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- mfeldt replied Jul 8, 2021
Quite on the contrary. High and low of a candle define the range of trading during a period of time, the body is simply defined by 2 prices at fixed points in time - the price at those precise moments is more or less random somewhere inside that ...
- mfeldt replied Aug 3, 2020
After a couple of weeks that produced some drawdown, last week was again excellent - at leats for the pairs I'm using! Maybe the party is back on?
- mfeldt replied May 14, 2020
Monday/Tuesday for Pinescript / TradingView. I posted it on their site, but they apparently banned the post because I didn't want to write lengthy explanations but linked this thread instead. Anyway, if anyone wants to try, here it is. It seems the ...
- mfeldt replied May 7, 2020
I coded the idea of the system quickly in pinescript, see here: url It may not reflect the exact original idea, but it's public and the source is open, so feel free to adapt.
- mfeldt replied Dec 3, 2019
There was a discussion about that already here: url
- mfeldt replied Nov 18, 2019
I'd say that with a given hit rate and risk-return-ratio there's an accurate mathematical solution to the optimization problem. If w is the fraction of trades you win, and R is the ratio between average win and average loss, then your mean outcome ...
- mfeldt replied Nov 14, 2019
I don't. It's just the usual "don't risk more than x% at any given time".
- mfeldt replied Oct 28, 2019
And? If it were truly random 10pips north or south, the pair will inevitably hit 0.0000 at some point. But it will not. See? And BTW: The sequence is way too short to test whether it's random or not.
- mfeldt replied Jun 14, 2019
To me, this is the key to success. Making money from coin flips is safe + sound. Imagine betting on a stock market index: You can be sure it will not fall to zero. You can flip a coin at each point and decide whether it will rise by a certain ...
- mfeldt replied Jun 11, 2019
It's really as simple as I wrote above and not optimized in any way. Also, it's not tied to any specific hour as AO's original scheme, it keeps going on forever whenever price moved by another 0.3% in any direction. So yes, it's grid-based somehow, ...
- mfeldt replied Jun 10, 2019
It's relatively easy to achieve gains from random movements if there's only a slight tendency to revert to the mean. Simulating an instrument with a mean exchange rate of 1.0 and random variations and applying a very simple "sell when quote rose by ...
- mfeldt replied Jan 13, 2019
That's some pretty daring mathematics, isn't it? I mean the Super-pair is AEEGN/CJJJU, which cannot easily be written (and traded if you simply buy one lot of each) as a sum.
- mfeldt replied Sep 29, 2018
This one is really amazing - looses every single trade it places.
- mfeldt replied Sep 7, 2018
It has been mentioned earlier, but to me it doesn't really make sense. When the price hits 1.3040 you TP from the trade entered at 1.3020 and immediately enter again targeting 1.3040. Why not just move the stop? Or alternatively, move the stop and ...
- mfeldt replied Apr 28, 2018
I thought I already did that, but now I notice I shared only the "idea", not the indicator script. it's hopefully here: url
- mfeldt replied Apr 26, 2018
I copied the indicator for Pineview. For the interested: You can play around with it here: url You'll quickly find that, at least as initially described, it has more days with problems than not.
- mfeldt replied Apr 25, 2018
Er, no - 15:00 is arbitrary - it's the civil time according to the broker's time zone. The system rules exclude entries after mid-cycle, which the OP calls 12:00. You will notice that my day starts at 03:00, the forbidden zone at 15:00 accordingly. ...
- mfeldt replied Apr 25, 2018
I'm still struggling with the second bullet "after 12:00 looking for a 25% retracement from the high" Now, since positions may only be entered before 12:00, this 25% retracement from a post-12:00 high may be well in the negative, right? EDIT: To ...
- mfeldt replied Apr 13, 2018
the timing keeps causing confusion: url say Tokyo opens at 00:00 GMT. What made you pick 23:00?
- mfeldt replied Nov 28, 2017
And? What's the problem? Psychology? OMG, I'm below a million?