-
Rate-Cut Odds Surge After Soft US Labor Market Signals; Here's What Wall Street Thinks
Rate-cut expectations surged this morning following the weak labor market signals from the payrolls report with 2025 now pricing in 3 full cuts... chart As we predicted, the chance of a 50bps cut in September are also rising, but for now it appears 25bps in each of Sept, Oct, and Dec is the most likely outcome... chart As The Wall Street Journal's fed Whisperer, Nick Timiraos, pointed out in a brief post on X: "Weak hiring this summer will make it easier for Fed policymakers to agree on a 25 bps cut at their meeting in two weeks but further muddies the debate over the pace of cuts after that." Consensus across ... (full story)
- Comments / Top
- Subscribe
Zebi
Sep 5, 2025 12:34pm
Permalink
Trader#E363
Sep 5, 2025 1:13pm
Permalink
Trader#5554
Sep 6, 2025 9:28am
Permalink
Trader#B2BA
Sep 5, 2025 11:32am
Permalink
-
Related Stories
Total nonfarm payroll employment changed little in August (+22,000) and has shown little change since April, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported today. The unemployment rate, at 4.3 percent, also changed little in August. A job gain in health care was partially offset by losses in federal government and in mining, quarrying, and oil and gas ...
Job creation sputtered in August, adding to recent signs of labor market weakening and likely keeping the Federal Reserve on track for a widely anticipated interest rate cut later this month. Nonfarm payrolls increased by just 22,000 for the month, while the unemployment rate rose to 4.3%, according to a Bureau of Labor Statistics report Friday. Economists ...
The August employment report was underwhelming and capped a summer of labor market doldrums. Nonfarm payrolls grew by just 22K in August, and some modest downward revisions to job growth in July and June pushed the three-month moving average on payroll growth down to a measly 29K. The hiring that did occur was very narrowly concentrated. The health care, ...