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Ms Schnabel noted that since the Governing Council’s previous monetary policy meeting on 6-7 March 2024 financial markets had started to price in some divergence between the monetary policy paths expected in the euro area and in the United States. This was reflected in a widening interest rate differential. In the United States, a series of solid economic data releases had signalled the US economy’s resilience to the current levels of interest rates. This had led financial markets to expect the timing of a first interest rate cut to be later and the overall extent of monetary policy easing to be less than previously anticipated. post: ECB ACCOUNTS: THE WIDELY AGREED PRICE DATA IS IN LINE WITH THE MID-TERM PATH. post: ECB ACCOUNTS: UNDERLYING INFLATION PROGRESS WAS GENERALLY SEEN. post: ECB ACCOUNTS: IT WAS SEEN AS PLAUSIBLE THAT THE GOVERNING COUNCIL WOULD BE IN A POSITION TO START EASING MONETARY POLICY RESTRICTIONS AT THE JUNE MEETING.
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You can’t help but notice just how sensitive commodities are to US dollar movements right now. Take the price action on Thursday as a prime example with an unusually large increase in US jobless claims sparking big gains across the complex, seeing names like gold, silver and copper push back towards their YTD highs. The asymmetric reaction provides a sense ...