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- artestine replied Mar 15, 2020
I closed everything taking heavy losses in March (a total of -21%). My decision to close everything is for the entire situation and the present situation in the markets. Just look at the crazy ADR on the pairs. In less than one week I saw first a ...
- artestine replied Mar 8, 2020
11th week of the year. 2nd of March 2020 Not much this week, but one big important event that is one of the most important one since the beginning of 2020. Wed 11 GBP GDP m/m Forecast of 0.2% from 0.3% USD CPI m/m Forecast of 0.0% from 0.1% USD Core ...
- artestine replied Mar 6, 2020
Specifically I don't know, but they must do something. Northern Italy is being paralyzed. I won't add the details, but everyday is worse. The simple fact that no one can enter in Italy because to return home people would need to do 15 days of ...
- artestine replied Mar 6, 2020
This is when Eur pairs could start to collapse. ECB must do something if it doesn't want to implode. Italy is on its knees. Germany, France and Spain are starting to have damages. Italy is losing an approximate of 10+ billion in tourism revenues ...
- artestine replied Mar 4, 2020
Some updates of coronavirus in Italy Infections are growing quickly. Now the number is 3089 with 107 deaths. Total recovered people are growing too, but not quick as new infected people. Schools and Universities in every city are closed until at ...
- artestine replied Mar 3, 2020
Let's go!
- artestine replied Mar 2, 2020
Who said that it's simple? Actually, it's the opposite of simple. I've just tried to give you my humble opinion on what I learned and on what I experienced. But if you think that you will be 100% sure on this kind of data for some measures from some ...
- artestine replied Mar 2, 2020
1. You know that a rate cut is already priced in when a currency has already moved in the direction of the cut. For example I suppose that AUD rate cut is already priced in. Staying with the present situation instead, Fed will cut rate at least for ...
- artestine replied Mar 2, 2020
Now it's almost certain that we will see a rate cut of 0.25 points
- artestine replied Mar 1, 2020
Calendar for 1st week of March (week 10 of 2020) Different data will not have any impact due to the strange situation that we have now in the markets. I voluntarily didn't take in consideration some minor data (like EUR CPI Flash Estimate for ...
- artestine replied Feb 28, 2020
A rate cut of 0.25 points is almost certain now, with some talks regarding a possible rate cut of 0.5 points. What would happen with a 0.5 points rate cut? Have a nice and happy weekend. There's always another day/week/month to kick asses
- artestine replied Feb 28, 2020
Ending February with my gains higher than 10% for the second straight month, but not so happy with the deep drawdown that I have on A pairs + UC (11-13%). I will see in the next hours if I cut some positions, but my idea is to hold Aud longs until ...
- artestine replied Feb 27, 2020
I'm in deep drawdown too, and also in other A longs, but everything is under control, at the moment. In the meanwhile probabilities for a cut rate for 18th March are higher day after day.
- artestine replied Feb 26, 2020
I really understand your point. So, can I ask you your point of view on what happened in China this last month? I found the situation very similar, with different proportions of course. In that case we saw AUD and NZD collapse and we think that the ...
- artestine replied Feb 25, 2020
Yes, but I want to short E pairs for the effects, not for the coronavirus itself. The deaths in Italy are mostly of older people with already bad health conditions. But the damages on the economy? Tourism is essential for our economy. Living in ...
- artestine replied Feb 25, 2020
323 verified cases in Italy, 11 deaths. Infections are spreading in other areas of Italy. Moreover, today they found 2 new cases in Austria, 1 in Switzerland, 1 in Spain and 2 in France. Regarding Italy, lots of tourists are cancelling trips for ...
- artestine replied Feb 25, 2020
Different economics models are showing an increase of probability to cut rate. Not much, but it will increase way more before 18th.
- artestine replied Feb 24, 2020
I find the situation in Italy ridiculous. It seems impossible to me what is happening right now due to a lack of efficiency in prevention plans. Friday morning there were 3 verified cases, now they are more than 230, with 7 deaths. Comparing various ...
- artestine replied Feb 23, 2020
132 cases in Italy at the moment. Venice Carnival is cancelled. All schools and Universities of North Italy are closing hour after hour. Same thing for businesses. Some big cities are closing completely, for example in Padova seems that now no one ...
- artestine replied Feb 23, 2020
Lightweight week, waiting for the week after with different important events like AUD Cash Rate, AUD GDP, BOC Rate Statement, NFP and others... We could see AUD and NZD gain something, keeping in considerations news on Coronavirus. Sun NZD Retail ...