Yes, I think this is the logical consequence of thousands of failures and setbacks over the last 15 years. My self-confidence is pretty low. That's my impression too. No single strategy works in all conditions. Discretionary traders likely have an ...

Trading for a living

I don't quite understand that statement. With a filter, I'm not trying to change the strategy itself, but as you say, simply to increase the chances of success for the entry trigger and to get fewer "false breakouts." I hate that word because it's ...

Trading for a living

Thanks. Yes, that's my impression too. It's not my developer. It's the author from whom I bought the ORB system. I'll send you the link right away. No, I don't actually want to trade ready-made black-box systems or signals, but I'm starting to feel ...

Trading for a living

Hey. I don't know anything about PoC, and this isn't a thread for PoC. I'd advise you to start your own thread about it. No offense.

Trading for a living

The answers, by the way, came from Google Search AI (Gemini), not GPT. I spent a few more hours researching yesterday and today, and from many different sources (not just AI), I'm getting the overwhelming impression that implied volatility might be ...

Trading for a living

The last red arrow pointing downwards at a 90-degree angle is indeed possible. It represents the success I've achieved in trading over the past 20 years if trying to predict and trade the next „move“ price will make (laughs). If I had invested all ...

Trading for a living

Yes, I recently started testing Claude but mainly for coding purposes because that’s where it seems to shine.

Trading for a living

LD/NY open is basically what I tried as these times likely corresponds most closely to real exchange openings where higher volume/volatility is expected. This is also readily apparent when looking at a chart with some basic tick volume indicator. ...

Trading for a living

Thanks for your input. I'll take another look at the filter methods you mentioned. I agree that information from studies and forum comments should be taken with a grain of salt. Regarding gold: I only added gold after the developer of the ORB system ...

Trading for a living

Unfortunately, I'm not sure which type of volatility filter would be the right choice. I've only compared ADR and ATR for my ORB system, and it makes no real difference. The backtest results are almost identical for the most part. I found a study ...

Trading for a living

Thank you. Yes, it seems I still have a lot of work to do.

Trading for a living

How does one assess the accuracy in this context? Wouldn't that require a concrete backtest to find out the performance differences between, for example two models, ADR and ATR? I don't know why the developer of my ORB strategy chose ADR over ATR ...

Trading for a living

My payment is expected to arrive 2074

darwin discussion

Good question. I have to honestly admit that time has become a real factor for me. I don't know if it's because I'm getting older or simply because I've spent so many years trying things that haven't quite led to the desired result. It's definitely ...

Trading for a living

I don't think these order flow tools will improve my current approach, and as you mentioned, they're quite complicated/complex. I prefer simple things. As for my intuition, no, it's not good; otherwise, I could capitalize on it. I've tried using my ...

Trading for a living

Incidentally, I don't scalp. My ORB entries and exits are predefined and executed using a set-and-forget approach. The average holding time for a trade is 2-3 hours. In the past, I have tried scalping the opening by following my gut feeling. The win ...

Trading for a living

Hmm? Can you show some examples, like an ORB setup for the first 15 minutes of the NYSE opening and the S&P 500, that illustrate how a "live data feed platform" would have improved my accuracy? "live data feed platform"? I'm already trading on live ...

Trading for a living

I agree with what you say about discretionary trading, and it perfectly reflects my conflict with it. First, the results are only measurable in retrospect, which isn't necessarily helpful if you have a clear goal that needs to be achieved within a ...

Trading for a living

Yes, unfortunately.

Trading for a living

Hello Pip. Thank you for the tips! Yes, I am looking at how I can improve my current ORB approach somehow. I have tried some filters in the past, but they have never improved the setup for me in terms of receiving a better hit rate or overall ...

darwin discussion