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- ntrprz replied Nov 4, 2011
Interesting possibility — I have been studying the S&P since it correlates so closely to the EURUSD. What I find interesting are long term earnings growth projections. They are projected to fall from in the 20% growth the most recent quarter, ...
- ntrprz replied Nov 4, 2011
Yes, there is that. I was speaking generally. I have never seen a rational reason other than market retracements and sentiment for this to have rebounded from 1.30, I thought it should go straight to par on long term fundamentals. I also fail to ...
- ntrprz replied Nov 4, 2011
Wanna borrow my magic 8 ball? The last few weeks has really helped me understand these stupid retraces that markets feel compelled to act on, once again because everyone thinks they should but for largely no other reason. If people were required to ...
- ntrprz replied Nov 4, 2011
Holy crap I got something right and it did make the pivot, which made no sense. Thus, the question is, where does it go from here? I have closed half my long position to seek guidance and inspiration from my magic 8 ball, since clearly it knows more ...
- ntrprz replied Nov 4, 2011
Not that my analysis has been much lately — But since it makes no sense, I am starting to trade against all worldly wisdom and knowledge because using it has lost me money. I am in a snipe long thinking the US stock market will rally some this ...
- ntrprz replied Nov 3, 2011
Let me add a macro opinion — I wish I were an economist and had loads of time to do nothing but spend time researching my theories and putting the facts and figures to them that I feel would bolster my argument. But this is where I think Benny ...
- ntrprz replied Nov 3, 2011
What I don't get, is why are rate cuts = risk on? Rate cuts tell you there are serious problems in the economy. Draghi cuts rates unexpectedly and leaves room open for more while saying Europe is heading for a recession. How the hell can that be ...
- ntrprz replied Nov 3, 2011
ok, what is up with this move? — What is causing this spike back up? Man this thing is more volatile than a package marked ACME posted to Wile E. Coyote.
- ntrprz replied Nov 3, 2011
He said the "R" word — Apparently in the news feed, Draghi said EZ heading towards a mild recession with low inflation, meaning room for more cuts. Definitely risk off, EUR negative.
- ntrprz replied Nov 3, 2011
Also, a bit of decoupling — US futures up sharply while Euro continues sell off. Good call PT that the rate cut might end the tight pattern lock between US equities and the EURUSD.
- ntrprz replied Nov 3, 2011
Yes, but the possibility that this is just the first rate cut of possibly two consecutive rate cuts will not be. Euro spike sold off, then thought about it, and now working its way back down like a good little girl. Plus, the exuberance that they ...
- ntrprz replied Nov 1, 2011
Thanks. I understand that, I take care of my fathers accounts, and am much more conservative there. He was not happy with me when I went short S&P 500 one day early, got a big run up, but I look pretty smart today. I am also using an ultrashort ETF ...
- ntrprz replied Nov 1, 2011
The Euro Soft Shoe — Yes, at this point the Euro Glee Club has managed to distract people effectively, now they are working on a soft shoe tap dance to try and prop things up a little longer, probably with help from Helicopter Ben. When will ...
- ntrprz replied Oct 31, 2011
Yeah, is that already baked in? AUDUSD is off, but with the EUR off so much, I would be surprised it isn't more, except that gold didn't really sell of that much. I was thinking about a toe in on that. I have FINALLY had a nice day, in short over ...
- ntrprz replied Oct 28, 2011
I found this article sums it up very nicely, that there is no fundamental reason EUR has had any strength. The thing to me that is obvious, is that what is the incentive for these governments to really get their fiscal house in order? I think we are ...
- ntrprz replied Oct 27, 2011
Today is the party, tomorrow the clean up starts — Euro Markets going nuts, up around 5%, dow up big, Euro up strong. It reminds me of when Roscoe P Coltrain would say to Boss Hogg, "GOOD NEWS! Good News! Boss, we got them Duke Boys!". But in ...
- ntrprz replied Oct 27, 2011
Could you let me know when the last one of those was again? Fundies are out the window, this is pure irrational exuberance caused by so much end of the world, sky is falling news. Now news that says, well, things pretty much suck but they aren't so ...
- ntrprz replied Oct 26, 2011
Yeah, I think it was Italy. That way they can dominate two take out foods.
- ntrprz replied Oct 26, 2011
Why help now when you will be able to help them later for less and get more out of it. That is the Chinese way.
- ntrprz replied Oct 26, 2011
PT, you should put a quick poll up — What happens when he speaks? Up or down, you make the call. I say quick up then what will look like a big move down, that will for some completely unknown reason reverse and we will retest 1.40 or 1.41 ...