Fed's Miran: Closer Alignment with Peers on 2026 Projections Despite Maintaining Conservative Outlook

Fed's Miran: I See Shelter Inflation Coming Down In Next 6-12 Months The Long Term Response To The Recent Fed Rate Cut Was Muted, But Do Expense Them To Come Down I Think Policy Is 150-200 Bps Too Restrictive Fed's Miran: I’m Probably More Sanguine On Growth Than Many At Fed Decent Shot At 3% Growth For The Second Half Of 2025 And Into 2026 View Of Rate Cuts Based On Expectation That Neutral Is Being Pushed Lower By Tax Policy And Immigration Fed's Miran: In The Next 6 Months Would Like The Fed To Be A Lot Closer To Neutral; Can Get There In A Series Of Half Point Moves There Is No Material Evidence Of Tariff Driven Inflation, But That Seems To Be Holding Up Others On The Fed