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- fxke62 replied Jul 8, 2022
Was curious about volatility patterns within a year for EU, then expanded my research further. In short, over the years volatility in EU (and the market as a whole) has gone down substantially as you can see in the table below. Volatility is ...
- fxke62 replied Feb 5, 2021
Hi @ryuryu, here you have an export of the data, then you can do whatever you want with it for your personal use.
- fxke62 replied Feb 2, 2021
Great, I do too. The APR here is actually the ATR. But I use a longer period usually (like here, a month for the Hourly) because that gives much more reliable numbers. Most sites I know use an APR with usually only about the last 8 periods or so. So ...
- fxke62 replied Jan 16, 2021
With all due respect, I think this hedging story is a risk accumulating strategy: - your exposure is big in relation to only a few pips of gains (according to your own video) - you throw money towards an essentially bad going trade It will give good ...
- fxke62 replied Jan 13, 2021
Stop-outs on GBP...it doesn't surprise me. I write many programs to analyze price data - it helps my trading a lot. One of them analyzes pairs on 3 risk factors, of which one is direction changes. GBPCAD and GBPNZD are top of the risk pyramid almost ...
- fxke62 replied Jan 12, 2021
There are several ways how back-testing can give deceiving results compared to reality. But it is hard to be concrete if you don't give some indication of how your bots trade: are they scalping, arbitraging, catching long term moves..? Slippage, non ...
- fxke62 replied Jan 12, 2021
a. First of all, great performance (in both accounts)! Over how much time is this? b. The first thing I noticed after, is the low success %% of your trades. I have no idea how you trade, but maybe halving your number of trades for only the ones you ...
- fxke62 replied Nov 22, 2020
I might be interested. Until how far back in time can you deliver reports? - monthly - weekly - daily What if I want some changes in the lay out?
- fxke62 replied Nov 16, 2020
"just because correlation deviates doesn't mean opportunity is lost" - totally agree with that ecotrader!
- fxke62 replied Nov 14, 2020
Cool, I posted something similar recently url But note the big disconnect in 2018 / 2019. With other commodities it might be (even) more reliable, because e.g iron ore is a more steady commodity. Oil is dangerous/big opportunity for trading anyway ...
- fxke62 replied Nov 12, 2020
Ah now I get it. Yes that is a very different beast.
- fxke62 replied Nov 3, 2020
Yes we all have biases about what we think is "the truth", so I prefer the hard numbers. And then you sometimes see what you think to know is actually not correct.
- fxke62 replied Oct 29, 2020
I checked the common wisdom that CAD follows the oil price. That seems to be true often (and then with near 100% correlation), but from half 2016 to early 2020 that wasn't the case. I don't follow oil that long yet. Is there any oil-side explanation ...
- fxke62 replied Oct 29, 2020
I didn't fully understand how the CFTC calculates the Total Long and Total Short, because it does not match with the total of the individual long- and short positions. So I send them a message. Same day reply with explanation. Great service - kudos! ...
- fxke62 replied Oct 29, 2020
I don' have enough experience with the COT reports eg. commodities, but regarding forex: 1. note that often parties have different positions (mainly talking about Asset Managers and Leveraged Money), so who's direction do you take? 2. the common ...
- fxke62 replied Oct 29, 2020
I admire your enthusiasm, but you say you want to make money from it. Maybe you should do a little market research before you start. I don't know about an AUD index but many others exist already (available for free): DXY EXY JXY CXY and probably ...
- fxke62 replied Oct 29, 2020
What moves how fast you can see here (from my own trading database). Period is taken over the last 5 months to stay out of the early covid months. Timeframe Daily. EURJPY is obviously more steady (33% difference - green is low risk). Max Avg Factor ...
- fxke62 replied Oct 23, 2020
I think the inverse relationship is quite logical. Look at the long USD decline on your chart as an example. I know of few countries (if any) whose economies flourish over a longer time period while their currency continues to depreciate. The ...
- fxke62 replied Oct 22, 2020
@Bicarus: "clients of banks does not mean non professionals." - I agree. But a Treasurer of a large corporation is a professional, but (as you say) might have totally different interests. So what predicting value does that "hodgepodge of interests" ...
- fxke62 replied Oct 22, 2020
You better pay attention to what he says. In the first scenario (prop traders) you talk about trading professionals. In the second scenario (clients) you talk about a hodgepodge of different parties of which their (not) professionalism is anybody's ...