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Bank of England: Three things to watch at the September meeting
September’s meeting almost certainly won’t result in another rate cut, with policymakers instead poised to keep rates at 4% on 18 September. But the prospect of a November cut hangs in the balance, and this meeting will be heavily scrutinised for hints on whether officials are still considering further easing this year. The first thing to watch is the vote split. Our best guess is that six officials will vote to keep rates on hold, with three voting for another 25bp cut. Those dissenters are likely to include Swati Dhingra and Alan Taylor, the latter of whom initially voted for a 50bp cut in August (before ... (full story)
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Sep 17, 2025 9:57am
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Sep 12, 2025 8:37pm
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Prior was 58.2 • Current conditions 61.2 vs 61.3 expected (prior 61.7) • Expectations 51.8 vs 54.9 expected (prior 55.9) • 1-year inflation 4.8% vs 4.8% prior • 5-year inflation 3.9% vs 3.5% prior The University of Michigan survey was once the gold-standard in confidence surveys but it's been slowly eroded by the politicization of everything and it's more ...
A LETTER SENT BY PRESIDENT DONALD J. TRUMP TO ALL NATO NATIONS AND, THE WORLD: “I am ready to do major Sanctions on Russia when all NATO Nations have agreed, and started, to do the same thing, and when all NATO Nations STOP BUYING OIL FROM RUSSIA. As you know, NATO’S commitment to WIN has been far less than 100%, and the purchase of Russian Oil, by some, has been shocking! It greatly weakens your negotiating position, and bargaining power, over Russia. Anyway, I am ready to “go” when you are. Just say when? I believe that this, plus NATO, as a group, placing 50% to 100% TARIFFS ON CHINA, to be fully withdrawn after the WAR with Russia and Ukraine is ended, will also be of great help in ENDING this deadly, but RIDICULOUS, WAR. China has a strong control, and even grip, over Russia, and these powerful Tariffs will break that grip. This is not TRUMP’S WAR (it would never have started if I was President!), it is Biden’s and Zelenskyy’s WAR. I am only here to help stop it, and save thousands of Russian and Ukrainian lives (7,118 lives lost last week, alone. CRAZY!). If NATO does as I say, the WAR will end quickly, and all of those lives will be saved! If not, you are just wasting my time, and the time, energy, and money of the United States. Thank you for your attention to this matter! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA.”
From money.usnews.com | Sep 12, 2025
China's new bank loans recovered in August but were much lower than expected after unexpectedly contracting in July, as a protracted property slump and the government's campaign to rein in industrial overcapacity weighed on credit demand. Chinese banks extended 590 billion yuan ($82.84 billion) in new loans in August, bouncing back from a 50 billion yuan ...
