Taiwan central bank raises growth forecast, warns of tariff risks

Deutsche Bank has increased its 2026 gold forecast to an average of $4,000 an ounce. This revision is driven by ongoing central bank purchases, largely led by China, and expected U.S. Federal Reserve rate reductions. Previously predicted at $3,700, the updated forecast suggests that gold’s value may remain higher than fair-value models. Analyst Michael ...

The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) sets monetary policy to meet the 2% inflation target, and in a way that helps to sustain growth and employment. The MPC adopts a medium-term and forward-looking approach to determine the monetary stance required to achieve the inflation target sustainably. At its meeting ending on 17 September 2025, the MPC voted by a majority of 7–2 to maintain Bank Rate at 4%. Two members voted to reduce Bank Rate by 0.25 percentage points, to 3.75%. The Committee voted by a majority of 7–2 to reduce the stock of UK government bond purchases held for monetary policy purposes, and financed by the issuance of central bank reserves, by £70 billion over the next 12 months, to a total of £488 billion. There has been substantial disinflation over the past two and a half years, following previous external shocks, supported by the restrictive stance of monetary policy. That progress has allowed for reductions in Bank Rate over the past year. The Committee remains focused on squeezing out any existing or emerging persistent inflationary pressures, to return inflation sustainably to its 2% target in the medium term. BoE policymakers Dhingra and Taylor voted to cut rates by 0.25% *BOE LEAVES KEY RATE AT 4%; EST. 4.000% *BOE SLOWS PACE OF QUANTITATIVE TIGHTENING TO £70B; EST. £70B *BOE'S BAILEY: RATE CUTS NEED TO BE MADE 'GRADUALLY & CAREFULLY' Bank holds base interest rate at 4% The Bank of England has voted to maintain the base interest rate at 4%, despite some signs the housing market is slowing down. Members of the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) and Governor Andrew Bailey (main picture) voted 7-2 for a hold. The Office for National Statistics released figures yesterday showing a 2.8% increase in house price growth in the year to July, down from 3.6% the previous month. And this decision to hold the rate is despite a stubborn inflation figure, which remained static at 3.8% yesterday, well above the Bank’s 2% target. There will be another Bank interest rate decision on 6 November, before the Budget on 26 November.

Economists are still suffering from whiplash following the twists and turns of U.S. trade policy. But despite all the back and forth, our forecast for the global economy is broadly unchanged from our view in June. Global growth is on track to advance 3.1% this year, with a slight slowdown in the cards for 2026. In the euro area, GDP rose at a 0.4% ...