Legend
- High Impact Expected
- Med Impact Expected
- Low Impact Expected
- Non-Economic
Revision
- Green NumberBetter than forecast -or- revised better
- Red NumberWorse than forecast -or- revised worse
- m/mMonth Over Month
- q/qQuarter Over Quarter
- y/yYear Over Year
- K Thousand
- M Million
- B Billion
- T Trillion
US Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations
Expectations of future inflation can manifest into real inflation, primarily because workers tend to push for higher wages when they believe prices will rise;
There are 2 versions of this data released 14 days apart – Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earlier and thus tends to have the most impact;
- US Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations Graph
- History
| Expected Impact / Date | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | 4.2% | 4.6% | |
| Jun 12, 2026 | 4.6% |
4.8% | |
| May 8, 2026 | 4.5% |
4.7% | |
| Apr 10, 2026 | 4.8% |
3.8% | |
| Mar 13, 2026 | 3.4% |
3.4% | |
| Feb 6, 2026 | 3.5% |
4.0% | |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 4.2% |
4.2% | |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 4.1% |
4.5% |
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- US Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations News
From zerohedge.com|16 hr ago|2 commentsHaving rebounded from record (46 year) lows in June, University of Michigan's preliminary July Sentiment survey was expected to show further improvement as gas prices fell since the US-Iran 'peace' MoU signing (before rising modestly in the last few days of the reignited conflict). And indeed it did, headline Consumer Sentiment jumped from 49.5 to 54.4 (51.0 exp) - its highest since February... chart "With the second straight month of 10% jumps," said UMich Dirctor of Surveys, Joanne Hsu, pointing out that "consumer sentiment ...
From think.ing.com|Jun 12, 2026The University of Michigan sentiment index has improved to 48.9 from 44.8 (consensus 46.0), but this remains at very weak levels by historical standards. The chart below suggests the latest reading should be consistent with consumer spending falling around 1.5% year-on-year. However, consumer spending is being driven by higher-income households who are buoyed by big wealth gains, whereas sentiment reflects the median American. Unfortunately, they are seemingly finding the current economic situation much more challenging. Bureau for ...
From cnn.com|Jun 12, 2026|1 commentConsumer sentiment may finally be recovering after falling to historic lows due to wartime price spikes. The University of Michigan’s latest survey of Americans, released Friday, showed that sentiment rose 9% to a preliminary reading of 48.9 early this month, the first increase since February, before the United States and Israel’s destabilizing war with Iran sent global energy prices surging. Gas prices, which heavily influence people’s perception of the economy, climbed in the several weeks after the war began, pushing sentiment ...
From breakingthenews.net|May 8, 2026The Consumer Sentiment Index in the United States declined 3.2% in May compared to the month prior, landing at 48.2 from April's 49.8, a preliminary report published by the University of Michigan showed on Friday. The figure was 7.7% down on an annual level, as consumers cited ongoing concerns regarding cost pressures, including high prices at the pump and tariffs. The Current Economic Conditions Index dropped 9.0% in the reported period compared to April's 52.5 and slid 18.8% compared to May 2025, landing at 47.8 points. The Index ...
From cnbc.com|Apr 10, 2026|1 commentConsumer outlook plunged to a record low in April as fears mounted over rising energy prices and the broader impact of the Iran war, according to a University of Michigan survey Friday. The university’s headline index of consumer sentiment tumbled to 47.6, down 10.7% from March to its lowest on record. Current conditions and expectations indexes also saw double-digit monthly declines. The drop in sentiment coincided with a sharp spike in inflation expectations, with respondents seeing prices up 4.8% in a year from now, a full ...
- From breakingthenews.net|Apr 10, 2026|4 comments
The Consumer Sentiment Index in the United States declined 10.7% in April compared to the month prior, to stand at 47.6, a preliminary report published by the University of Michigan showed on Friday. The figure was 8.8% up on an annual level and came lower than analyst’s forecasts. The Current Economic Conditions Index dropped 10.2% in the reported period compared to March and slid 16.2% compared to March 2025, landing at 50.1 points. The Index of Consumer Expectations retreated 10.8% on a monthly basis and fell 2.5% on a yearly ...
From morningstar.com|Mar 13, 2026Gasoline prices hit sentiment the hardest. A swath of consumers across incomes reported declines in expectations for their personal finances. Economists worry that consumers will pull back their spending. The University's gauge of consumer sentiment fell to a preliminary March reading of 55.5 from 56.6 in the prior month. That did, however, beat the expectations from economists polled by the Wall Street Journal, who said sentiment would dip to 55.3 in March. The survey period for the index ended on March 9, making this the first ...
- From breakingthenews.net|Mar 13, 2026
The Consumer Sentiment Index in the United States slid 1.9% in March compared to the month prior, to stand at 55.5, a preliminary report posted by the University of Michigan showed on Friday. The figure slipped by 2.6% on an annual level. The Current Economic Conditions Index went up by 2.1% in the reported period compared to February and declined by 9.4% compared to March 2025, amounting to 57.8 points. The Index of Consumer Expectations decreased by 4.4% on a monthly basis, but gained 2.9% on a yearly basis, coming in at 54.1. ...
| Released on Jul 17, 2026 |
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| Released on Jun 12, 2026 |
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| Released on May 8, 2026 |
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| Released on Apr 10, 2026 |
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| Released on Mar 13, 2026 |
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- Details