US Jobs Data May Hurt Stocks if it Lets the Fed Hold Back Rate Cuts | Metals Mine

  • US Jobs Data May Hurt Stocks if it Lets the Fed Hold Back Rate Cuts

    From tastylive.com

    A closely watched update on the state of the US labor market will mark a powerful test of financial markets’ mettle. It will book-end a busy week of data releases that showed inflation has accelerated more than economists anticipated and the Federal Reserve pushed back on interest rate expectations. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is expected to report that nonfarm payrolls added 110,000 jobs in July, marking a slowdown from the rise of 147,000 recorded in the previous month. An outcome in line with expectations would mark the smallest increase since February. The unemployment rate is seen ticking higher to ... (full story)

Comment Options
thebigshot
Aug 1, 2025 4:46am
Permalink
WITH Prelim Growth 3.0%
PCE up to 2.8%
Scenario are changing from bullish to bearish. Dollar UP, Yield up.
Long end Yield curve not yet ready to sell off.
With trump negotiating with countries to "invest" in the US treasuries, Buyers may present in other treasury auctions.

Based on this, GOLD, is ready to reverse, and long Dollar will become next swing trade.

What is interesting, is liquidity. Indexes may not be ready to reverse. However, if more and more data present, current and longer, equities may go into ranging. As not pessimistic events currently appeared.

May be it will start with, US housing market?? I guess not. Data from Housing market still strong.
Reply
antaryaami
Aug 1, 2025 6:43am
Permalink
Welp. Gold will reverse for the short to medium term. As the data rolls in and bad news starts piling up, it might catch a bid.

Overall, not a very pretty situation.
Reply

  • Related Stories

The US Employment Situation -- July 2025
From bls.gov | Aug 1, 2025 | 102 comments
Total nonfarm payroll employment changed little in July (+73,000) and has shown little change since April, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported today. The unemployment rate, at 4.2 percent, also changed little in July. Employment continued to trend up in health care and in social assistance. Federal government continued to lose jobs. This news ...
Fed's Hammack: Jobs data was disappointing
From @DeItaone | Aug 1, 2025 | 3 comments
FED'S HAMMACK: JOBS DATA WAS DISAPPOINTING FED'S HAMMACK: JOBS DATA WAS DISAPPOINTING - BLOOMBERG TV JOB MARKET BEARS WATCHING CLOSELY JOB MARKET IS STILL HEALTHY AND IN BALANCE BUT SHOULD BE WATCHED IS CONFIDENT FOMC DECISION WAS THE RIGHT ONE FED IS STILL SEEING PRESSURE ON INFLATION SIDE OF MANDATE INFLATION IS…
U.S. added just 73,000 jobs in July and numbers for prior months were revised much lower
From cnbc.com | Aug 1, 2025 | 3 comments
Nonfarm payroll growth was slower than expected in July and the unemployment rate ticked higher, raising potential trouble signs for the U.S. labor market. Job growth totaled 73,000 for the month, above the June total of 14,000 but below even the meager Dow Jones estimate for a gain of 100,000. June and May totals were revised sharply lower, down by a ...
  • Story Stats