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  • US Sept prelim UMich consumer sentiment 67.7 vs 69.1 expected

    From forexlive.com

    Prior was 69.5 • Current conditions 69.8 vs 75.3 expected (75.7 prior) • Expectations 66.3 vs 66.0 expected (65.5 prior) • 1-year inflation 3.1% vs 3.5% prior • 5-10 year 2.7% vs 3.0% prior This survey is tied to gasoline prices so I'm not surprised the headline missed. I'm not sure why economists get that wrong so often. Meanwhile, the drop in inflation expectations is good news. The Fed got burned last year by following this metric too closely but there is a clear trend here.

Added at 10:07am
  • UMich Inflation Expectations Plunged In Early September Survey

    From zerohedge.com

    With CPI and PPI both printing hotter than expected, import and exports prices rising more than expected, and the market's implied inflation expectation also soaring, this morning's much-watched UMich inflation expectations index should be a little moot. Nevertheless, the survey respondents from the UMich survey saw inflation expectations plunging both short- and medium-term... chart The headline sentiment indicator for the preliminary September data declined from 69.5 to 67.7, with current conditions tumbling while future expectations inched higher... chart Survey Director Joanne Hsu notes that "so far, few ... (full story)

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  • Comment #1
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  • Sep 15, 2023 10:09am Sep 15, 2023 10:09am
  •  ekarashi
  • | Joined May 2015 | Status: habahkaucakcak | 10 Comments
The consumer sentiment index, which measures how optimistic or pessimistic consumers are about the current and future economic conditions, was 68.0 in September 2023, lower than the 69.5 in August 2023. This means that the consumer sentiment worsened slightly, as consumers were less satisfied with their current situation and more concerned about their future prospects.

The current conditions index, which measures how consumers perceive their current economic situation, was 69.8 in September 2023, lower than the 75.7 in August 2023. This means that consumers were less happy with their income, employment, and purchasing power.

The expectations index, which measures how consumers anticipate their future economic situation, was 66.3 in September 2023, higher than the 65.5 in August 2023. This means that consumers were slightly more hopeful about the economic outlook, possibly due to the easing of COVID-19 restrictions, the stimulus package from the federal government, and the pent-up demand from consumers and businesses.

The 1-year inflation expectations, which measure how much consumers expect the prices of goods and services to increase over the next year, was 3.1 percent in September 2023, lower than the 3.5 percent in August 2023. This means that consumers expected the inflationary pressures to ease slightly, but remained well above the Federal Reserve’s long-term goal of 2 percent.

The 5-10 year inflation expectations, which measure how much consumers expect the prices of goods and services to increase over the next five to ten years, was 2.7 percent in September 2023, lower than the 3.0 percent in August 2023. This means that consumers expected the inflation rate to moderate in the long term, but remained above the historical average of 2.4 percent.
 
 
  • Comment #2
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  • Sep 15, 2023 10:10am Sep 15, 2023 10:10am
  •  Fix-it
  • | Joined Oct 2019 | Status: Member | 115 Comments
surly economist should be happy, this is telling that the economy is in good place and inflation should come down as consumers spend less. hiking cycle will come to end now .........
 
 
  • Comment #3
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  • Sep 15, 2023 10:23am Sep 15, 2023 10:23am
  •  rehmatkhan00
  • | Joined Jan 2021 | Status: Member | 214 Comments
It was supposed to cause some correction in dollar so we’ll see how deep can go
 
 
  • Comment #4
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  • Sep 15, 2023 10:25am Sep 15, 2023 10:25am
  •  kitti10
  • | Joined Jan 2015 | Status: Member | 16 Comments
USD is King , It's just normal retrace
 
 
  • Comment #5
  • Quote
  • Sep 15, 2023 10:26am Sep 15, 2023 10:26am
  •  Denis-Menace
  • | Joined Jan 2023 | Status: Junior Member | 7 Comments
Dollar will dive now. Ha-ha-ha-ha-ha...

JPY starts its way up from this very moment, while USD - down...
 
 
  • Comment #6
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  • Sep 15, 2023 10:39am Sep 15, 2023 10:39am
  •  jordanvic
  • | Joined Jul 2020 | Status: Bro | 825 Comments | Online Now
More reasons for oil to rally
 
 
  • Comment #7
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  • Sep 15, 2023 10:53am Sep 15, 2023 10:53am
  •  Guest
  • | IP XXXX::37
Quoting kitti10
Disliked
USD is King , It's just normal retrace
Ignored
This one looks abnormal
 
 
  • Comment #8
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  • Sep 15, 2023 11:49am Sep 15, 2023 11:49am
  •  smallcapsule
  • | Joined Feb 2019 | Status: Member | 57 Comments
Quoting Guest
Disliked
{quote} This one looks abnormal
Ignored
very very abnormal
 
 
  • Comment #9
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  • Sep 15, 2023 1:03pm Sep 15, 2023 1:03pm
  •  hesron
  • Joined Dec 2012 | Status: Member | 1777 Comments | Online Now
no problem about consumer ..... still good
Probability Win = 20% Lose = 80%
 
 
  • Comment #10
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  • Sep 15, 2023 6:20pm Sep 15, 2023 6:20pm
  •  o.abedi
  • | Joined Sep 2023 | Status: Junior Member | 1 Comment
Hi dears.

Is there any one has idea about gold?? what happens?? gold may go up or down??

I think that due to the decrease in global gold reserves, the price of gold should increase, but we are witnessing its decrease. Why is that??
 
 
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  •  Guest
  • | IP XX.XXX.12.157
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  • Story Stats
  • Posted: Sep 15, 2023 10:03am
  • Submitted by:
     Newsstand
    Category: High Impact Breaking News
    Comments: 10  /  Views: 5,719
  • Linked events:
    US Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment
    US Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations
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