE PACE' #BeigeBk #FederalReserve #economy
From substack.com|Oct 15, 2025The IMF/WB annual meetings are happening in DC this week. It’s not unusual for discussion at these meetings to gravitate towards one particular theme, especially if something big ...
From @financialjuice|Oct 15, 2025|94 commentsUS Treasury Secretary Bessent urges the world bank to end support for China.
Statement from U.S. Secretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent for the World Bank Development Committee and IMF International Monetary and Financial Comm As we convene for this year’s Annual Meetings, the United States looks forward to working closely with partners around the world to confront today’s global economic challenges and secure a future underpinned by growth and stability. Achieving success will require collaboration with international financial institutions that are highly effective, efficient, and accountable in implementing their core mandates. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank can support America’s efforts to secure a more balanced, prosperous, and stable global economy through a return to their core missions and disciplined deployment of their resources. We have seen some progress towards these goals since the Spring Meetings. The IMF is folding its climate and gender units into one that is focused on macro-financial and structural policies, and management has eliminated extraneous, non-core issues from its Board Work Program. The World Bank has moved in the direction of an all-of-the-above approach to energy by removing its prohibition on the financing of nuclear power generation. And, the Bank has increased the weight given to quality in procurement decision making and boosted outreach to industry, both of which stand to improve the efficiency and effectiveness of its financing. Nonetheless, the IMF and World Bank must take more concerted steps to focus on their respective core missions and deliver greater impact to the countries they support and greater value to taxpayers from the United States and other shareholders. Here in the United States, we have been implementing President Trump’s America First economic agenda of tax cuts, energy abundance, and regulatory modernization. They are interlocking parts of an engine designed to drive economic growth and domestic manufacturing: tax cuts raise real incomes for families and businesses; an affordable, reliable, and secure energy supply drives down the cost of doing business; and regulatory modernization complements both by making it easier to invest in and grow new businesses. This includes passing landmark tax legislation in July to unleash the full potential of the U.S. economy, to protect American workers and families, and to save taxpayer dollars by cutting waste, fraud, and abuse. Thanks to actions taken by the Trump Administration, businesses are investing in America again. A revitalized private sector will propel econom
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From youtube.com/markets|Oct 15, 2025Trafigura Chief Economist Saad Rahim discusses the copper markets and says there's a risk of pullback in prices as investment in AI infrastructure wanes. "The AI story is the ...
From morganstanley.com|Oct 15, 2025It is usually easy to characterize markets as either “risk-on” – with favorable conditions encouraging investors to take on more risk – or “risk-off,” with uncertainty creating an ...
From @financialjuice|Oct 15, 2025RBA's Gov. Bullock: Latest data suggest consumption has been little stronger than we thought. RBA'S GOV. BULLOCK: 4.2% UNEMPLOYMENT AT THE MOMENT IS GOOD. ... Just in | RBA Governor Bullock: Headline inflation shows signs of volatility. Just in | RBA Governor Bullock Indicates Output Gap Near Balance, Challenges in Assessment Persist RBA'S GOV. BULLOCK: SLOWER PRODUCTIVITY MEANS ECONOMY AND WAGES CAN'T GROW AS QUICKLY. ...
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- Oct 15, 2025 1:18pm Posted byTechnical Analysis276
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