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Three Things – This is a Big Deal
Here are some things I think I am thinking about this week: 1) The China Deal is Actually a Big Deal The White House announced the framework for a trade deal with China where the effective tariff rate with China will drop to 30%. Trump had mentioned that 80% “seemed right” as recently as last week so this is a big relief. 145% was insane and 80% would have been an effective embargo so 30%, while still high compared to where we were, is tolerable. So, as I mentioned a few weeks back, this is all moving in a much better direction now. We’re still higher than the 5-10% total effective tariff rate I mentioned, but ... (full story)